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August 2022

Opinion Euro Parity: Threshold or Boundary?

The euro is subject to enormous economic forces that could equally be very positive for the currency or the cause of an even greater fall.

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The Number of Bitcoin ATMs Surged by 70% in Six Months and hit 16,500 in March

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Crypto Miners Raked in $1.3B in February, the Highest Value So Far

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December 2019

Innovation Neuberger Berman launches Macro Opportunities FX Fund

The fund’s investment strategy is based on an established process, which has a track record of producing returns with a low correlation to equities, bonds and alternatives, demonstrating particularly strong resilience in adverse market (...)

September 2018

Opinion Is South Africa the Next Currency Crisis?

2018 has been marked by various emerging market crises. From Turkey to Argentina, confidence has eroded, resulting in bond and currency chaos. There is a growing focus on South Africa, and our analysis suggests that will (...)

May 2018

Opinion Anatomy of a dollar rally

In the era of Central Bank policy influence, we have become used to large shifts in the performance and trends of different currencies across time. For the better part of the past two years, the currency headlines have been dominated by a weakening US (...)

December 2017

Opinion Despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the roof

According to Daniele Bianchi, of Warwick Business School, is Assistant Professor of Finance and he researches crypto-currencies incluing Bitcoin, despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the (...)

November 2017

Innovation TOBAM launches first Bitcoin mutual fund in Europe

TOBAM, the Smart Beta pioneer, announced today the launch of the TOBAM Bitcoin Fund, an unregulated Alternative Investment Fund, set up in France. The fund, the first of its kind in Europe, will allow qualified and institutional investors wanting to gain an exposure to the (...)

April 2017

News The euro jumped by 1% this morning against the US dollar to 1.0836, while defensive assets dropped

The French OAT- German Bund yield spreads tighten by 16bps as market’s pricing in the likely outcome of Macron winning the elections as many French political leaders now support him in an effort to block the Far-right Le (...)

December 2016

News Euro surpasses RMB in traditional trade finance

Since the launch of the first SWIFT RMB Tracker in November 2011, the RMB has shown stellar growth for payments, whilst RMB usage by value in traditional trade finance – letters of credit and collections – has been decreasing since 2014. The Chinese currency is now the (...)

October 2016

Opinion Hard time for sterling

According to Luc Luyet and Frederik Ducrozet, Asset Allocation & Macro Research, Pictet Wealth Management, the sharp drop of the sterling on Friday 7 October at the start of trading in Asia with the currency declining 6% in the course of twenty minutes was the climax of (...)

September 2016

News Global FX trading averages $5.1 trillion a day in April 2016; spot trading falls while FX swaps rise

The 2016 Triennial Central Bank Survey of foreign exchange (FX) and over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives markets activity shows a decline in FX spot trading for the first time since 2001, even as activity in FX derivatives continued to (...)

June 2016

Strategy Brexit: ETF Securities sees rise in demand for short-GBP ETFs

According to James Butterfill, Head of Research and Investment Strategy at ETF Securities, most investors believe that the greatest short-term impact - of fear of Brexit rather than Brexit itself - will be on sterling and consequently he has seen a big rise in short (...)

June 2016

Opinion Brexit referendum: more volatility ahead for Sterling

According to James Butterfill, Head of Research at ETF Securities comments, Brexit is the mother of all market uncertainties: legal, political, economic, polling and currency risk combining to make any confidence about the short-term outlook (...)

April 2016

Strategy JPY at risk of reversal: who wins? who loses?

JPY and Japanese equities were the outcast of the rally, in diffidence of Abenomics’ and BoJ’s chances of success. They bear a risk of a reversal ahead of the coming BoJ meetings (April 28 & June 16) and the July Upper House (...)

February 2016

Strategy Fed, Oil, yuan: towards a triple capitulation?

The first few days of the year were particularly challenging for capital markets. Further incertitude regarding the strength of the US cycle and the possibility that the Chinese economy is weathering a heavy depression drove risky assets lower, bucking the traditional (...)

February 2016

Note Signs of global liquidity tightening for emerging markets

Global liquidity conditions may have begun to tighten for emerging market economies (EMEs), according to updated data from the Bank for International Settlements. BIS General Manager Jaime Caruana detailed highlights from the latest global liquidity indicators, a measure of (...)

