March 2019
Opinion The ECB is rushing.. at slow speed
Although they will only have 2-year maturities, the LTROs were already announced, so early that details are not even finalized yet. It was visibly considered necessary to send a strong message now.
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March 2019
Opinion Dave Lafferty : "If you were waiting for evidence that European monetary policy has turned the corner, you’ll definitely be disappointed... if not surprised."
Draghi essentially confessed to what everyone already knows - the European economy , after a short bout of strength in late 2017/early 2018 - is decelerating again.
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March 2019
Opinion Hedge fund briefs : A rising tide lifts most boats
Hedge fund strategies experienced a symmetric move. The strategies that suffered in December such as L/S Equity and Relative Value Arbitrage rebounded recently, while those resilient at the end of 2018, such as CTAs, lagged behind so far in Q1 due to their short equity (...)
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February 2019
Opinion Will the ECB be able to raise its key rates?
Markets no longer believe in the ability of the ECB to raise its key rates in 2019 and the theme of the Japanization of Europe is coming back. A comparison with the Fed’s experience in recent years allows us to see more (...)
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February 2019
Opinion China: a health warning
“China is battling slowing economic growth with a host of stimulus measures, but a US policy of containment, the rise of rival low-cost manufacturing hubs and a dwindling current account surplus call for caution,” says Jason Pidcock, Head of Strategy, Asian (...)
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February 2019
Opinion Brexit and beyond: Investing in Europe amid Political Risk
Political risk has been a feature in European markets for years. Lately, from Italy’s fiscal squabbles to turmoil in the streets of France, it feels like the volume of political noise has risen. However, political risk is not a reason to avoid European (...)
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February 2019
Opinion Responsible investment has become increasingly important for many asset owners, so what does 2019 hold?
Cloud computing, machine learning and the potential of the, as yet, relatively untapped field of data science have been rapidly rising up the agenda of the investment world. In an industry that is undergoing seismic changes, the capabilities, reach and efficiencies that data (...)
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February 2019
Opinion Lessons from a decade of bank bailouts
A decade on, banks in some major economies have largely recovered from the global financial crisis (GFC). In others, however, legacies of bad assets continue to clog the banking system, stalling the engine of economic growth. The reasons for this divergence lie largely in (...)
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February 2019
Opinion Why the Fed will stop reducing its balance sheet in 2019
At last night’s FOMC, Jerome Powell explained that "the normalization of the size of the balance sheet would be completed sooner" and that the Fed would now "evaluate the appropriate timing for the end of balance sheet reduction”. We briefly explain why (...)
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February 2019
Opinion MSCI: Five Key ESG Trends to Watch in 2019
MSCI ESG Research has issued its 2019 ESG Trends to Watch Report, which identifies five key ESG trends in 2019 and the potentially overlooked costs and opportunities underlying these themes...
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February 2019
Opinion Low inflation : dry powder?
One way to look at low global inflation is as evidence of policy successes on the part of countries’ central banks — especially in Emerging Market (EM) countries, where inflation rates are often below their central bank (...)
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January 2019
Opinion Goldilocks vs Armageddon: It’s time to buy EM
Look outside the US, Goldilocks scenario doesn’t hold anymore; EM back on the buy list: take advantage of the Armageddon panic; The Damocles swords of 2018 are slowly being pulled back
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January 2019
Opinion Markets grapple with government dysfunction
While the UK and US contend with contentious political issues, the IMF has lowered its expectations for economic growth. The question is, “Where do we go from here?”
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January 2019
Opinion Spotting the end of the economic cycle
It currently feels like we are at a critical juncture for economies and markets. 2019 is likely to be one of elevated uncertainty and more volatility as investors grapple with the question of whether this is the final phase of the economic cycle. Markets will behave (...)
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January 2019
Opinion The difficult recomposition of the Executive Board of the ECB
On October 31, 2019, Mario Draghi’s term as President of the ECB will come to an end. Even though Mario Draghi’s personality has had a profound impact on the way the ECB communicates and therefore acts, it is important to point out that it is a small team within the ECB (...)
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