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February 2024

Opinion Added Value in ABS

Investors are moving back into higher-rated fixed income after years of comparative neglect, and we noted that asset- and mortgage-backed securities (ABS and MBS) offered diversified risk exposures, together with relative value caused mainly by technical supply-and-demand (...)

Opinion

Reflections on Davos: Business as usual no longer exists

Opinion

Equities head for choppy ride as higher yield market takes hold

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November 2014

Opinion Unresolved ESG issues persist in Canadian oil sands industry

During a recent visit to Canada, for the annual UN PRI signatory conference, I took the opportunity together with a few other investors to visit the oil sands operations in the Alberta region. What I heard and saw there made me realise that the Canadian oil sands industry (...)

November 2014

Opinion The World eyes Europe

Headlines in Europe are again focused on weak economic growth but there remain many companies well placed to deliver. Analysis of Nick Sheridan, Fund manager Henderson Horizon Euroland.

November 2014

Opinion Central banks: toward a bipolar world

Should one expect a huge differential in interest rates? Undoubtedly. According to René Defossez, having said that, this differential should be far more pronounced at the short end of the curve than at the long end. The reason is that short rates will be influenced directly (...)

October 2014

Opinion India’s “Goldilocks moment”

A stable government, a can-do prime minister and a recovering economy may prove to be the best recipe yet for Indian stocks, according to Avinash Vazirani, manager of the Jupiter India Select SICAV fund. Add in a falling oil price, says Avinash, and Indian firms might just (...)

October 2014

Opinion Equities: is the bull market under threat?

According to Keith Wade, Chief Economist at Schroders, equity markets have experienced a setback recently and this has led many strategists to question the longer term case for the asset class. However, he remains positive on shares and believes that equities can still (...)

October 2014

Opinion When is it time for the SNB to think about the exit?

According to Goldman Sachs, the SNB’s exchange rate ceiling against the Euro is often seen as a binding constraint on its future interest rate decisions. But the exchange rate commitment is only likely to become a constraint on rate decisions if the CHF remains close to the (...)

October 2014

Opinion Chinese GDP, a myth?

The slowdown of the Chinese economy, as reflected by GDP growth in Q3 2014, is not particularly serious. While there was a slight deceleration, GDP nonetheless increased by 7.3% year-on-year and by 1.9% quarter-on-quarter.

October 2014

Opinion China focuses on quality as growth slows

Chinese GDP expanded 7.3% year on year in the third quarter, in line with Schroders’s forecast but slower than the second quarter reading of 7.5%.

October 2014

Opinion The Recovery-less Recovery

Global risk assets have had a testing week last tweek; at the time of writing, the S&P 500 is more than 8.5% below the record high it achieved just a month ago. So why are markets rattled?

October 2014

Opinion Institutional investors expect to see more emerging market equities paying high dividends over the next few years

New research from ING Investment Management (ING IM) amongst institutional investors reveals that between now and 2016, 61% believe the number of emerging market stocks paying these will increase – 14% anticipate a “dramatic” rise here. The corresponding figures for the next (...)

September 2014

Opinion USA: an impression of capacity under-utilization…

Those who were hoping for a shift in tone from the Federal Reserve regarding an imminent rate hike, encouraged by increasing signs of a recovery in the US, will be disappointed. The Fed has reiterated its concerns over the dynamics of the (...)

September 2014

Opinion Jokowi

After ten years of strong growth, the Indonesian economy is slowing considerably. This is because of the falling Chinese demand for commodities, the gradual normalisation of US monetary policy and an inevitable decline in government (...)

September 2014

Opinion Equity Market : Perspectives of the financial sector

An ageing global population, a thirst for credit in emerging markets and an ever more complex regulatory environment for Western banks are reshaping the opportunities open to investors in the financials sector, according to Robert Mumby, manager of the Jupiter International (...)

September 2014

Opinion Draghinomics

Events over the week proved once more that one-way-bets do not exist in global financial markets. Not many investors felt that it was still possible for the ECB to surprise on the upside after Mario Draghi’s comments at last months’ Jackson Hole (...)

September 2014

Opinion Alibaba’s IPO could well be the end of US dominance in the world technology sector

According to Warwick Business School Professor Qing Wang, the strong performance and fast rise of the Chinese technology companies in the world may shock some outsiders. It is certainly helped by an enormous and fast growing domestic market, but there is (...)

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Opinion Despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the roof

According to Daniele Bianchi, of Warwick Business School, is Assistant Professor of Finance and he researches crypto-currencies incluing Bitcoin, despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the (...)

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Opinion Total Return Futures set for further growth as buy-side adoption increases

Eurex launched Total Return Futures (TRFs) in 2016 in response to growing demand for listed alternatives to total return swaps. Since then, the product has evolved into an instrument used by a wide variety of firms for multiple purposes, enabling firms to lock in financing (...)

