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February 2024

Opinion Added Value in ABS

Investors are moving back into higher-rated fixed income after years of comparative neglect, and we noted that asset- and mortgage-backed securities (ABS and MBS) offered diversified risk exposures, together with relative value caused mainly by technical supply-and-demand (...)

Opinion

Reflections on Davos: Business as usual no longer exists

Opinion

Equities head for choppy ride as higher yield market takes hold

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July 2013

Opinion More upside in 2013 for hedge funds, says Lyxor research

The remainder of 2013 is setting up for further gains and hedge funds are positioned to take advantage of the opportunities. The US economy is expanding steadily and growth will likely accelerate in the 2nd half of the year as fiscal restraint wears (...)

July 2013

Opinion Maarten-Jan Bakkum’s take on Egypt

By ousting President Morsi the Egyptian army prevented a violent climax in the battle between opponents and supporters of the president. In the past year, the Morsi administration has not been able to make any progress in solving the huge economic and social problems in the (...)

April 2013

Opinion Smart Betas offer a new approach to bridge market bias

When Alan Greenspan spoke of "market exuberance" (i.e. the lightning-fast mood swings from optimism to an investment bubble popping) wasn’t he referring to what we could call a "Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde" syndrome?

April 2013

Opinion Jean-Claude Guimiot : « There is no ’Smart Beta’ strategy within our asset allocation program »

According to Jean-Claude Guimiot, CEO of AGRICA EPARGNE (asset management company of the Group AGRICA), invest in "Smart Beta" index is not on the agenda ...

March 2013

Opinion Three reasons why the 21st century will be American

“Which country will be the new China? Which country is ready to dominate the world economy? Not India, not Brazil, nor any other rapidly expanding emerging country, says Henk Grootveld. No, it is…the US.”

February 2013

Opinion A short lesson in exchange rate determination

François Hollande, the French President, recently called for action against the strong euro, stating that the economy could end up with an exchange rate “out of line with the fundamentals”. Although plausible, exchange rates are probably “out of line with the fundamentals” most (...)

February 2013

Opinion East Asian Onshore Markets To See Most AUM Growth

Fitch Ratings expects growth in asset under management (AUM) to be higher in the years to come in emerging Asia (China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand) than in mature markets such as Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan and (...)

January 2013

Opinion Credible Debt Stabilisation Strategy Still Key for Japan

The central issue for Japan’s sovereign credit rating remains the developing and implementing of a credible fiscal strategy to stabilise government debt over the medium term, Fitch Ratings says.

January 2013

Opinion Equities in 2013: boring would be best

Past results do not guarantee future performance. However, they certainly set the tone for predictions of it. A year ago, the outlook statements for this year’s equity performance were rather cautious, with forecasters extrapolating the poor trend of 2011. However, 2012 (...)

January 2013

Opinion New Egypt FX Regime Positive Step in Tough Circumstances

Egypt’s new exchange rate regime has brought greater transparency and a depreciation of the pound but also highlights a serious shortage of foreign exchange, Fitch Ratings says. For the system to work, confidence needs to be restored quickly, starting with agreement on an IMF (...)

January 2013

Opinion Fitch: Eurozone Overshadows 2013 Emerging Europe Growth Outlook

In its newly-published Emerging Europe (EE) 2013 Outlook and Sovereign Review, Fitch Ratings says that positive rating actions in Emerging Europe sovereigns outweighed negative actions in 2012.

December 2012

Opinion Quantitative Management: French Managers make resistance

Despite respectable performances, French quantitative managers are struggling to significantly increase their assets. Is it the fault of too cold local institutional?

December 2012

Opinion The CDM: let’s not discard a tool that raised over US$200 billion

Everyone wonders which miraculous instrument will enable the Green Climate Fund to mobilize the pledged US$100 billion per year in climate finance by 2020. Developing countries are now asking for interim targets to quench their mounting skepticism that this level of (...)

November 2012

Opinion Benchmarking: The Multi-Asset Class Exception

Ask any active fund manager about his benchmark, and he will have a ready-made answer. Even fixed-income managers have plenty of indices to choose from. The call is trickier for diversified fund managers...

November 2012

Opinion GMI Ratings Governance Update | Moody’s Corp.

Moody’s Corp. (MCO) could better safeguard itself from the business conduct failures that the Securities and Exchange Commission discovered in its second annual review of nine ratings agencies.

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Opinion Overview of Quantitative Finance in France

A short review of quantitative finance in France under the lens of the Next Finance website: Profile of quants, origins and outlook of the industry.

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Opinion Stuck between Europe and China

For investors in emerging markets, the positive dynamics in China, on the one hand, and the malaise in Europe, on the other, are causing perplexity.

