February 2022
Opinion 5 Minutes to know your way around #3 - Débrief of the FOMC, January 2022
The FOMC of January 26, 2022 was eagerly awaited. The minutes of the previous committee, had shown that a balance sheet reduction was seriously considered, which had triggered a major correction in the equity markets. Analysis by CPR AM (...)
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February 2022
Opinion Chinese New Year - Year of the tiger: a focus on prosperity and productivity
As we move through 2022 we can expect an interesting year for China’s equity market given the pledge by the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) to use monetary tools to spur the economy and boost growth. The US and China are set to spend the year diverging on monetary (...)
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January 2022
Opinion Chinese new year: Three reasons why china could roar in the year of the tiger
As the rest world grapples with tighter monetary policy, China is on different easing trajectory, which should be supportive for stocks. It is likely that we are at, or past the peak of regulatory reform. Current valuations provide exciting entry points and (...)
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January 2022
Opinion US equities: three themes to watch in a discriminating year
2022 will be a new year in more ways than one. After more than a decade of monetary stimulus, the US Federal Reserve has signaled that it will raise interest rates and reduce support for the economy and asset prices.
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January 2022
Opinion Monetary policy and the yield curve
Edward Al-Hussainy, Senior Interest Rate and Currency Analyst at Columbia Threadneedle Investments on monetary policy in 2022 and its implications for rates and the yield curve.
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January 2022
Opinion European equities: Stock selection guided by razor-sharp research will be the holy grail
2021 was a year of booming markets which were in danger of overheating before the Omicron Covid-19 variant came along. A profit boom on both sides of the Atlantic has supported equity markets, with the US looking exceptionally strong in the fourth (...)
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November 2021
Opinion Are L/S Equity managers concerned by the covid resurgence?
Managers in the U.S. and Europe are continuing to reduce both their net and gross exposures, now converging near their long-term lows. They are selectively selling or shorting stocks that are the most exposed to tighter restrictions, preferring value stocks instead (to (...)
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November 2021
Opinion UBS Year Ahead 2022: A year of discovery
UBS, the world’s leading global wealth manager, is expecting a year of discovery that will reveal what a new “normal” looks like, after two years marked by lockdown and reopening. 2022 is expected to be ‘a year of two halves’, with high rates of economic growth and inflation in (...)
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November 2021
Opinion Net zero emissions: Pie in the sky or piece of cake?
COP26 is spearheading the race to net zero emissions. Though this goal is clearly laudable, sceptics wonder whether it is even achievable. Costs estimates put the price for the transition at USD 150 trillion over 30 years (i.e. two times the current global (...)
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November 2021
Opinion Bond Pain trade for global macro
Gyrations in U.S. rates were highly challenging to navigate. Bond volatility surged in October as the Fed prepared to withdraw monetary accommodation and as investors struggled to assess the medium-term path of (...)
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November 2021
Opinion Eurozone growth beats expectations, as inflation hits a 13-year high
The ECB sees inflation pressures as temporary and is unlikely to raise interest rates. The eurozone economy has outperformed consensus estimates as it grew by 2.2% quarter-on-quarter in Q3, matching the previous quarter. This leaves the level of economic activity just 0.5% (...)
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October 2021
Opinion Understanding the anatomy of a financial Bubble
Infamous for the belief that there is a bubble in long-duration assets, Richard Bernstein Advisors reckon there are sizeable bubbles inflating. A recent report investigates what’s causing such widespread bubbles, their potential effects on the overall economy, and the (...)
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September 2021
Opinion Federal Reserve moves towards November Taper
The Federal Reserve is very likely heading for a tapering of its bond purchases in November, but the longer-term outlook depends on how transitory the current bout of inflation is. If we are correct, i.e. it will fade more quickly than expected, then we should see the (...)
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September 2021
Opinion We are maintaining a short exposure to US bonds
CPR AM managers continue to think that the US bond market should correct on the triple effect of the slowdown in future asset purchases, more lasting inflationary pressures than initially expected and the resumption of treasury bill issuance to finance the stimulus plans (...)
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September 2021
Opinion Increase in inequalities and accommodative monetary policies : what causes what ?
While the idea that accommodative monetary policies imply an increase in inequalities, a research paper presented at the Jackson Hole central bankers conference reverses the causality and tends to suggest that it is the rise in inequalities that causes the decline in (...)
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