Note The impact of commodity prices on Emerging Markets
In the report, Nomura’s researchers highlight five channels through which emerging market economies are affected by lower commodity prices: Merchandise trade, CPI inflation, profit margins, fiscal positions, and GDP growth to assess the winners and losers in the Emerging (...)
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Strategy China in Africa
China’s burgeoning economy is demanding more and more natural mineral resources whether it is oil, copper, nickel, gold, and so on. Looking further into the future, the demands of China’s more sophisticated diets means that imports of food will be increasing as (...)
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Strategy Africa: A continent of opportunities
As global demand for commodities continues to grow, we believe Africa is in an enviable position with its vast resources, not only minerals but also food—60% of the world’s uncultivated arable land is in Africa...
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Opinion Russia now - should investors be bold or sit on the sidelines?
People are drawing parallels with the Crimean annexation and sanctions put in place then - which heavily impacted the Russian market. But the macroeconomic Russian situation is very different today - it is much (...)
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News SMEs switching to Renminbi for Chinese business according to DB survey
In spite of increasing volatility in foreign exchange markets, only around half of companies that were surveyed hedge foreign exchange risks in Renminbi transactions...
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Strategy Agricultural land rush of investment funds!
After launching products indexed to changes in prices of agricultural products, many banks and investment funds are turning now to the land acquisition...
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Opinion China is becoming middle aged, so it’s slowing down a bit
In some ways, the rise of China has been too good to be true. Its economy has grown with breakneck speed for decades (an average of 9.1% a year since 1994, with a lowest rate of 6%) – if we can believe the official (...)
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Opinion Beneath the headlines: three stories that might surprise investors in 2020
Over the past twelve months, the US/China trade dispute has dominated headlines and commanded a considerable slice of the world’s attention. Yet, while any breakthrough would be significant for investors and positive for sentiment in Emerging Markets (EM), we think there are (...)
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Opinion After Modi’s landslide win, all eyes on what he does for the Indian economy
India’s Narendra Modi won a second term as Prime Minster after a landslide win in the general elections in the world’s largest democracy. Mr. Modi’s party BJP won a simple majority with almost 300 out of 542 seats in the Lok Sabha (India’s equivalent of the House of (...)
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News Nomura Asset Management launches in Middle East
Japanese fund manager Nomura Asset Management (NAM) has launched an office in Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) as part of its ongoing commitment to the Middle East.
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Opinion India’s “Goldilocks moment”
A stable government, a can-do prime minister and a recovering economy may prove to be the best recipe yet for Indian stocks, according to Avinash Vazirani, manager of the Jupiter India Select SICAV fund. Add in a falling oil price, says Avinash, and Indian firms might just (...)
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News Fitch Affirms Nigeria at ’BB-’; Outlook Stable
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Nigeria’s Long-term foreign and local currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDR) at ’BB-’ and ’BB’ respectively with a Stable Outlook. The agency has also affirmed Nigeria’s Short-term foreign currency IDR at ’B’. The Country Ceiling has been affirmed at (...)
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Opinion India: After a period of euphoria, doubts are resurfacing
According to Laetitia Baldeschi, Co-Head of Research and Strategy at CPR AM, their equity managers are therefore underweight on India within their CPR GEAR Emergents strategy relative to the MSCI Emerging index.
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Opinion 2017 outlook: China equities
Charlie Awdry, China portfolio manager, shares his views on the prospects for Chinese stocks in 2017. He believes the focus on high quality growth companies exposed to long-term consumer trends and cyclical value stocks places his portfolios in good stead to deliver (...)
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Strategy The market’s focus on risks to EM from slower Chinese growth creates opportunities for stock pickers
According to Ross Teverson, Head of Global Emerging Markets Strategy at Jupiter, market is overly focused on risk rather than opportunity, EM valuations already price in a very negative scenario and recent weakness has created the opportunity to invest in positive long-term (...)
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