August 2014
Opinion Bumpy ride for emerging currencies over summer
Emerging currencies were under pressure this summer. Save for the Indonesian rupiah, Thai baht, Malaysian ringgit and Chinese yuan, emerging currencies has corrected against the US dollar since 30 June. It is mainly the CEEMEA currencies and, to a lesser extent, Latin (...)
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February 2014
News Hedge funds unscathed from rising doubts on emerging, global growth and central banks
The Lyxor Hedge Fund Index was down only -0.4% in January, outperforming the MSCI World down -3.8%. 8 Lyxor Strategy Indices out of 12 ended the month in positive territory, led by the Lyxor Fixed Income Arbitrage Index (+1.74%), the Lyxor Merger Arbitrage Index (+0.92%) and (...)
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November 2013
Strategy Caution in order for emerging currencies in short term
For nearly one month, the renewed strains experienced by US long rates following the good October employment data (despite the shutdown) have triggered a new correction on the part of emerging currencies (even though they have stabilised somewhat of (...)
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February 2013
Opinion A short lesson in exchange rate determination
François Hollande, the French President, recently called for action against the strong euro, stating that the economy could end up with an exchange rate “out of line with the fundamentals”. Although plausible, exchange rates are probably “out of line with the fundamentals” most (...)
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February 2013
Innovation PIMCO has launched Foreign Currency Strategy Exchange Traded Fund (FORX)
PIMCO, a leading global investment management firm, has listed the PIMCO Foreign Currency Strategy Exchange Traded Fund (Ticker: FORX), created to offer investors the potential to benefit from fundamental changes in global currency dynamics by diversifying away from the (...)
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August 2012
News SMEs switching to Renminbi for Chinese business according to DB survey
In spite of increasing volatility in foreign exchange markets, only around half of companies that were surveyed hedge foreign exchange risks in Renminbi transactions...
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August 2012
Opinion Beware the dangerous emerging market ‘grand narrative’
The emerging markets (EM) ‘grand narrative’ that you hear constantly churned out is at best misleading and at worst dangerous...
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March 2012
Opinion The Euro will survive, but not the current Euro zone !
If the existence of the euro is not challenged, it is the case of the euro zone in its current configuration. In the same way that cohabitation between countries with maintaining parity exchange had become impossible in the EMS, cohabitation has become impossible within (...)
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January 2012
Note The Yuan - will it soon become a reserve currency ?
Whilst several experts estimate the that it will still be about ten years before the status of the yuan changes to that of a reserve currency, the exchange agreement between Japan and China which replaces the dollar with the yen or the yuan, for bilateral trade, could (...)
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December 2011
Strategy The Euro’s Survival and traditional asset classes prospects for 2012
On the basis of the survival «in fine» of the Euro through a constrained and massive indirect monetization from the ECB, what are the expectations for 2012 on foreign exchange, short-term rates, long-term rates and (...)
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December 2011
News Capital outflows from Russia are manageable
According to Fitch, capital outflow from Russia has increased sharply in the 4th quarter, but does not currently seem high enough to affect the country’s BBB rating...
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December 2011
Opinion Russia is not Egypt (yet)
After Egypt, Russia is the second country where capital flight has been significant this year. Now Russia has a tradition of strong capital flight. Ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union, there have been only a few quarters without a net capital (...)
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December 2011
Strategy The main trading recommendations of Goldman Sachs for 2012
The American bank’s suggests the following strategies as its flagship trading recommendations in 2012: Short on the German bund with an expected 2.8% 10 year return and long EUR / CHF with 1.35 as target…
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November 2011
Note The dynamic of the yuan
According to Phillippe Waechter, Head of Economic Research of Natixis Asset management, the evolution of China is extremely rapid, and both its accumulation of foreign reserves and its capability to destabilise or stabilise global constructions is (...)
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November 2011
Note Financial crisis indicators and safe haven assets
How to measure the intensity of the current financial and economic crisis? Regular monitoring of a number of economic and financial indicators helps answering this question and better understanding the materialization of panic behavior and portfolio reallocations in the (...)
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