Note Are markets becoming more unstable?
Readers of financial news may believe that ‘market corrections’, or ‘shocks’, or ‘five-sigma events’ are more common than they used to be. Winton Capital Management look at the historical data for a number of financial markets and find that there is no evidence for increasing (...)
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Note Towards a behavioral portfolio theory
a major problem facing the asset management industry is the creation of portfolios that generate maximum profitability while being consistent with the risk profile of investors...
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Note Versatility of ETFs driving usage among European Institutions
Facing a set of fast-changing global market conditions, European institutional investors are utilizing the versatility of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to adjust their portfolios, and integrating ETFs more deeply into both tactical and strategic investment processes and (...)
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Note The rumour, a necessary credit analysis instrument
According to Bruno Mathis from SterWen and Jean Delahousse, all institutions exposed on Lehman which have highly developed credit analysis tools are able to detect warning signs as soon as they come about and would have almost four months to take safety measures (CDS (...)
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Note Real estate: Attempting to explain the increase in prices.
The situation appears to be a paradox. France is just coming out of a crisis but real estate prices have sharply increased during the previous months and have only slightly decreased at the height of the crisis. How can this phenomenon be (...)
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Note The true nature of the derivative contract on French debt
The multiplication of misinterpretations related to the launch of the derivative contract on French debt leads to an apolitical analysis produced by a market professional to avoid amalgam and populism: This is a simple and useful contract, which was traded in the past in (...)
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Note Financial markets and self-fulfilling prophecies
This phenomenon is equivalent to the change from a brutal economic and financial equilibrium to another, not because the fundamentals of the macroeconomic environment would justify it, but because there was a change for good or bad reasons of market (...)
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Note Scenarios for Public Sector Debt
The evolution of public sector debt depends on a number of economic variables and how they interact. Within the Eurozone, German and French debt looks sustainable while Italy, Portugal and Ireland appear borderline.
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Note On the impact of Brexit on sterling
As yet, sterling appears not to have reacted to the looming referendum on the UK’s continued membership of the European Union. Over the short to medium term, however, the currency should end up reacting negatively, so great is the fallout for the British economy. In (...)
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Note Investors’ Appetite for Gains Exceeds Their Stomach for Risk, and Index Funds May Not Deliver What They Want
Natixis Global Asset Management has released the results of its 2017 Global Individual Investor survey. A total of 8300 individual investors (400 in France) have been surveyed between February and March 2017 in 21 countries across Asia, Europe, the Americas and the Middle (...)
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Note Risk evaluation and multifractal Var
The use of «multifractal processes» for risk calculation in finance allows us to use the concept of «scale invariance» and its implications developed in fluid mechanics…
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Note Asset quality is becoming less of an existential threat for the Italian banking sector on aggregate
Heavy scrutiny by supervisors has put the balance sheet clean-up plans of Italian banks under the spotlight; reducing NPEs has emerged as a key element of the banks’ business plans. Intesa and UniCredit look well placed to achieve their targets by (...)
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Note Insurers looking to investment portfolios to improve profitability
BlackRock’s sixth annual global survey of 300 senior insurance executives found that two-thirds of insurers agree that re-thinking the investment portfolio will be vital to maintaining or improving the future profitability of their business. Over two-fifths (41%) said they (...)
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Note The unstoppable rise of alternatives
The world’s largest 100 alternative asset managers saw assets under management increase by 10% in 2016, rising to $4 trillion, according to the 2017 edition of Willis Towers Watson’s Global Alternatives Survey.
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Note DB pension schemes adapting to change as paths for global retirement diverge, BlackRock study finds
As the world’s defined-benefit pension funds travel toward two very different futures, a new study by BlackRock marks their progress. The study compares the changes underway at corporate DB plans, which are winding down, with the evolution of public and other non-corporate (...)
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