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February 2024

Opinion Added Value in ABS

Investors are moving back into higher-rated fixed income after years of comparative neglect, and we noted that asset- and mortgage-backed securities (ABS and MBS) offered diversified risk exposures, together with relative value caused mainly by technical supply-and-demand (...)

Opinion

Reflections on Davos: Business as usual no longer exists

Opinion

Equities head for choppy ride as higher yield market takes hold

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March 2011

Opinion Middle East turbulence: Impact on economic activity and risk assets.

There are no clear answers, given the fluidity of the situation and uncertainty over whether violence will spread further...

February 2011

Opinion « Commodities and emerging markets: must-have investments or speculative bubbles »

Now that growth is back, emerging countries are in favour with many investors. Economic growth in these zones means commodities can also be profitable investments...

February 2011

Opinion Is inflation the solution?

This is often the argument put forward to deal with the debt ! The acceleration in inflation would iron out all the root causes of the crisis or even make them disappear, the economy then suddenly regaining its lost (...)

January 2011

Opinion Predictions for 2011 by BlackRock’s Bob Doll

According to Bob Doll, stocks will outperform bonds and cash and will record a third straight year of double digit percentage returns

January 2011

Opinion Long-term rates rise....but it is not yet a bond crash

The recent sharp rise in long-term rates in Europe relies on a risk pooling across peripheral countries and the entire euro zone. But we cannot yet talk about bond crash.

January 2011

Opinion Another horror year for contrarian investors?

It did not pay to be a contrarian in 2010. Will that be different in 2011?

January 2011

Opinion Stock markets: upcoming crash in 2011

The recent rise in stock markets is rather artificial and based on fragile factors. The structural ones remain bearish: prudential developments, systemic risk, and true inflation expectations in the long term mainly in the United (...)

December 2010

Opinion French alternative management: Towards a strong financial centre.

Following to their study on strenghts and weaknesses of France as an alternative management financial centre, Reinhold & Partners give us the main considerations for moving towards a strong financial center.

December 2010

Opinion « Wealth management: towards a new model »

product-driven approach versus service, lack of commitments of managers who became customer relationship experts versus loneliness of adviser, commercial bias versus follower bias... The two main models of private management seem more irreconcilable than (...)

December 2010

Opinion Short-selling ban had a detrimental effect on UK financial markets

New academic research suggests the ban dramatically reduced liquidity and worsened problems of volatility in the prices of UK financial stocks...

November 2010

Opinion Ireland is not second Greece

According to irish economist Cathal Brugha, professor of University College of Dublin (UCD) School of Business, Ireland does not face a similar crisis like Greece

November 2010

Opinion « Currency war », return of protectionism: threats and opportunities!

An analytical report by Jacques Tebeka, Head of Diversified Multi management at Edmond de Rothschild Investment Managers

November 2010

Opinion Bond bubble today and tomorrow ... Bond crash the day after tomorrow

Long-term rates that can not rise on short term, despite the abysmal public deficits ...

November 2010

Opinion Shedding some light on scandal hitting the US mortgage market

Much has been said and written about ‘Foreclosure-gate’ – a scandal hitting the US mortgage market. While some of the information accurately assesses the topic, much of what has been written has been naïve, uninformed or just plain (...)

June 2010

Opinion Hedge funds managers : Are women better than men?

In recent months, two studies leading to the same conclusions, set tongues wagging in the hedge fund industry : women hedge fund managers perform better than their male counterparts...

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Opinion Hedge funds managers : Are women better than men?

In recent months, two studies leading to the same conclusions, set tongues wagging in the hedge fund industry : women hedge fund managers perform better than their male counterparts...

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Opinion New Egypt FX Regime Positive Step in Tough Circumstances

Egypt’s new exchange rate regime has brought greater transparency and a depreciation of the pound but also highlights a serious shortage of foreign exchange, Fitch Ratings says. For the system to work, confidence needs to be restored quickly, starting with agreement on an IMF (...)

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Opinion Renminbi depreciation, an unexpected but welcome move

The depreciation of the Chinese currency took many investors by surprise. And a surprise it was, although not necessarily a negative one, says Victoria Mio.