November 2015

Note On the impact of Brexit on sterling

As yet, sterling appears not to have reacted to the looming referendum on the UK’s continued membership of the European Union. Over the short to medium term, however, the currency should end up reacting negatively, so great is the fallout for the British economy. In (...)

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News Currency Swaps to hide Greek debt?

The general opinion that Goldman Sachs might have helped the Greek government to hide its debt through Currency Swaps, leaves one more than skeptical.....

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News Capital outflows from Russia are manageable

According to Fitch, capital outflow from Russia has increased sharply in the 4th quarter, but does not currently seem high enough to affect the country’s BBB rating...

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Financial crisis Eurozone: 3 future scenarios

This is the first part of a series consisting of 3 articles covering the perspectives of the Eurozone… In order to get out of the crisis, three scenarios are conceivable. The most probable of them is unfortunately the one where one or several countries exit the economic and (...)

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News Rouble, Rates Moves Heighten Russian Economy Risks

Risks to Russia’s economy in 2015 have been increased by this week’s extreme volatility in the rouble and the sharp rise in interest rates, Fitch Ratings says.

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Note Financial crisis indicators and safe haven assets

How to measure the intensity of the current financial and economic crisis? Regular monitoring of a number of economic and financial indicators helps answering this question and better understanding the materialization of panic behavior and portfolio reallocations in the (...)

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Strategy Fundamentals point to a weaker euro

This has been a bleak month for the euro zone. A string of weak data releases, including flat region-wide GDP growth, and a contraction in Germany and Italy (the latter for the second quarter in a row, indicating recession), suggests the recovery not been (...)

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Strategy Volatility : An asset class to make a portfolio more robust to crises

Investors, especially those of long-term maturity, should take advantage, to make their portfolios less vulnerable to episodes of market stress...

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News Sarkozy wants major changes in commodities markets !

Sarkozy also told speculators to be prepared for big losses if they bet against the euro

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Strategy Caution in order for emerging currencies in short term

For nearly one month, the renewed strains experienced by US long rates following the good October employment data (despite the shutdown) have triggered a new correction on the part of emerging currencies (even though they have stabilised somewhat of (...)

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Opinion Brexit referendum: more volatility ahead for Sterling

According to James Butterfill, Head of Research at ETF Securities comments, Brexit is the mother of all market uncertainties: legal, political, economic, polling and currency risk combining to make any confidence about the short-term outlook (...)

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Strategy JPY at risk of reversal: who wins? who loses?

JPY and Japanese equities were the outcast of the rally, in diffidence of Abenomics’ and BoJ’s chances of success. They bear a risk of a reversal ahead of the coming BoJ meetings (April 28 & June 16) and the July Upper House (...)

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Opinion Bumpy ride for emerging currencies over summer

Emerging currencies were under pressure this summer. Save for the Indonesian rupiah, Thai baht, Malaysian ringgit and Chinese yuan, emerging currencies has corrected against the US dollar since 30 June. It is mainly the CEEMEA currencies and, to a lesser extent, Latin (...)

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Strategy Investing during market turmoil

The idea that considers equity investing as long term has simply become absurd nowadays and has been so during the last 10 years. Let us be reassured. Opportunities will still be around. The only real question nowadays is how to allocate between real assets and financial (...)

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Strategy Currencies: The investment theme of the next decade?

A wind of change is blowing on the international monetary system, which could start a new chapter of its history. Investment Strategy Specialist at ING Investment Management, Vincent Juvyns presents current issues and explains how they can be an investment (...)

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News The euro jumped by 1% this morning against the US dollar to 1.0836, while defensive assets dropped

The French OAT- German Bund yield spreads tighten by 16bps as market’s pricing in the likely outcome of Macron winning the elections as many French political leaders now support him in an effort to block the Far-right Le (...)

Focus

News Eurozone: How the City is bracing itself for the worst.

Within the large investment banks, special teams consisting of 10 to 30 people have been assembled in order to develop rescue kits designed to face all types of scenarios resulting from a breakup of the Eurozone.

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