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February 2024

Opinion Added Value in ABS

Investors are moving back into higher-rated fixed income after years of comparative neglect, and we noted that asset- and mortgage-backed securities (ABS and MBS) offered diversified risk exposures, together with relative value caused mainly by technical supply-and-demand (...)

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Reflections on Davos: Business as usual no longer exists

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Equities head for choppy ride as higher yield market takes hold

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November 2014

Opinion Unresolved ESG issues persist in Canadian oil sands industry

During a recent visit to Canada, for the annual UN PRI signatory conference, I took the opportunity together with a few other investors to visit the oil sands operations in the Alberta region. What I heard and saw there made me realise that the Canadian oil sands industry (...)

November 2014

Opinion The World eyes Europe

Headlines in Europe are again focused on weak economic growth but there remain many companies well placed to deliver. Analysis of Nick Sheridan, Fund manager Henderson Horizon Euroland.

November 2014

Opinion Central banks: toward a bipolar world

Should one expect a huge differential in interest rates? Undoubtedly. According to René Defossez, having said that, this differential should be far more pronounced at the short end of the curve than at the long end. The reason is that short rates will be influenced directly (...)

October 2014

Opinion India’s “Goldilocks moment”

A stable government, a can-do prime minister and a recovering economy may prove to be the best recipe yet for Indian stocks, according to Avinash Vazirani, manager of the Jupiter India Select SICAV fund. Add in a falling oil price, says Avinash, and Indian firms might just (...)

October 2014

Opinion Equities: is the bull market under threat?

According to Keith Wade, Chief Economist at Schroders, equity markets have experienced a setback recently and this has led many strategists to question the longer term case for the asset class. However, he remains positive on shares and believes that equities can still (...)

October 2014

Opinion When is it time for the SNB to think about the exit?

According to Goldman Sachs, the SNB’s exchange rate ceiling against the Euro is often seen as a binding constraint on its future interest rate decisions. But the exchange rate commitment is only likely to become a constraint on rate decisions if the CHF remains close to the (...)

October 2014

Opinion Chinese GDP, a myth?

The slowdown of the Chinese economy, as reflected by GDP growth in Q3 2014, is not particularly serious. While there was a slight deceleration, GDP nonetheless increased by 7.3% year-on-year and by 1.9% quarter-on-quarter.

October 2014

Opinion China focuses on quality as growth slows

Chinese GDP expanded 7.3% year on year in the third quarter, in line with Schroders’s forecast but slower than the second quarter reading of 7.5%.

October 2014

Opinion The Recovery-less Recovery

Global risk assets have had a testing week last tweek; at the time of writing, the S&P 500 is more than 8.5% below the record high it achieved just a month ago. So why are markets rattled?

October 2014

Opinion Institutional investors expect to see more emerging market equities paying high dividends over the next few years

New research from ING Investment Management (ING IM) amongst institutional investors reveals that between now and 2016, 61% believe the number of emerging market stocks paying these will increase – 14% anticipate a “dramatic” rise here. The corresponding figures for the next (...)

September 2014

Opinion USA: an impression of capacity under-utilization…

Those who were hoping for a shift in tone from the Federal Reserve regarding an imminent rate hike, encouraged by increasing signs of a recovery in the US, will be disappointed. The Fed has reiterated its concerns over the dynamics of the (...)

September 2014

Opinion Jokowi

After ten years of strong growth, the Indonesian economy is slowing considerably. This is because of the falling Chinese demand for commodities, the gradual normalisation of US monetary policy and an inevitable decline in government (...)

September 2014

Opinion Equity Market : Perspectives of the financial sector

An ageing global population, a thirst for credit in emerging markets and an ever more complex regulatory environment for Western banks are reshaping the opportunities open to investors in the financials sector, according to Robert Mumby, manager of the Jupiter International (...)

September 2014

Opinion Draghinomics

Events over the week proved once more that one-way-bets do not exist in global financial markets. Not many investors felt that it was still possible for the ECB to surprise on the upside after Mario Draghi’s comments at last months’ Jackson Hole (...)

September 2014

Opinion Alibaba’s IPO could well be the end of US dominance in the world technology sector

According to Warwick Business School Professor Qing Wang, the strong performance and fast rise of the Chinese technology companies in the world may shock some outsiders. It is certainly helped by an enormous and fast growing domestic market, but there is (...)

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Opinion 2017 outlook: China equities

Charlie Awdry, China portfolio manager, shares his views on the prospects for Chinese stocks in 2017. He believes the focus on high quality growth companies exposed to long-term consumer trends and cyclical value stocks places his portfolios in good stead to deliver (...)

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Opinion SNL Financial: Will Equities Still Boom and FICC suffer in 2016?

SNL Financial data shows how equities and M&A success have helped investment banks offset pain in fixed income, currencies and commodities (FICC) through the first nine months of 2015, a trend they may well need to continue in (...)

