August 2014
Strategy Fundamentals point to a weaker euro
This has been a bleak month for the euro zone. A string of weak data releases, including flat region-wide GDP growth, and a contraction in Germany and Italy (the latter for the second quarter in a row, indicating recession), suggests the recovery not been (...)
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July 2014
Strategy Equities vs. high yield ? The answer becomes clearer…
During the initial phase of the turnaround in high-risk American assets, equities and high yield moved very similarly. In contrast, since mid-2012, equities have been accelerating more quickly, outpacing the credit market by a decent (...)
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July 2014
Strategy Next crisis will hit non-financial businesses, warns bond manager
Petercam’s Peter de Coensel has increased his exposure to financial bonds as the asset class offers safety and value from a credit perspective, the manager said.
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July 2014
Strategy Saudi opens the door to billions of inflows
Announcement that the Saudi cabinet has approved plans to open up its stock market to foreign financial institutions in H1 2015 is a long-awaited step towards MSCI EM index inclusion.
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July 2014
Strategy Preparing for higher yields: Downgrading equities and credit
According to Goldman Sachs, the likelihood of a rise in government bond yields has increased and Goldman Sachs see this as a key aspect of the near-term macro outlook...
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July 2014
Strategy The potential of trend-following strategies remains intact
Penalised at the peak of the European debt crisis by highly correlated and non-trending markets, trend-following funds have retained their unrivalled ability to improve the efficiency of an investment portfolio. Better consideration of the issues associated with risk (...)
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June 2014
Strategy Interpreting the economy: which market is wrong ?
US equity and bond markets have performed in-line over the past few weeks. As a result, the correlation between 10-year rates and the S&P 500, which had turned positive since the announcement of Fed tapering (steepening rates and stronger equity markets), is now (...)
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June 2014
Strategy 10-year yields for BTP, Bono and IGB at or below level for TNote: an anomaly?
Mario Draghi’s communication skills have proved exceptionally effective. Since the famous “whatever it takes” in 2012, yields for peripheral sovereign debts have converged sharply towards levels for German debt. Yields for BTPs, Bonos and IGBs sit at record (...)
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June 2014
Strategy The four cardinal “smart beta” virtues, or how to use Plato as an investment philosophy
Etienne Vincent, head of THEAM’s global quantitative management, explains how the four main recurring sources of outperformance in the equity markets, extensively developed in the “smart beta” concept, can be likened to the four cardinal virtues described by Plato, the Greek (...)
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May 2014
Strategy EZ deflation risk not deterring buyers of inflation in primary
The strong demand in the primary market confirms what is already well known: whatever the inflation expectations, there is significant structural demand, notably from “buy and hold” investors such as pension funds, for bonds indexed to (...)
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May 2014
Strategy A more selective market
We are not surprised to see the market become more challenging.The trend towards a more selective market has continued to play out. We continue to expect the M&A environment to be robust...
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March 2014
Strategy What is the outlook for European equities at this stage of the business cycle?
The European equity market demonstrated its resilience in February, notching up gains despite the distractions of a change of prime minister in Italy, turmoil in Ukraine, and a largely underwhelming earnings season. There is ample scope for further share price gains to come (...)
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February 2014
Strategy Is Low Volatility investing overcrowded?
One may reasonably argue that the recent flows into the Low Volatility strategies might affect their future performance because of the flow pressure on the prices of the companies that generally are selected by this investment approach. More recently, some market (...)
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February 2014
Strategy Eric Robbe : « Investors clearly understand the issue to be placed on this asset class" »
According to Eric Robbe, President of Laffitte Capital Management, it is very easy to measure the tail risk on dividends strategies, which gives its full dimension to the robustness of the portfolio allocation in a management process based on the budget risk that one (...)
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February 2014
Strategy The call spread strategy funded by a put is popular!
According to Antoine Deix, Dividend Strategist at BNP Paribas, dividend derivatives are greatly democratized since futures and options were listed respectively in 2008 and 2010. These products now cover all types of investors (...)
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