September 2014
Opinion BBB region possible for Scotland’s sovereign risk rating
If the vote for independence is successful, Scotland’s sovereign risk rating could be in the BBB lower investment grade region, according to Director of Sovereign Risk Analysis Jan Randolph of IHS.
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September 2014
Opinion One week to save the union!
With one week to go today Azad Zangana, European Economist, Schroders provides his latest economic insight into the Scottish Referendum.
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September 2014
Opinion ECB Moves, Mild Eurozone Fiscal Easing to Follow
The European Central Bank’s unconventional monetary policy measures and rate cuts announced 4 September highlight the risks facing the eurozone economy, Fitch Ratings says.
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September 2014
Opinion ECB adds stimulus, but markets want more
According to Schroders Azad Zangana, European Economist and Chris Ames, Senior Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, the cut in interest rates is totally irrelevant. Due to the glut of liquidity in money markets, short-term interest rates have been below the ECB’s main financing (...)
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August 2014
Opinion Downside risks in Europe remain high
Over 2014 there has been a steady decline in the yield on German government bonds. As a result bunds have outperformed other developed markets. This outperformance could have been driven by two factors...
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August 2014
Opinion Bumpy ride for emerging currencies over summer
Emerging currencies were under pressure this summer. Save for the Indonesian rupiah, Thai baht, Malaysian ringgit and Chinese yuan, emerging currencies has corrected against the US dollar since 30 June. It is mainly the CEEMEA currencies and, to a lesser extent, Latin (...)
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August 2014
Opinion Don’t cry for Argentina
In accordance with the Right Upon Future Offers or RUFO clause (similar to a conventional clause requiring creditors to be treated pari passu) contained in the 2005 agreement on the restructuring of the debt of the exchange bondholders (preventing Argentina from making more (...)
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June 2014
Opinion The challenge facing the Fed
Despite increased optimism at the start of the year, growth forecasts for the US economy are once again falling towards the 2% trend pace of recent years. The faster-than-anticipated fall in unemployment appears to betray a fall in the economy’s potential rate of (...)
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June 2014
Opinion All eyes on Brazil !
According to Daniel Isidori, fund manager at Threadneedle Investments, the Brazilian companies most affected by the upcoming election are state owned and rather than taking exposure to all of them, he suggests to have a small overweight in the energy giant (...)
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June 2014
Opinion Piketty and Plutonomy: The revenge of inequality
When wealth and income are as concentrated as they are, and expected (a la Piketty) to get even more so, examining the “average” consumer or “average” investor makes little sense. Examining the fat tail – the behavior of the plutonomists, rather than that of the multitudinous (...)
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June 2014
Opinion Euro MMFs Are Prepared for Lower Market Yields
Euro-denominated money market funds have already taken investment and operational measures to prepare for yields declining or even turning negative, should short-term money market rates shift in that direction following the European Central Bank’s decision to cut the rate on (...)
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June 2014
Opinion Fitch: ECB Reduces Deflation Risk, But Impact May Be Limited
The ECB’s package of measures providing additional monetary policy accommodation reduces the risk of deflation in the eurozone, but it may not lift inflation from its very low levels, Fitch Ratings says.
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May 2014
Opinion The risks for equities are limited
The crisis in Ukraine has global markets on edge—and investors fear that deflation could prove a long-term problem for the Eurozone. What matters most, though, is an objective look at economic and financial data.
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January 2014
Opinion Quantitative management: the THEAM way
At THEAM, a subsidiary of the BNP Paribas Group, our development strategy involves promoting the added value that quantitative techniques can bring to the field of asset management.
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December 2013
Opinion Mind the Gap
To those who have seen headlines over new record highs in equity markets or who mainly judge equity market valuations on the back of price-earnings or earnings yields it might sound strange to argue that equities are (...)
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