January 2015
Opinion What would happen in case of Grexit?
According to William Davies, Head of global equities at Threadneedle Investments if Greece leaves the euro, contagion will be feared, the volatility of a currency under threat will resurface, and we revisit the throes of the euro crisis we endured a few years back. Not our (...)
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September 2012
Note Scenarios for Public Sector Debt
The evolution of public sector debt depends on a number of economic variables and how they interact. Within the Eurozone, German and French debt looks sustainable while Italy, Portugal and Ireland appear borderline.
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March 2012
Opinion The Euro will survive, but not the current Euro zone !
If the existence of the euro is not challenged, it is the case of the euro zone in its current configuration. In the same way that cohabitation between countries with maintaining parity exchange had become impossible in the EMS, cohabitation has become impossible within (...)
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March 2012
Note Rating Agencies
The American case during August 2011 and that of France in January shows that the loss of an AAA rating does not necessarily lead to a higher interest rate adjustment.
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December 2011
Opinion The Euro will survive In fine !
We do not believe or at least most of the implosion scenarios of the euro zone regardless of the terms. -Not because we would be trying to find one or several sustainable solutions to the crisis of sovereign debt, but because such a process would cost too much to everybody (...)
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December 2011
Interview Jeremy Bell : « The rescue plans will not hamper the availability of liquidity to funds »
According to Jeremy Bell, business lawyer and associate at Ashurst in London, some firms are making sure that their euro deposits are in bank accounts located in strong Eurozone countries instead of accounts in weak (...)
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December 2011
Note Challenges for Europe’s banks
Even in the seemingly unlikely case that a comprehensive solution to the sovereign crisis is found, the changed regulatory backdrop is a major challenge for the banks, and probably for the economy as a whole.
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December 2011
Innovation The ECB announces 3 years refinancing measures !
The ECB has adopted a historic longer term refinancing measure to support bank lending and money market activity. It also decided to lower the threshold rating for certain securities as collateral ...
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November 2011
Opinion Is there Corporate Life after the Euro
Several opinion leaders have started a public debate regarding the possibility to breakup the Euro and return to the former local currencies. In light of this debate, we look at the possible implications of this break-up scenario for companies active on the Euro capital (...)
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November 2011
Kiosk Understanding the eurozone crisis and its various facets
The current crisis is multiple. Initially sovereign and financial, it then became a social and political crisis. These changes do not facilitate the assessment of the situation, let alone the implementation of solutions. Back on the various facets of the (...)
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November 2011
Opinion Central Banks : the global financial system trashcans ?
Institutionalized monetization condemns central banks to become the international financial system trashcans and, despite German opposition, it is likely to be the same for the ECB.
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November 2011
Financial crisis Back on the true origins of the crisis
More than 4 years after the official start, now where everyone wonders how we will emerge from this ongoing crisis, let’s come back for a moment on the true origins.
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October 2011
Opinion European Crisis: Historic turning point for the European and Global Economy ?
The 26 and 27 October European Summit was followed by a spectacular rise in the Markets. Does this mark the historic turning point as some analysts would have us believe or is it simply some extra time won?
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October 2011
Stories The Greek crisis : the Danaides’ barrel ?
Back on the Greek saga or the largest bankruptcy in the 21st century without credit event trigger (to date). The succession of bailout plans shows that we do not simply resolve the insolvency of a country by emergency (...)
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October 2011
Opinion Again and again the bank stress tests
Certainly it never ceases to write about the bank stress tests since it keeps getting more into banks; if proof were needed of the total lack of credibility of those made up to now
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News
Greece: a possible lengthening of debt repayment -
November 2010