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Opinion Are french OAT overvalued ?

According to John Gilbert, CIO of the Berkshire Hathaway’s subsidiary General Re-New England AM, French 10-year bonds should yield between 4.5% and 5%, closer to Italian and Spanish bonds rather than German ones. However, This opinion is not shared by the majority of the (...)

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Opinion Review of the chinese economy at the end of the summer of 2019

The monthly data published at the start of the second quarter are fairly mixed and show no tangible signs of growth momentum improving in China. The GDP published for the second quarter has recently confirmed this sentiment. The slowdown at work since the start of the decade (...)

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Opinion German Government to introduce concept of Green Twin Bonds

After the Netherlands and Sweden, Germany has become the third AAA-rated country to issue a green government bond. The German government also announced its commitment to building a full green yield curve, next to its conventional yield (...)

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Opinion Are L/S Equity managers concerned by the covid resurgence?

Managers in the U.S. and Europe are continuing to reduce both their net and gross exposures, now converging near their long-term lows. They are selectively selling or shorting stocks that are the most exposed to tighter restrictions, preferring value stocks instead (to (...)

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Opinion Oil markets to barrel forward in 2011

The energy sector is turning a corner and we are at the early stages of a new upward cycle in oil markets, according to Robin Batchelor, manager of BlackRock’s BGF World Energy Fund...

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Opinion Robots have taken power in finance

Describe the real world with numbers is a trend that seems to be accelerating. Thus, digital technology is associated with financial models to show that we (human) interact with our environment using mathematical (...)

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Opinion The second wave

As the coronavirus continues to impact the global economy, Charles Hepworth, Investment Director, GAM Investments, discusses the risks that a second wave of epidemics could pose in the future.

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Opinion Democrat sweep to open fiscal floodgates and boost growth

Democrats have completed a sweep of Congress following the double victory in the state of Georgia’s run-off election. Keith Wade, Schroders’ Chief Economist, discusses what this means for the US economy in the near-term

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Opinion Central Banks : the global financial system trashcans ?

Institutionalized monetization condemns central banks to become the international financial system trashcans and, despite German opposition, it is likely to be the same for the ECB.

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Opinion The year of the rat: China’s Economy is strong but investors need to be on their guard

As China enters the Year of the Rat this Saturday (25 January), Jasmine Kang, Portfolio Manager at Comgest, the independent, international asset management group focused on quality growth investing, believes that China’s growth has become more sustainable but that (...)

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Opinion Silver squeeze: What’s behind the surge in silver?

Silver is in the spotlight this week, after the popular r/WallStreetBets community on Reddit highlighted the fundamental value in acquiring silver at current levels. The online posting was the catalyst for increased retail flows and awareness. Last Thursday 28 January, the (...)

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Opinion Perspective and real solvency of banks

Can a universal bank go bankrupt ? An objective, rigorous and professional answer is built in three stages: credibility of the banks performed stress tests - assessment of prudential regulation to come - understanding the evolution of the banking business (...)

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Opinion Who is eventually irrational?

If the market was fully rational in its current pricing, policy makers could actually see current low levels of bond yields as a vote of confidence in their long-term credibility. It would then be rational for policy makers to exploit the lowest funding costs (...)

Focus

Opinion Psychology and smart beta

‘Smart beta’ sounds like an oxymoron. How smart can it be to continue using the same strategy in such fickle markets? A portfolio manager calling on all his skills (‘alpha’) in analysing market environments (the source of ‘beta’) should be able to outperform an unchanged (...)

Focus

Mory Doré’s column

Mory Doré’s views on monetary policy, asset allocation, financial management of banks and understanding of crises

Éclairages Économiques Notebook

The association Éclairages Économiques share with us analysis mostly relying on current research on various economics issues

Selection: Prospects

Regulation Regulatory prospects: 2012 and beyond

2009 was a year of intense reflection on the functioning of the financial sector. There followed an intense regulatory activity in 2010, unfortunately with few formal adoptions of regulations. 2011 marked the surge of the will to succeed with provisional schedules. Where do (...)

Reading An Economic Approach to Marriage

Marriages are not always very stable. A divorce rate of 50 % in developed countries serves to prove. We ask ourselves if it is possible to form stable relationships. An economic analysis may be able to answer this (...)

Note Aging population poses new opportunities for global investment managers

Early conclusions from ongoing SimCorp StrategyLab research point to demographic changes as a key factor influencing the future of the global investment management industry.

Note Launch of green bonds

The term «Green Bonds» is more frequently used to describe a market that should mature very fast in order to deal with numerous requests for investments in the field of green infrastructure projects.

Last commented articles

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Opinion Silver squeeze: What’s behind the surge in silver?
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