Strategy Investing during market turmoil
The idea that considers equity investing as long term has simply become absurd nowadays and has been so during the last 10 years. Let us be reassured. Opportunities will still be around. The only real question nowadays is how to allocate between real assets and financial (...)
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Strategy Airports versus toll roads - A novel reversal
Following previous macro shocks – the gulf wars, 9/11, SARs and cyclical major economic downturns – global air traffic has bounced back rapidly in a sharp V-shaped recovery, while toll road volumes followed more of an (...)
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Strategy Prevent structural asset allocation biases to improve responsiveness
Performance drivers and risk factors are unstable parameters, at least in the short to mid-term. As a result, delivering returns over a relatively long horizon whilst avoiding transitory market shocks is no easy task for portfolio managers. While asset allocation is the main (...)
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Strategy Crisis - what crisis?
While the markets feel risky, the perceived risk has not been matched by a spike in market levels of implied volatility
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Strategy Does a liquidity factor premium exist in the stock market?
Academic studies present ample evidence in support of the existence of four factor premiums in stock markets: Low Risk, Value, Momentum, and Quality. Factor investing puts these concepts into practice by enabling investors to allocate their capital explicitly to these (...)
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Strategy Forex, a value added in an allocation between real and financial assets
The foreign exchange market (Forex) is not an extra asset class but all asset classes together in the same market. It can be a real source of diversification and performance subject to a systematic, disciplined and rigorous (...)
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Strategy The index revolution (finally) comes to hedge funds
One common knock on factor models is that they “replicate only beta” – not the pure alpha gold that allocators seek. This critique pre-dates the appreciation of factor rotations. Outside of some ivory tower statistics class, no one questions the “alpha” generated by, for (...)
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Strategy Gold & Mines – A good way to diversify in the current environment!
According to Arnaud du Plessis, CPR AM thematic equities manager specialising in gold and commodities, after the US Nonfarm Payrolls fell far short of expectations in early June, a further boost to the gold market was provided by the Brexit vote. The big winners are UK (...)
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Strategy «Making good use of Market Timing on stock markets»
’Market timing’ is the decision to disinvest or invest in the stock markets at the right time. To achieve such an objective, Investors must base theirs expectations on a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. Explanations (...)
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Strategy Bond market headaches: The Fed and Greece but select opportunities remain
A cagey US Federal Reserve and unfinished business in Greece will likely continue to unsettle the credit markets, but Australian government bonds may offer one route to mitigate risk, and select opportunities exist in countries such as Cyprus and India, according to Ariel (...)
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Strategy Why we are taking our equity overweight to neutral for first time in five years
Mark Burgess, CIO EMEA and Global Head of equities at Columbia Threadneedle Investments, discusses the market reaction post Brexit, the impact of central bank actions and why Columbia has decided to reduce its equity exposure from overweight to neutral in asset allocation (...)
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Strategy Opportunity in volatility
The first three months of 2020 go down in history as the worst Q1 ever for global stock markets. Many measures of market stress reached levels last seen in the financial crisis and some price moves were on a scale not witnessed since the great Crash of 1929. The surge in (...)
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Strategy Opportunities in a low-return landscape
According to Richard Turnill, BlackRock’s Global Chief Investment Strategist, we live in a world of low prospective returns, as reflected in our latest five-year return outlook. We have lowered our return assumptions across most asset classes due to increased valuations, but (...)
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Strategy Risk concentration stronger than risk perception
The risk concentration index (RCI) for a diversified portfolio had been on a downtrend since the start of 2014. The latest risk aversion spell has brought this to an end. This index, which measures the diversity of risk sources, peaked when markets were mainly guided by the (...)
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Strategy VARPS: 2019 Update
GAM Investments’ Tim Love reflects on the performance of his frontier market plays, Vietnam, Argentina, Romania, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia (VARPS) so far this year and discusses the investment opportunities and risks associated with these (...)
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