Opinion The Euro will survive In fine !
We do not believe or at least most of the implosion scenarios of the euro zone regardless of the terms. -Not because we would be trying to find one or several sustainable solutions to the crisis of sovereign debt, but because such a process would cost too much to everybody (...)
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Stories The Greek crisis : the Danaides’ barrel ?
Back on the Greek saga or the largest bankruptcy in the 21st century without credit event trigger (to date). The succession of bailout plans shows that we do not simply resolve the insolvency of a country by emergency (...)
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Opinion The Euro will survive, but not the current Euro zone !
If the existence of the euro is not challenged, it is the case of the euro zone in its current configuration. In the same way that cohabitation between countries with maintaining parity exchange had become impossible in the EMS, cohabitation has become impossible within (...)
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News Gold as collateral for a participation in the Greek support plan
Will Finland jeopardize the Greek plan? The country requires collateral in exchange for its participation in the support plan. The German labour minister, Ursula Von Der Leyen, has agreed to those terms…
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Opinion The never ending story
The fall-out from the Lehman default in 2008 should remind everybody that a negative feedback mechanism into other parts of the financial system and the real economy can create a negative-sum game for all parties (...)
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Note Sorting out the Greek issue
The aim of this short article is to set the ideas straight regarding the Greek situation. Several issues are considered, the first of which being that of economic growth. If the latter does not make any progress, it will be very difficult to reach public finance stability. (...)
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Kiosk Crisis, stock market crash and risk management in 2011
Turmoil around sovereigns’ solvency and the strong market drop currently observed raise many questions and misunderstandings. Taking a short break to look back at some analysis and themes developed throughout the year seems then (...)
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Opinion Reviewing the bank stress tests – July 2011
As was seen during the stress tests carried out in July 2010, the latest ones published by the European Banking Authority on the 15th of July 2011 do not include a proper measure of market systemic risk. This hinders their (...)
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Note The frantic flight to liquidity and solvency
Some markets have been exhibiting dysfunctions for nearly 4 years. The flight to liquidity and compliance with solvency requirements of banks and states with financial issues, have been - and still is - only ensured by non-conventional financing provisions and emergency (...)
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Financial crisis Back on the true origins of the crisis
More than 4 years after the official start, now where everyone wonders how we will emerge from this ongoing crisis, let’s come back for a moment on the true origins.
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Opinion What would happen in case of Grexit?
According to William Davies, Head of global equities at Threadneedle Investments if Greece leaves the euro, contagion will be feared, the volatility of a currency under threat will resurface, and we revisit the throes of the euro crisis we endured a few years back. Not our (...)
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Strategy Buy in may and go away
According to Mandarine Gestion, current valuation levels in the banking sector constitute opportunities rarely seen over a medium-term horizon. However, over the short term, investors are preferring to focus on two factors while at the same time exaggerating in our view (...)
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Opinion Greece: awaiting the inevitable
The credit default swap market is pricing in a 65% probability of a default within the next five years.
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Opinion Greece rescue - Behind the scenes
Debt rescheduling, monetary policies questioning and EFSF bond purchases in the secondary market. These are the key steps of a plan that should not significantly affect banks’ net income but rather spread economic losses over (...)
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Opinion European Crisis: Historic turning point for the European and Global Economy ?
The 26 and 27 October European Summit was followed by a spectacular rise in the Markets. Does this mark the historic turning point as some analysts would have us believe or is it simply some extra time won?
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News
Greece: a possible lengthening of debt repayment -
November 2010
