Highlights

July 2015

Opinion Greece: referendum reaction

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras won a resounding mandate to reject the package of austerity measures on the table in Greece’s referendum yesterday. This is but the latest twist in a road that increasingly seems to be leading towards Greece’s departure from the (...)

Opinion

Europe – The darkest hour is just before the dawn

Opinion

What would happen in case of Grexit?

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September 2012

Note Scenarios for Public Sector Debt

The evolution of public sector debt depends on a number of economic variables and how they interact. Within the Eurozone, German and French debt looks sustainable while Italy, Portugal and Ireland appear borderline.

March 2012

Opinion The Euro will survive, but not the current Euro zone !

If the existence of the euro is not challenged, it is the case of the euro zone in its current configuration. In the same way that cohabitation between countries with maintaining parity exchange had become impossible in the EMS, cohabitation has become impossible within (...)

March 2012

Note Rating Agencies

The American case during August 2011 and that of France in January shows that the loss of an AAA rating does not necessarily lead to a higher interest rate adjustment.

December 2011

Opinion The Euro will survive In fine !

We do not believe or at least most of the implosion scenarios of the euro zone regardless of the terms. -Not because we would be trying to find one or several sustainable solutions to the crisis of sovereign debt, but because such a process would cost too much to everybody (...)

December 2011

Interview Jeremy Bell : « The rescue plans will not hamper the availability of liquidity to funds »

According to Jeremy Bell, business lawyer and associate at Ashurst in London, some firms are making sure that their euro deposits are in bank accounts located in strong Eurozone countries instead of accounts in weak (...)

December 2011

Note Challenges for Europe’s banks

Even in the seemingly unlikely case that a comprehensive solution to the sovereign crisis is found, the changed regulatory backdrop is a major challenge for the banks, and probably for the economy as a whole.

December 2011

Innovation The ECB announces 3 years refinancing measures !

The ECB has adopted a historic longer term refinancing measure to support bank lending and money market activity. It also decided to lower the threshold rating for certain securities as collateral ...

November 2011

Opinion Is there Corporate Life after the Euro

Several opinion leaders have started a public debate regarding the possibility to breakup the Euro and return to the former local currencies. In light of this debate, we look at the possible implications of this break-up scenario for companies active on the Euro capital (...)

November 2011

Kiosk Understanding the eurozone crisis and its various facets

The current crisis is multiple. Initially sovereign and financial, it then became a social and political crisis. These changes do not facilitate the assessment of the situation, let alone the implementation of solutions. Back on the various facets of the (...)

November 2011

Opinion Central Banks : the global financial system trashcans ?

Institutionalized monetization condemns central banks to become the international financial system trashcans and, despite German opposition, it is likely to be the same for the ECB.

November 2011

Financial crisis Back on the true origins of the crisis

More than 4 years after the official start, now where everyone wonders how we will emerge from this ongoing crisis, let’s come back for a moment on the true origins.

October 2011

Opinion European Crisis: Historic turning point for the European and Global Economy ?

The 26 and 27 October European Summit was followed by a spectacular rise in the Markets. Does this mark the historic turning point as some analysts would have us believe or is it simply some extra time won?

October 2011

Stories The Greek crisis : the Danaides’ barrel ?

Back on the Greek saga or the largest bankruptcy in the 21st century without credit event trigger (to date). The succession of bailout plans shows that we do not simply resolve the insolvency of a country by emergency (...)

October 2011

Opinion Again and again the bank stress tests

Certainly it never ceases to write about the bank stress tests since it keeps getting more into banks; if proof were needed of the total lack of credibility of those made up to now

October 2011

Note Survey: European investors are optimistic for the future of the Euro

It emerges from an poll, conducted by the Global Alliance of Investors, dealing with institutional investors in Europe, that 80% of those questioned, believe in the ability of the euro to cope with current challenges. British investors are less (...)

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Opinion Euro to gain reserve status and expand in the coming years

According to Michael Story, economist at Western Asset, while some peripheral European countries will be unable to escape restructuring their debt, the euro is unlikely to collapse any time soon as a result, and should in the short to medium term strengthen its position as a (...)

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Opinion The four potential scenarios to the Eurozone crisis

Mike Story, economist at Western Asset Management, analyses the outcome of the four potential scenarios to the Eurozone crisis: no Eurozone restructuring, orderly Eurozone restructuring, disorderly Eurozone restructuring or Eurozone (...)

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Opinion The monetary policy crapshoot

One of the key factors driving the relentless move up in equity markets has been the massive surge in liquidity supplied by central banks. One of the biggest risks in the second quarter is whether the liquidity tailwind turns into a headwind for (...)

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News The euro currency area has only a one-in-five chance of surviving in its current form

The euro currency area has only a one-in-five chance of surviving in its current form over the next 10 years because of competitive imbalances between its members, a leading British think tank said on Friday.

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News Sarkozy wants major changes in commodities markets !

Sarkozy also told speculators to be prepared for big losses if they bet against the euro

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Note Scenarios for Public Sector Debt

The evolution of public sector debt depends on a number of economic variables and how they interact. Within the Eurozone, German and French debt looks sustainable while Italy, Portugal and Ireland appear borderline.

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Note Rating Agencies

The American case during August 2011 and that of France in January shows that the loss of an AAA rating does not necessarily lead to a higher interest rate adjustment.

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Opinion The Financial Crisis 2008 - 2011 : repetitions

We have exhausted our recourse to borrowing. Other ways must be found if we want to avoid general bankruptcy

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Note The EMF has been created, long live the EMF!

Philip Hall and Adrian Paturle give an update on the operation of ESM: European leaders have largely been inspired by the IMF...

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Strategy Buy in may and go away

According to Mandarine Gestion, current valuation levels in the banking sector constitute opportunities rarely seen over a medium-term horizon. However, over the short term, investors are preferring to focus on two factors while at the same time exaggerating in our view (...)

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Opinion Greece: awaiting the inevitable

The credit default swap market is pricing in a 65% probability of a default within the next five years.

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Note Survey: European investors are optimistic for the future of the Euro

It emerges from an poll, conducted by the Global Alliance of Investors, dealing with institutional investors in Europe, that 80% of those questioned, believe in the ability of the euro to cope with current challenges. British investors are less (...)

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Opinion The never ending story

The fall-out from the Lehman default in 2008 should remind everybody that a negative feedback mechanism into other parts of the financial system and the real economy can create a negative-sum game for all parties (...)

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Opinion Today’s European country in the sovereign debt crisis spotlight is…France

Russell Investments’ Chief Investment officer – Client Investment Strategies Erik Ristuben explains why the European sovereign debt crisis is spilling over into France

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Opinion Ireland is not second Greece

According to irish economist Cathal Brugha, professor of University College of Dublin (UCD) School of Business, Ireland does not face a similar crisis like Greece

Focus

News Eurozone: How the City is bracing itself for the worst.

Within the large investment banks, special teams consisting of 10 to 30 people have been assembled in order to develop rescue kits designed to face all types of scenarios resulting from a breakup of the Eurozone.

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Greek crisis

Focus on the greek crisis

Irish crisis

Focus on the irish crisis

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