Strategy JPY at risk of reversal: who wins? who loses?
JPY and Japanese equities were the outcast of the rally, in diffidence of Abenomics’ and BoJ’s chances of success. They bear a risk of a reversal ahead of the coming BoJ meetings (April 28 & June 16) and the July Upper House (...)
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Strategy Brexit: ETF Securities sees rise in demand for short-GBP ETFs
According to James Butterfill, Head of Research and Investment Strategy at ETF Securities, most investors believe that the greatest short-term impact - of fear of Brexit rather than Brexit itself - will be on sterling and consequently he has seen a big rise in short (...)
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Strategy Fed, Oil, yuan: towards a triple capitulation?
The first few days of the year were particularly challenging for capital markets. Further incertitude regarding the strength of the US cycle and the possibility that the Chinese economy is weathering a heavy depression drove risky assets lower, bucking the traditional (...)
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Strategy Volatility : An asset class to make a portfolio more robust to crises
Investors, especially those of long-term maturity, should take advantage, to make their portfolios less vulnerable to episodes of market stress...
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Strategy How Smart is ‘Smart Beta’ Investing?
Investors increasingly embrace “smart beta” investing, by which we mean passively following an index in which stock weights are not proportional to their market capitalizations, but based on some alternative weighting scheme. Examples include fundamentally-weighted indices (...)
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Strategy The market’s focus on risks to EM from slower Chinese growth creates opportunities for stock pickers
According to Ross Teverson, Head of Global Emerging Markets Strategy at Jupiter, market is overly focused on risk rather than opportunity, EM valuations already price in a very negative scenario and recent weakness has created the opportunity to invest in positive long-term (...)
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Strategy Financial markets: hedging against new structural risks and stagflation
There are at least four new structural risks to consider: regulation, Middle East, euro zone’s crisis, and again the idea of a change in growth model of emerging countries.
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Strategy Targeting positive returns in an uncertain climate
A decade after the financial crisis, the uncertain economic conditions it ushered in are starving Europe’s investors of returns. We believe this makes our approach to long/short equity investing more valuable than (...)
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Strategy Africa: A continent of opportunities
As global demand for commodities continues to grow, we believe Africa is in an enviable position with its vast resources, not only minerals but also food—60% of the world’s uncultivated arable land is in Africa...
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Strategy Bond market: Investment opportunities on yield curves
Anticipations on future monetary policy and risk aversion linked to systemic threats create investment opportunities on the yield curves of US and Euro bonds. However, those opportunities cannot be seized before two fundamental questions have been (...)
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Strategy Africa: Kenya’s Mobile Frontier
When we first started out in the emerging markets space more than two decades ago, we were in “frontier” territory as we entered markets such as Indonesia, Thailand, Turkey and Brazil that were previously closed to foreign (...)
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Strategy Can Fed check the TNote’s downturn?
The rise in the yield of the 10-year TNote has been impressive since the start of May, up from 1.60% to 2.90%, its highest level since July 2011 (TNote contract has shed around 6%). The steepening of the US sovereign yield curve has been just as impressive, as the 10-2Y (...)
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Strategy Saudi opens the door to billions of inflows
Announcement that the Saudi cabinet has approved plans to open up its stock market to foreign financial institutions in H1 2015 is a long-awaited step towards MSCI EM index inclusion.
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Strategy Recent changes in sovereign yields put under the microscope
Since the start of the year, yields for the 10-year TNote and Gilt have been more or less the same. At the same time, the yield spread between Bund and its UK and US counterparts has widened by 100bp, and is now not far off (...)
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Strategy Just how much lower can bond yields go?
Bond yields may not have bottomed out, and negative yields are not necessarily a bad thing for certain investors, says Robeco’s multi-asset investment head, Lukas Daalder.
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