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Opinion The oil has gone into negative territory

Yesterday was a historical day in the oil market. The American market, called West Texas Intermediate (WTI), moved to minus USD40—a fantastic move. The reason for this is likely connected to storage issues as people are consuming far less fuel amid the (...)

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Opinion The Euro will survive In fine !

We do not believe or at least most of the implosion scenarios of the euro zone regardless of the terms. -Not because we would be trying to find one or several sustainable solutions to the crisis of sovereign debt, but because such a process would cost too much to everybody (...)

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Opinion Investors Cannot Ignore the Debt-Sustainability Question

Despite a pullback in bond yields, clients at our Solving for 2024 event were still uncertain about how to invest in a world of runaway government debt.

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Opinion How will China’s devaluation impact eurozone equities ?

China’s central bank has taken steps to devalue the renminbi. The initial direct impact on eurozone equities is fairly limited but certain sectors and companies have more pronounced exposure...

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Opinion Financial correlations and loss of common sense

Isn’t correlation in finance charlatanry? We analyze this question through 4 situations that have been observed on financial markets with final investors, asset managers and proprietary traders.

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Opinion Fair trade, angel or demon ?

As citizens movements connect politically and economically, fair trade talks about itself. A fair and equitable trade, what is more decent in appearance ? But in order to determine the fair part of trade, we need beforehand to determine what we mean by this (...)

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Opinion Moving past the edge of reason, China government sanctionned rally

The situation is excellent. The market is rallying led by a government sanctioned rally in China. Our constructive thesis is validated after a period of noise in the equity market led by a US spike in Covid-19 cases. This is excellent and precisely why we need to (...)

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Opinion After Modi’s landslide win, all eyes on what he does for the Indian economy

India’s Narendra Modi won a second term as Prime Minster after a landslide win in the general elections in the world’s largest democracy. Mr. Modi’s party BJP won a simple majority with almost 300 out of 542 seats in the Lok Sabha (India’s equivalent of the House of (...)

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Opinion Are L/S Equity managers concerned by the covid resurgence?

Managers in the U.S. and Europe are continuing to reduce both their net and gross exposures, now converging near their long-term lows. They are selectively selling or shorting stocks that are the most exposed to tighter restrictions, preferring value stocks instead (to (...)

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Opinion Hard time for sterling

According to Luc Luyet and Frederik Ducrozet, Asset Allocation & Macro Research, Pictet Wealth Management, the sharp drop of the sterling on Friday 7 October at the start of trading in Asia with the currency declining 6% in the course of twenty minutes was the climax of (...)

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Opinion Total Return Futures set for further growth as buy-side adoption increases

Eurex launched Total Return Futures (TRFs) in 2016 in response to growing demand for listed alternatives to total return swaps. Since then, the product has evolved into an instrument used by a wide variety of firms for multiple purposes, enabling firms to lock in financing (...)

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Opinion Europe: bonds or equities?

One of the most surprising characteristics of the current crisis is the fact that bond investors appear to discount more eurostress than equity investors. Is this justified?

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Opinion Investing in Africa is not as risky as you might think

African equities are perceived to be very risky. But the surprise conclusion of new Robeco research is that the volatility of African equities overall is lower than in the other emerging markets regions.

Focus

Opinion Psychology and smart beta

‘Smart beta’ sounds like an oxymoron. How smart can it be to continue using the same strategy in such fickle markets? A portfolio manager calling on all his skills (‘alpha’) in analysing market environments (the source of ‘beta’) should be able to outperform an unchanged (...)

Focus

Mory Doré’s column

Mory Doré’s views on monetary policy, asset allocation, financial management of banks and understanding of crises

Éclairages Économiques Notebook

The association Éclairages Économiques share with us analysis mostly relying on current research on various economics issues

Selection: Prospects

Regulation Regulatory prospects: 2012 and beyond

2009 was a year of intense reflection on the functioning of the financial sector. There followed an intense regulatory activity in 2010, unfortunately with few formal adoptions of regulations. 2011 marked the surge of the will to succeed with provisional schedules. Where do (...)

Reading An Economic Approach to Marriage

Marriages are not always very stable. A divorce rate of 50 % in developed countries serves to prove. We ask ourselves if it is possible to form stable relationships. An economic analysis may be able to answer this (...)

Note Aging population poses new opportunities for global investment managers

Early conclusions from ongoing SimCorp StrategyLab research point to demographic changes as a key factor influencing the future of the global investment management industry.

Note Launch of green bonds

The term «Green Bonds» is more frequently used to describe a market that should mature very fast in order to deal with numerous requests for investments in the field of green infrastructure projects.

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