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February 2024

Opinion Added Value in ABS

Investors are moving back into higher-rated fixed income after years of comparative neglect, and we noted that asset- and mortgage-backed securities (ABS and MBS) offered diversified risk exposures, together with relative value caused mainly by technical supply-and-demand (...)

Opinion

Reflections on Davos: Business as usual no longer exists

Opinion

Equities head for choppy ride as higher yield market takes hold

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March 2015

Opinion The broadening impact of technology on society

According to Sebastian Thomas, Head of US technology research and portfolio manager at Allianz Global Investors, artificial intelligence, robotics, self-driving cars, biotechnology, targeted medicine and many other innovations will ultimately impact all facets of our (...)

March 2015

Opinion Europe – The darkest hour is just before the dawn

The European Central Bank (ECB) is embarking on quantitative easing (QE) at a time when tailwinds are already beginning to build behind the euro area economy. Threadneedle Investments’ fixed income fund manager Martin Harvey asks if we can dare to dream of a brighter (...)

March 2015

Opinion No big bang budget in India

India’s Union Budget, announced on the 28th February, broadly delivered what markets were looking for, but will have disappointed some expectations.

March 2015

Opinion Taking the Silk Road

The year of the goat, which has just begun, looks likely to herald a major push by China to establish a new “Silk Road”, the adoption of a new five-year plan to boost the country’s social and economic development and a pick-up in the pace of financial reform, according to Ross (...)

March 2015

Opinion The standoff between Greece and its partners is clearly softening

According to Eric Chaney Head of Research at AXA Investment Managers, this will not be the end of the Greek saga, since funding will remain quite challenging until the last tranche of the bailout is disbursed and the interest payments on the bonds held by the ECB are paid to (...)

February 2015

Opinion Central Banks: Clear Tasks Instead of Outdated Formulas

The financial and economic crisis has shown that central banks need leeway for ad hoc interventions in the monetary and credit cycle. A clear separation between financial and monetary policy would be a first step towards long-term (...)

February 2015

Opinion China goes for ’gently does it’

Chinese economic reforms continue, but the authorities are going about it carefully. After all, they don’t want to risk missing their growth targets. Oil-price declines and the US growth recovery are providing some welcome wind in China’s (...)

February 2015

Opinion ECB : a fresh deal of the cards

For once the ECB surprised markets on the upside at its 22 January meeting. Despite numerous press leaks, the measures announced widely exceeded the expectations of market participants … and of governments. This new monetary reality should provide support for European equity (...)

February 2015

Opinion There is scope for a deal on Greek debt

The Greek government and its creditors have strong incentives to reach an agreement – and have scope to find a mutually beneficial solutions. Negotiations will be difficult - temporary setbacks could cause bouts of market volatility over the next few months, but these may (...)

January 2015

Opinion QE to provide welcome eurozone boost

According to Azad Zangana, Europe Economist at Schroders, the ECB’s QE programme will benefit the Eurozone economy by reducing the risk of deflation; however, it is not a panacea for the monetary union’s ills. Deep structural reforms are required in order to raise Europe’s (...)

January 2015

Opinion Slowing China growth to prompt further stimulus

According to Craig Botham, Economist, Emerging Markets at Schroders, China’s economy expanded 7.3% in the final quarter of last year, beating expectations and recording a 7.4% expansion for the year as a whole, but failing to meet the government’s 7.5% (...)

January 2015

Opinion Swiss National Bank (SNB) decided to abandon its minimum exchange-rate floor policy

Salman Ahmed, LOIM’s Global Strategist, has commented on the Swiss National Bank’s policy update this morning. He discusses the implications for the Swiss currency and the wider impact on the eurozone economy.

January 2015

Opinion Climate change is an investment play for today

According to Luisa Florez, analyst at AXA IM, It is often said that climate and carbon themes are not financially material risk factors in the short to medium term. As an illustration, to date there have not been any signals from carbon markets to suggest that climate (...)

January 2015

Opinion According to ETF Securities, chinese domestic equities could benefit from more economic stimulus

Shadow banking is being reduced, in favor of bonds issued on the financial markets. In fact, to avoid credit drying up, the government, for example, has allowed local governments to issue their own bonds, which should "increase transparency and improve investor (...)

January 2015

Opinion Assessing the oil price shock

The sharp fall in oil prices during the second half of 2014 turned out to be one of the most significant themes of the year. In this piece, Salman Ahmed, Strategist Fixed Income at Lombard Odier IM discusses the economic transmission mechanism and asset market implications (...)

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Opinion Despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the roof

According to Daniele Bianchi, of Warwick Business School, is Assistant Professor of Finance and he researches crypto-currencies incluing Bitcoin, despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the (...)

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Opinion Are french OAT overvalued ?

According to John Gilbert, CIO of the Berkshire Hathaway’s subsidiary General Re-New England AM, French 10-year bonds should yield between 4.5% and 5%, closer to Italian and Spanish bonds rather than German ones. However, This opinion is not shared by the majority of the (...)

