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February 2024

Opinion Added Value in ABS

Investors are moving back into higher-rated fixed income after years of comparative neglect, and we noted that asset- and mortgage-backed securities (ABS and MBS) offered diversified risk exposures, together with relative value caused mainly by technical supply-and-demand (...)

Opinion

Reflections on Davos: Business as usual no longer exists

Opinion

Equities head for choppy ride as higher yield market takes hold

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March 2011

Opinion Middle East turbulence: Impact on economic activity and risk assets.

There are no clear answers, given the fluidity of the situation and uncertainty over whether violence will spread further...

February 2011

Opinion « Commodities and emerging markets: must-have investments or speculative bubbles »

Now that growth is back, emerging countries are in favour with many investors. Economic growth in these zones means commodities can also be profitable investments...

February 2011

Opinion Is inflation the solution?

This is often the argument put forward to deal with the debt ! The acceleration in inflation would iron out all the root causes of the crisis or even make them disappear, the economy then suddenly regaining its lost (...)

January 2011

Opinion Predictions for 2011 by BlackRock’s Bob Doll

According to Bob Doll, stocks will outperform bonds and cash and will record a third straight year of double digit percentage returns

January 2011

Opinion Long-term rates rise....but it is not yet a bond crash

The recent sharp rise in long-term rates in Europe relies on a risk pooling across peripheral countries and the entire euro zone. But we cannot yet talk about bond crash.

January 2011

Opinion Another horror year for contrarian investors?

It did not pay to be a contrarian in 2010. Will that be different in 2011?

January 2011

Opinion Stock markets: upcoming crash in 2011

The recent rise in stock markets is rather artificial and based on fragile factors. The structural ones remain bearish: prudential developments, systemic risk, and true inflation expectations in the long term mainly in the United (...)

December 2010

Opinion French alternative management: Towards a strong financial centre.

Following to their study on strenghts and weaknesses of France as an alternative management financial centre, Reinhold & Partners give us the main considerations for moving towards a strong financial center.

December 2010

Opinion « Wealth management: towards a new model »

product-driven approach versus service, lack of commitments of managers who became customer relationship experts versus loneliness of adviser, commercial bias versus follower bias... The two main models of private management seem more irreconcilable than (...)

December 2010

Opinion Short-selling ban had a detrimental effect on UK financial markets

New academic research suggests the ban dramatically reduced liquidity and worsened problems of volatility in the prices of UK financial stocks...

November 2010

Opinion Ireland is not second Greece

According to irish economist Cathal Brugha, professor of University College of Dublin (UCD) School of Business, Ireland does not face a similar crisis like Greece

November 2010

Opinion « Currency war », return of protectionism: threats and opportunities!

An analytical report by Jacques Tebeka, Head of Diversified Multi management at Edmond de Rothschild Investment Managers

November 2010

Opinion Bond bubble today and tomorrow ... Bond crash the day after tomorrow

Long-term rates that can not rise on short term, despite the abysmal public deficits ...

November 2010

Opinion Shedding some light on scandal hitting the US mortgage market

Much has been said and written about ‘Foreclosure-gate’ – a scandal hitting the US mortgage market. While some of the information accurately assesses the topic, much of what has been written has been naïve, uninformed or just plain (...)

June 2010

Opinion Hedge funds managers : Are women better than men?

In recent months, two studies leading to the same conclusions, set tongues wagging in the hedge fund industry : women hedge fund managers perform better than their male counterparts...

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Opinion 2017 outlook: China equities

Charlie Awdry, China portfolio manager, shares his views on the prospects for Chinese stocks in 2017. He believes the focus on high quality growth companies exposed to long-term consumer trends and cyclical value stocks places his portfolios in good stead to deliver (...)

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Opinion SNL Financial: Will Equities Still Boom and FICC suffer in 2016?

SNL Financial data shows how equities and M&A success have helped investment banks offset pain in fixed income, currencies and commodities (FICC) through the first nine months of 2015, a trend they may well need to continue in (...)

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Opinion Trump on the Brink – Geopolitical & Market Implications

Donald Trump’s ability to resonate with the populist mood has proven successful– populism in the developed world is on a worrying rise. We have collated what we believe are the most important investment implications of Donald Trump winning the US (...)

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Opinion It is better to be vaguely right than exactly wrong

According to Paul Jackson, Paul Jackson, Managing Director and Head of Multi-Asset Research at Source IM, it is better to be vaguely right than exactly wrong. He underweights bonds - but not high yield, and overweights equities and real (...)