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Opinion Perspectives on L/S Equity strategies after the Selloff

Risk assets have yet to find stable ground after the recent turmoil. The rebound in equities since the October 11th trough appears fragile. Last week, the minutes of the latest FOMC meeting were hawkish and Italy’s 10-year sovereign spread with Germany jumped to levels unseen (...)

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Opinion Bond bubble today and tomorrow ... Bond crash the day after tomorrow

Long-term rates that can not rise on short term, despite the abysmal public deficits ...

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Opinion Central Banks : the global financial system trashcans ?

Institutionalized monetization condemns central banks to become the international financial system trashcans and, despite German opposition, it is likely to be the same for the ECB.

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Opinion Staying On Theme

When inflation, interest rates and global economic uncertainty are rising, cash today can seem more urgent than exposure to the markets of tomorrow—but could that mean investors risk missing out on the potential of thematic (...)

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Opinion Italy’s expansionary budget goals add to growing risks to sovereign rating

Italy’s announcement of a tentative budget deficit goal of 2.4% of GDP over 2019-2021 could compound the country’s existing debt sustainability challenges. This represents a significant risk to Italy’s A-/Negative Outlook (...)

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Opinion The oil has gone into negative territory

Yesterday was a historical day in the oil market. The American market, called West Texas Intermediate (WTI), moved to minus USD40—a fantastic move. The reason for this is likely connected to storage issues as people are consuming far less fuel amid the (...)

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Opinion Brexit referendum: more volatility ahead for Sterling

According to James Butterfill, Head of Research at ETF Securities comments, Brexit is the mother of all market uncertainties: legal, political, economic, polling and currency risk combining to make any confidence about the short-term outlook (...)

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Opinion Greece: awaiting the inevitable

The credit default swap market is pricing in a 65% probability of a default within the next five years.

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Opinion Gold, Mines & Natural Resources…a mixed 2017

Although the year was positive for natural resources overall, their performance lagged the global markets. 2018 could offer better prospects, an uptick in inflation being perhaps the best scenario for the theme.

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Opinion Silver squeeze: What’s behind the surge in silver?

Silver is in the spotlight this week, after the popular r/WallStreetBets community on Reddit highlighted the fundamental value in acquiring silver at current levels. The online posting was the catalyst for increased retail flows and awareness. Last Thursday 28 January, the (...)

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Opinion For the BJP

The results of the world’s largest general election were announced today after 6 weeks of voting, with around 900m registered voters casting their ballot across 543 constituencies. The incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won a majority of seats, which means that Modi will (...)

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Opinion ECB worries have receded, but Fed policy doubts have some pundits on the defensive

Focus

Opinion Psychology and smart beta

‘Smart beta’ sounds like an oxymoron. How smart can it be to continue using the same strategy in such fickle markets? A portfolio manager calling on all his skills (‘alpha’) in analysing market environments (the source of ‘beta’) should be able to outperform an unchanged (...)

Focus

Mory Doré’s column

Mory Doré’s views on monetary policy, asset allocation, financial management of banks and understanding of crises

Éclairages Économiques Notebook

The association Éclairages Économiques share with us analysis mostly relying on current research on various economics issues

Selection: Prospects

Regulation Regulatory prospects: 2012 and beyond

2009 was a year of intense reflection on the functioning of the financial sector. There followed an intense regulatory activity in 2010, unfortunately with few formal adoptions of regulations. 2011 marked the surge of the will to succeed with provisional schedules. Where do (...)

Reading An Economic Approach to Marriage

Marriages are not always very stable. A divorce rate of 50 % in developed countries serves to prove. We ask ourselves if it is possible to form stable relationships. An economic analysis may be able to answer this (...)

Note Aging population poses new opportunities for global investment managers

Early conclusions from ongoing SimCorp StrategyLab research point to demographic changes as a key factor influencing the future of the global investment management industry.

Note Launch of green bonds

The term «Green Bonds» is more frequently used to describe a market that should mature very fast in order to deal with numerous requests for investments in the field of green infrastructure projects.

Last commented articles

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Opinion Silver squeeze: What’s behind the surge in silver?
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FR Opinion Poisson d’avril sur les marchés
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