Highlights

October 2018

Opinion Italy’s expansionary budget goals add to growing risks to sovereign rating

Italy’s announcement of a tentative budget deficit goal of 2.4% of GDP over 2019-2021 could compound the country’s existing debt sustainability challenges. This represents a significant risk to Italy’s A-/Negative Outlook (...)

Opinion

Greece: referendum reaction

Opinion

Europe – The darkest hour is just before the dawn

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November 2010

Opinion Ireland is not second Greece

According to irish economist Cathal Brugha, professor of University College of Dublin (UCD) School of Business, Ireland does not face a similar crisis like Greece

May 2010

Opinion European Debt: Focus on Spain

Spain is at the heart of the European debt crisis. In the space of one year, Spain’s long term credit rating was reduced from AAA to AA, with a negative outlook.

February 2010

News Currency Swaps to hide Greek debt?

The general opinion that Goldman Sachs might have helped the Greek government to hide its debt through Currency Swaps, leaves one more than skeptical.....

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Strategy Buy in may and go away

According to Mandarine Gestion, current valuation levels in the banking sector constitute opportunities rarely seen over a medium-term horizon. However, over the short term, investors are preferring to focus on two factors while at the same time exaggerating in our view (...)

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Opinion Again and again the bank stress tests

Certainly it never ceases to write about the bank stress tests since it keeps getting more into banks; if proof were needed of the total lack of credibility of those made up to now

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Note The July – August 2011 market crash. Technical analysis and long term issues!

According to Jacques Ninet, head of research at UFG-LFP, it is obvious that the monetary European Union (an imperfect Trojan horse towards federalism) only gets half the job done when it comes to forging economic (...)

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Strategy What would it take to solve the eurozone crisis?

Last year’s key call was to spot the indebtedness of peripheral European governments and go underweight quickly. Those who did prospered all year, but in January of this year they got a nasty shock as peripheral spreads came rattling in and peripheral financials (...)

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News Crédit Agricole strengthens balance sheets.

In a message to investors, Crédit Agricole has presented its new strategy in a context marked by the lack of confidence of markets in European banks. The group is adjusting to this new operating environment.

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Kiosk Understanding the eurozone crisis and its various facets

The current crisis is multiple. Initially sovereign and financial, it then became a social and political crisis. These changes do not facilitate the assessment of the situation, let alone the implementation of solutions. Back on the various facets of the (...)

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Note Challenges for Europe’s banks

Even in the seemingly unlikely case that a comprehensive solution to the sovereign crisis is found, the changed regulatory backdrop is a major challenge for the banks, and probably for the economy as a whole.

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News Currency Swaps to hide Greek debt?

The general opinion that Goldman Sachs might have helped the Greek government to hide its debt through Currency Swaps, leaves one more than skeptical.....

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Opinion What would happen in case of Grexit?

According to William Davies, Head of global equities at Threadneedle Investments if Greece leaves the euro, contagion will be feared, the volatility of a currency under threat will resurface, and we revisit the throes of the euro crisis we endured a few years back. Not our (...)

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Opinion How long will Eurobonds be set aside?

The introduction of Eurobonds which is collectively supported by all Eurozone members has been presented as a means of reducing the burden of the countries impacted by the sovereign debt crisis. This is not the opinion of German authorities for the time being…for how (...)

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Opinion Greece: awaiting the inevitable

The credit default swap market is pricing in a 65% probability of a default within the next five years.

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Opinion Is there Corporate Life after the Euro

Several opinion leaders have started a public debate regarding the possibility to breakup the Euro and return to the former local currencies. In light of this debate, we look at the possible implications of this break-up scenario for companies active on the Euro capital (...)

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Reading Exit the Euro ? A dangerous idea

The Eurozone, undergoing a test of fire is rocking Europe both financially and economically. The Economist Evariste Lefeuvre proposes to a large audience a dispassionate analysis of the single currency crisis to be viewed in a positive and completely neutral (...)

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News IMF experts believe European banks heavily undercapitalized!

Christine Lagarde and her team believe that European banks could need € 200 billion...

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News Chinese rating agency Dagong downgrades the U.S rating

The Chinese rating agency Dagong Global Credit Rating Co. has downgraded last Thursday the credit rating of the United States to A +, on negative watch for possible downgrade. The agency had already downgraded the rating of France and (...)

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News Eurozone: How the City is bracing itself for the worst.

Within the large investment banks, special teams consisting of 10 to 30 people have been assembled in order to develop rescue kits designed to face all types of scenarios resulting from a breakup of the Eurozone.

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Greek crisis

Focus on the greek crisis

Irish crisis

Focus on the irish crisis

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