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Opinion Trump victory: a non-event for markets?

The Fed should maintain its data-dependent normalization course with a rate hike likely mid-December 2016. Fed fund futures signal the market has not changed its mind on the Fed staying dovish in 2017. Janet Yellen’s four-year mandate as chair of the Board of Governors will (...)

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Opinion Asia’s new middle class gets mobile

“China’s huge, new and affluent middle class have broadened their horizons. Getting access to the best healthcare, education and tourist destinations is at the top of their priority list and they are keener than ever to travel overseas to find them.” Jason Pidcock, manager of (...)

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Opinion Disruption: Facing the future head-on

A shrewd investor always looks to the future. Our role, and indeed our duty, is to support companies that can come up with concrete solutions to the main challenges facing society today. If we are to rise to such formidable challenges, we at CPR AM firmly believe there is (...)

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Opinion Japanese stocks look oversold

According to Shogo Maeda, Head of Japan Equities, despite the recent volatility, Japanese companies’ prospects continue to look bright.

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Opinion Emissions crisis underscores shift to low carbon future

Nick Anderson, Portfolio Manager within Henderson’s global equity sustainable investment team, discusses the latest developments in the diesel emissions crisis. He explains why the crisis could be symptomatic of the world adjusting to a lower carbon (...)

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Opinion Piketty and Plutonomy: The revenge of inequality

When wealth and income are as concentrated as they are, and expected (a la Piketty) to get even more so, examining the “average” consumer or “average” investor makes little sense. Examining the fat tail – the behavior of the plutonomists, rather than that of the multitudinous (...)

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Opinion Who’s to blame for volatility?

Who’s to blame for the volatility seen in 2016? The temptation is to look for scapegoats, or blame it on structural problems, but is this correct? Multiple factors blamed for market swings seen in first four months, Volatility scapegoats include central banks and risk trading (...)

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Opinion Central Banks: Clear Tasks Instead of Outdated Formulas

The financial and economic crisis has shown that central banks need leeway for ad hoc interventions in the monetary and credit cycle. A clear separation between financial and monetary policy would be a first step towards long-term (...)

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Opinion Institutional investors expect to see more emerging market equities paying high dividends over the next few years

New research from ING Investment Management (ING IM) amongst institutional investors reveals that between now and 2016, 61% believe the number of emerging market stocks paying these will increase – 14% anticipate a “dramatic” rise here. The corresponding figures for the next (...)

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Opinion Hedge funds outperformed but the devil is in the details

The return of market volatility in February hurt equity markets significantly. For the first time in 15 months, the MSCI World ended the month in the red, down -3.5%, as EMU and Japanese markets underperformed.

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Opinion ? Why MSCI ESG downgraded Nissan to ‘CCC’ for governance failures in September ‘18

MSCI ESG Research downgraded Nissan from ’B’ to ’CCC’ on September 10, 2018, the lowest industry-relative rating on the scale of ’CCC’ to ’AAA’. The downgrade was primarily attributed to systemic failures in governing its corporate (...)

Focus

Opinion Psychology and smart beta

‘Smart beta’ sounds like an oxymoron. How smart can it be to continue using the same strategy in such fickle markets? A portfolio manager calling on all his skills (‘alpha’) in analysing market environments (the source of ‘beta’) should be able to outperform an unchanged (...)

Focus

Mory Doré’s column

Mory Doré’s views on monetary policy, asset allocation, financial management of banks and understanding of crises

Éclairages Économiques Notebook

The association Éclairages Économiques share with us analysis mostly relying on current research on various economics issues

Selection: Prospects

Regulation Regulatory prospects: 2012 and beyond

2009 was a year of intense reflection on the functioning of the financial sector. There followed an intense regulatory activity in 2010, unfortunately with few formal adoptions of regulations. 2011 marked the surge of the will to succeed with provisional schedules. Where do (...)

Reading An Economic Approach to Marriage

Marriages are not always very stable. A divorce rate of 50 % in developed countries serves to prove. We ask ourselves if it is possible to form stable relationships. An economic analysis may be able to answer this (...)

Note Aging population poses new opportunities for global investment managers

Early conclusions from ongoing SimCorp StrategyLab research point to demographic changes as a key factor influencing the future of the global investment management industry.

Note Launch of green bonds

The term «Green Bonds» is more frequently used to describe a market that should mature very fast in order to deal with numerous requests for investments in the field of green infrastructure projects.

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