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Opinion Total Return Futures set for further growth as buy-side adoption increases

Eurex launched Total Return Futures (TRFs) in 2016 in response to growing demand for listed alternatives to total return swaps. Since then, the product has evolved into an instrument used by a wide variety of firms for multiple purposes, enabling firms to lock in financing (...)

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Opinion Review of the chinese economy at the end of the summer of 2019

The monthly data published at the start of the second quarter are fairly mixed and show no tangible signs of growth momentum improving in China. The GDP published for the second quarter has recently confirmed this sentiment. The slowdown at work since the start of the decade (...)

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Opinion Central Banks : the global financial system trashcans ?

Institutionalized monetization condemns central banks to become the international financial system trashcans and, despite German opposition, it is likely to be the same for the ECB.

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Opinion The year of the rat: China’s Economy is strong but investors need to be on their guard

As China enters the Year of the Rat this Saturday (25 January), Jasmine Kang, Portfolio Manager at Comgest, the independent, international asset management group focused on quality growth investing, believes that China’s growth has become more sustainable but that (...)

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Opinion Silver squeeze: What’s behind the surge in silver?

Silver is in the spotlight this week, after the popular r/WallStreetBets community on Reddit highlighted the fundamental value in acquiring silver at current levels. The online posting was the catalyst for increased retail flows and awareness. Last Thursday 28 January, the (...)

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Opinion German Government to introduce concept of Green Twin Bonds

After the Netherlands and Sweden, Germany has become the third AAA-rated country to issue a green government bond. The German government also announced its commitment to building a full green yield curve, next to its conventional yield (...)

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Opinion The end of accomodative policies, a new challenge for asset managers

According to Arnaud Faller, Deputy Managing Director, Chief Investment Officer at CPR AM, in this environment, we shall clearly favour equities over credit investments in developed markets, while leveraging on current opportunities in emerging bond and equity (...)

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Opinion Italy’s expansionary budget goals add to growing risks to sovereign rating

Italy’s announcement of a tentative budget deficit goal of 2.4% of GDP over 2019-2021 could compound the country’s existing debt sustainability challenges. This represents a significant risk to Italy’s A-/Negative Outlook (...)

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Opinion Are L/S Equity managers concerned by the covid resurgence?

Managers in the U.S. and Europe are continuing to reduce both their net and gross exposures, now converging near their long-term lows. They are selectively selling or shorting stocks that are the most exposed to tighter restrictions, preferring value stocks instead (to (...)

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Opinion Oil markets to barrel forward in 2011

The energy sector is turning a corner and we are at the early stages of a new upward cycle in oil markets, according to Robin Batchelor, manager of BlackRock’s BGF World Energy Fund...

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Opinion Robots have taken power in finance

Describe the real world with numbers is a trend that seems to be accelerating. Thus, digital technology is associated with financial models to show that we (human) interact with our environment using mathematical (...)

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Opinion Brexit and beyond: Investing in Europe amid Political Risk

Political risk has been a feature in European markets for years. Lately, from Italy’s fiscal squabbles to turmoil in the streets of France, it feels like the volume of political noise has risen. However, political risk is not a reason to avoid European (...)

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Opinion The second wave

As the coronavirus continues to impact the global economy, Charles Hepworth, Investment Director, GAM Investments, discusses the risks that a second wave of epidemics could pose in the future.

Focus

Opinion Psychology and smart beta

‘Smart beta’ sounds like an oxymoron. How smart can it be to continue using the same strategy in such fickle markets? A portfolio manager calling on all his skills (‘alpha’) in analysing market environments (the source of ‘beta’) should be able to outperform an unchanged (...)

Focus

Mory Doré’s column

Mory Doré’s views on monetary policy, asset allocation, financial management of banks and understanding of crises

Éclairages Économiques Notebook

The association Éclairages Économiques share with us analysis mostly relying on current research on various economics issues

Selection: Prospects

Regulation Regulatory prospects: 2012 and beyond

2009 was a year of intense reflection on the functioning of the financial sector. There followed an intense regulatory activity in 2010, unfortunately with few formal adoptions of regulations. 2011 marked the surge of the will to succeed with provisional schedules. Where do (...)

Reading An Economic Approach to Marriage

Marriages are not always very stable. A divorce rate of 50 % in developed countries serves to prove. We ask ourselves if it is possible to form stable relationships. An economic analysis may be able to answer this (...)

Note Aging population poses new opportunities for global investment managers

Early conclusions from ongoing SimCorp StrategyLab research point to demographic changes as a key factor influencing the future of the global investment management industry.

Note Launch of green bonds

The term «Green Bonds» is more frequently used to describe a market that should mature very fast in order to deal with numerous requests for investments in the field of green infrastructure projects.

Last commented articles

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Opinion Silver squeeze: What’s behind the surge in silver?
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FR Opinion Poisson d’avril sur les marchés
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