Highlights

October 2018

Opinion Italy’s expansionary budget goals add to growing risks to sovereign rating

Italy’s announcement of a tentative budget deficit goal of 2.4% of GDP over 2019-2021 could compound the country’s existing debt sustainability challenges. This represents a significant risk to Italy’s A-/Negative Outlook (...)

Opinion

Greece: referendum reaction

Opinion

Europe – The darkest hour is just before the dawn

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August 2011

Opinion Today’s European country in the sovereign debt crisis spotlight is…France

Russell Investments’ Chief Investment officer – Client Investment Strategies Erik Ristuben explains why the European sovereign debt crisis is spilling over into France

August 2011

News Record purchase of bonds by the ECB

The European central bank revealed on Monday it bought for 22 billion € of sovereign debt last week as part of its plan of bond purchasing program, activated to stop the debt crisis contagion to other countries in the Euro (...)

August 2011

Kiosk Crisis, stock market crash and risk management in 2011

Turmoil around sovereigns’ solvency and the strong market drop currently observed raise many questions and misunderstandings. Taking a short break to look back at some analysis and themes developed throughout the year seems then (...)

August 2011

Strategy Nordic Sovereign bonds, the last safe investment in Europe?

The yield of the Swedish 10 year notes fell to a new historical low. A move which indicates that Sweden is viewed by Investors as a new hedge…

August 2011

News Rumors were close to destroy the Société Générale

4 Billion losses related to ETFs, losses in its Greek subsidiary and ECB rescue amounting € 5 Billion...this is an anthology of the rumors that ran in the markets about Société Générale.

August 2011

News ECB to buy Italian and Spanish bonds

The European Central Bank, which has announced strong intervention on the markets, will buy Italian and Spanish debt according to a source close to the bank

August 2011

Opinion Investors and sovereign debt: a love-hate relationship?

Rarely has the relationship of investors with sovereign debt been more ambivalent. The Western media tell us that we face a debt crisis, with debt-to- GDP ratios approaching 100%

August 2011

Opinion Greece rescue - Behind the scenes

Debt rescheduling, monetary policies questioning and EFSF bond purchases in the secondary market. These are the key steps of a plan that should not significantly affect banks’ net income but rather spread economic losses over (...)

July 2011

Note What is penalizing the industrialized countries?

The dynamics of Western countries are inadequate because, two years after leaving the recession behind, their economies still seem unable to implement a sturdy, autonomous trajectory of growth, explains Philippe Waechter, chief economist at Natixis (...)

July 2011

Opinion Eurozone crisis – a constructive response

What the package has done is help to create a fire-break to avoid the spread of contagion throughout the eurozone.

July 2011

Opinion Reviewing the bank stress tests – July 2011

As was seen during the stress tests carried out in July 2010, the latest ones published by the European Banking Authority on the 15th of July 2011 do not include a proper measure of market systemic risk. This hinders their (...)

July 2011

News Chinese rating agency Dagong downgrades the U.S rating

The Chinese rating agency Dagong Global Credit Rating Co. has downgraded last Thursday the credit rating of the United States to A +, on negative watch for possible downgrade. The agency had already downgraded the rating of France and (...)

July 2011

Note Euro zone bailout plans: origin and utilization

Back on bailout plans granted to countries in the Euro zone encountering severe fiscal deficits since May 2010. How are tens of billions Euros raised, what are they for, and mainly, are those amounts enough to re-establish the public finances and stabilize those countries (...)

July 2011

News Greece rescue plan: The resurgence of structured finance?

The Greek rescue plan, suggested by a consortium of banks led by BNP Paribas, praises the techniques of structured finance, with this time the politicals’ blessing...

June 2011

Note Sorting out the Greek issue

The aim of this short article is to set the ideas straight regarding the Greek situation. Several issues are considered, the first of which being that of economic growth. If the latter does not make any progress, it will be very difficult to reach public finance stability. (...)

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Reading Exit the Euro ? A dangerous idea

The Eurozone, undergoing a test of fire is rocking Europe both financially and economically. The Economist Evariste Lefeuvre proposes to a large audience a dispassionate analysis of the single currency crisis to be viewed in a positive and completely neutral (...)

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Stories The Greek crisis : the Danaides’ barrel ?

Back on the Greek saga or the largest bankruptcy in the 21st century without credit event trigger (to date). The succession of bailout plans shows that we do not simply resolve the insolvency of a country by emergency (...)

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Opinion The Euro will survive In fine !

We do not believe or at least most of the implosion scenarios of the euro zone regardless of the terms. -Not because we would be trying to find one or several sustainable solutions to the crisis of sovereign debt, but because such a process would cost too much to everybody (...)

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Opinion The Euro will survive, but not the current Euro zone !

If the existence of the euro is not challenged, it is the case of the euro zone in its current configuration. In the same way that cohabitation between countries with maintaining parity exchange had become impossible in the EMS, cohabitation has become impossible within (...)

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Note The frantic flight to liquidity and solvency

Some markets have been exhibiting dysfunctions for nearly 4 years. The flight to liquidity and compliance with solvency requirements of banks and states with financial issues, have been - and still is - only ensured by non-conventional financing provisions and emergency (...)

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Opinion Central Banks : the global financial system trashcans ?

Institutionalized monetization condemns central banks to become the international financial system trashcans and, despite German opposition, it is likely to be the same for the ECB.

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Note Euro zone bailout plans: origin and utilization

Back on bailout plans granted to countries in the Euro zone encountering severe fiscal deficits since May 2010. How are tens of billions Euros raised, what are they for, and mainly, are those amounts enough to re-establish the public finances and stabilize those countries (...)

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Financial crisis Back on the true origins of the crisis

More than 4 years after the official start, now where everyone wonders how we will emerge from this ongoing crisis, let’s come back for a moment on the true origins.

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Opinion Reviewing the bank stress tests – July 2011

As was seen during the stress tests carried out in July 2010, the latest ones published by the European Banking Authority on the 15th of July 2011 do not include a proper measure of market systemic risk. This hinders their (...)

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Note Rating Agencies

The American case during August 2011 and that of France in January shows that the loss of an AAA rating does not necessarily lead to a higher interest rate adjustment.

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Opinion Again and again the bank stress tests

Certainly it never ceases to write about the bank stress tests since it keeps getting more into banks; if proof were needed of the total lack of credibility of those made up to now

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Kiosk Understanding the eurozone crisis and its various facets

The current crisis is multiple. Initially sovereign and financial, it then became a social and political crisis. These changes do not facilitate the assessment of the situation, let alone the implementation of solutions. Back on the various facets of the (...)

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Note Scenarios for Public Sector Debt

The evolution of public sector debt depends on a number of economic variables and how they interact. Within the Eurozone, German and French debt looks sustainable while Italy, Portugal and Ireland appear borderline.

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News Crédit Agricole strengthens balance sheets.

In a message to investors, Crédit Agricole has presented its new strategy in a context marked by the lack of confidence of markets in European banks. The group is adjusting to this new operating environment.

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News The euro currency area has only a one-in-five chance of surviving in its current form

The euro currency area has only a one-in-five chance of surviving in its current form over the next 10 years because of competitive imbalances between its members, a leading British think tank said on Friday.

Focus

News Eurozone: How the City is bracing itself for the worst.

Within the large investment banks, special teams consisting of 10 to 30 people have been assembled in order to develop rescue kits designed to face all types of scenarios resulting from a breakup of the Eurozone.

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Greek crisis

Focus on the greek crisis

Irish crisis

Focus on the irish crisis

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