Opinion The never ending story
The fall-out from the Lehman default in 2008 should remind everybody that a negative feedback mechanism into other parts of the financial system and the real economy can create a negative-sum game for all parties (...)
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News Gold as collateral for a participation in the Greek support plan
Will Finland jeopardize the Greek plan? The country requires collateral in exchange for its participation in the support plan. The German labour minister, Ursula Von Der Leyen, has agreed to those terms…
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Note Sorting out the Greek issue
The aim of this short article is to set the ideas straight regarding the Greek situation. Several issues are considered, the first of which being that of economic growth. If the latter does not make any progress, it will be very difficult to reach public finance stability. (...)
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Opinion Reviewing the bank stress tests – July 2011
As was seen during the stress tests carried out in July 2010, the latest ones published by the European Banking Authority on the 15th of July 2011 do not include a proper measure of market systemic risk. This hinders their (...)
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Stories The Greek crisis : the Danaides’ barrel ?
Back on the Greek saga or the largest bankruptcy in the 21st century without credit event trigger (to date). The succession of bailout plans shows that we do not simply resolve the insolvency of a country by emergency (...)
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News IMF experts believe European banks heavily undercapitalized!
Christine Lagarde and her team believe that European banks could need € 200 billion...
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Opinion Greece: awaiting the inevitable
The credit default swap market is pricing in a 65% probability of a default within the next five years.
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Opinion Greece rescue - Behind the scenes
Debt rescheduling, monetary policies questioning and EFSF bond purchases in the secondary market. These are the key steps of a plan that should not significantly affect banks’ net income but rather spread economic losses over (...)
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Opinion The Greek tragedy unfolds
The Greek financial crisis deteriorated last weekend after talks between the Greek government and the institutions providing financial aid to the Greek government – the EC, the IMF and the ECB – failed to come to any (...)
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Opinion There is scope for a deal on Greek debt
The Greek government and its creditors have strong incentives to reach an agreement – and have scope to find a mutually beneficial solutions. Negotiations will be difficult - temporary setbacks could cause bouts of market volatility over the next few months, but these may (...)
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Strategy Buy in may and go away
According to Mandarine Gestion, current valuation levels in the banking sector constitute opportunities rarely seen over a medium-term horizon. However, over the short term, investors are preferring to focus on two factors while at the same time exaggerating in our view (...)
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News Currency Swaps to hide Greek debt?
The general opinion that Goldman Sachs might have helped the Greek government to hide its debt through Currency Swaps, leaves one more than skeptical.....
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Opinion Greece crisis to restrain European equities, but valuations should provide buffer
According to Rory Bateman,head of european equities at Schroders, volatility in markets is likely to continue for an extended period until the ramifications of a potential Greek exit from the euro are fully understood. QE and current valuations could provide some downside (...)
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News Greece rescue plan: The resurgence of structured finance?
The Greek rescue plan, suggested by a consortium of banks led by BNP Paribas, praises the techniques of structured finance, with this time the politicals’ blessing...
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Opinion Euro to gain reserve status and expand in the coming years
According to Michael Story, economist at Western Asset, while some peripheral European countries will be unable to escape restructuring their debt, the euro is unlikely to collapse any time soon as a result, and should in the short to medium term strengthen its position as a (...)
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