December 2016
Opinion Equity markets are being complacent on Italy & Europe
According to James Butterfill, Head of Research & Investment Strategy at ETF Securities, the Italian referendum yesterday signified a worrying trend for the rest of Europe in confirming the rise of populist parties in the EU, and particularly important given that 70% of (...)
|
November 2016
Opinion From “low volatility growth” to “high volatility value”
In our view, the recent sharp market rotation that we have seen – from “low volatility growth” to “high volatility value” – is a continuation and acceleration of the trend change that has been underway since the third quarter of this year. The turning point for “quality growth” (...)
|
November 2016
Opinion Global bond markets : « too far, too fast ? »
Global bond markets, especially emerging markets, took it on the chin over the past five trading days as investors reacted to the U.S. election results and soaring expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike in (...)
|
November 2016
Opinion Trump leads Republican sweep as US rejects status quo
Global uncertainty to remain as election result signals further rolling back of globalisation themes, with emerging markets likely to see greatest impact. For the US, the Republican sweep in both houses will facilitate Trump’s agenda with a focus on domestic growth, spending (...)
|
November 2016
Opinion A Trump presidency
It’s Brexit all over again. The surge in anti-establishment sentiment is definitively global. Brexit can no longer be dismissed as a freak event. It is a trend. Donald Trump has won, by defying his party, the media, and conventional politics. Populism is coming to power. The (...)
|
November 2016
Opinion A Trump card in the US deck
US voters have put their faith in Donald Trump, electing him as the 45th US President. As with the “Brexit” vote in the UK, this can be seen as another victory for the politics of anger currently sweeping across Western (...)
|
November 2016
Opinion Trump on the Brink – Geopolitical & Market Implications
Donald Trump’s ability to resonate with the populist mood has proven successful– populism in the developed world is on a worrying rise. We have collated what we believe are the most important investment implications of Donald Trump winning the US (...)
|
November 2016
Opinion Trump victory: a non-event for markets?
The Fed should maintain its data-dependent normalization course with a rate hike likely mid-December 2016. Fed fund futures signal the market has not changed its mind on the Fed staying dovish in 2017. Janet Yellen’s four-year mandate as chair of the Board of Governors will (...)
|
November 2016
Opinion President-elect Trump. 5 predictions on what happens next in the global economy and markets.
The votes are in and it is clear. For the second time in 2016 we have had a major rejection of the political status quo. Following on from the shock UK referendum result, a Trump victory is further evidence that many believe that we have reached peak globalisation and income (...)
|
November 2016
Opinion What does Brexit mean to Property Investors & Developers?
Initial shock at the prospect of leaving the EU sent the markets into decline, but have they not reacted pretty much as anticipated? Never letting a crisis go without opportunity, selling high to force a low, and then buy back? An analysis from Rick Nicholls, Managing (...)
|
November 2016
Opinion A Clinton victory reduces political uncertainty
According to Martin Arnold, Director – FX & Macro Strategist, ETF Securities, a Clinton victory reduces political uncertainty, and takes another excuse away from the Federal Reserve to not raise rates at December FOMC meeting. USD is likely to continue to strengthen, (...)
|
November 2016
Opinion International Equity : Why a Trump victory would not be the worst result
The biggest concern would be if the winning candidate manages to get control of both houses. According to Nick Clay, manager at Newton Investment Management, a subsidiary of BNY Mellon IM group, if that were to happen, then radical policy changes could be set in (...)
|
November 2016
Opinion Curve Steepening – Already Been There?
Most developed market yield curves have suffered bear steepening over the past few weeks, despite quantitative easing (QE).
|
November 2016
Opinion We are increasingly mindful of the threats to risk assets that are looming on the horizon
In a world where a significant segment of government bond yields continue to hover in or near negative territory, the credit cycle looks to be nearing its end, and the devaluation of sterling is dominating the agenda, we are increasingly mindful of the threats to risk assets (...)
|
October 2016
Opinion Hard time for sterling
According to Luc Luyet and Frederik Ducrozet, Asset Allocation & Macro Research, Pictet Wealth Management, the sharp drop of the sterling on Friday 7 October at the start of trading in Asia with the currency declining 6% in the course of twenty minutes was the climax of (...)
|
| |
|
|
|
|
19
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Read comments