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Opinion Trump on the Brink – Geopolitical & Market Implications

Donald Trump’s ability to resonate with the populist mood has proven successful– populism in the developed world is on a worrying rise. We have collated what we believe are the most important investment implications of Donald Trump winning the US (...)

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Opinion It is better to be vaguely right than exactly wrong

According to Paul Jackson, Paul Jackson, Managing Director and Head of Multi-Asset Research at Source IM, it is better to be vaguely right than exactly wrong. He underweights bonds - but not high yield, and overweights equities and real (...)

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Opinion Trump victory: a non-event for markets?

The Fed should maintain its data-dependent normalization course with a rate hike likely mid-December 2016. Fed fund futures signal the market has not changed its mind on the Fed staying dovish in 2017. Janet Yellen’s four-year mandate as chair of the Board of Governors will (...)

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Opinion Asia’s new middle class gets mobile

“China’s huge, new and affluent middle class have broadened their horizons. Getting access to the best healthcare, education and tourist destinations is at the top of their priority list and they are keener than ever to travel overseas to find them.” Jason Pidcock, manager of (...)

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Opinion Disruption: Facing the future head-on

A shrewd investor always looks to the future. Our role, and indeed our duty, is to support companies that can come up with concrete solutions to the main challenges facing society today. If we are to rise to such formidable challenges, we at CPR AM firmly believe there is (...)

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Opinion Japanese stocks look oversold

According to Shogo Maeda, Head of Japan Equities, despite the recent volatility, Japanese companies’ prospects continue to look bright.

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Opinion Emissions crisis underscores shift to low carbon future

Nick Anderson, Portfolio Manager within Henderson’s global equity sustainable investment team, discusses the latest developments in the diesel emissions crisis. He explains why the crisis could be symptomatic of the world adjusting to a lower carbon (...)

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Opinion Piketty and Plutonomy: The revenge of inequality

When wealth and income are as concentrated as they are, and expected (a la Piketty) to get even more so, examining the “average” consumer or “average” investor makes little sense. Examining the fat tail – the behavior of the plutonomists, rather than that of the multitudinous (...)

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Opinion Who’s to blame for volatility?

Who’s to blame for the volatility seen in 2016? The temptation is to look for scapegoats, or blame it on structural problems, but is this correct? Multiple factors blamed for market swings seen in first four months, Volatility scapegoats include central banks and risk trading (...)

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Opinion Central Banks: Clear Tasks Instead of Outdated Formulas

The financial and economic crisis has shown that central banks need leeway for ad hoc interventions in the monetary and credit cycle. A clear separation between financial and monetary policy would be a first step towards long-term (...)

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Opinion Institutional investors expect to see more emerging market equities paying high dividends over the next few years

New research from ING Investment Management (ING IM) amongst institutional investors reveals that between now and 2016, 61% believe the number of emerging market stocks paying these will increase – 14% anticipate a “dramatic” rise here. The corresponding figures for the next (...)

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Opinion Hedge funds outperformed but the devil is in the details

The return of market volatility in February hurt equity markets significantly. For the first time in 15 months, the MSCI World ended the month in the red, down -3.5%, as EMU and Japanese markets underperformed.

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Opinion ? Why MSCI ESG downgraded Nissan to ‘CCC’ for governance failures in September ‘18

MSCI ESG Research downgraded Nissan from ’B’ to ’CCC’ on September 10, 2018, the lowest industry-relative rating on the scale of ’CCC’ to ’AAA’. The downgrade was primarily attributed to systemic failures in governing its corporate (...)

Focus

Opinion Psychology and smart beta

‘Smart beta’ sounds like an oxymoron. How smart can it be to continue using the same strategy in such fickle markets? A portfolio manager calling on all his skills (‘alpha’) in analysing market environments (the source of ‘beta’) should be able to outperform an unchanged (...)

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Mory Doré’s column

Mory Doré’s views on monetary policy, asset allocation, financial management of banks and understanding of crises

Éclairages Économiques Notebook

The association Éclairages Économiques share with us analysis mostly relying on current research on various economics issues

Selection: Prospects

Regulation Regulatory prospects: 2012 and beyond

2009 was a year of intense reflection on the functioning of the financial sector. There followed an intense regulatory activity in 2010, unfortunately with few formal adoptions of regulations. 2011 marked the surge of the will to succeed with provisional schedules. Where do (...)

Reading An Economic Approach to Marriage

Marriages are not always very stable. A divorce rate of 50 % in developed countries serves to prove. We ask ourselves if it is possible to form stable relationships. An economic analysis may be able to answer this (...)

Note Aging population poses new opportunities for global investment managers

Early conclusions from ongoing SimCorp StrategyLab research point to demographic changes as a key factor influencing the future of the global investment management industry.

Note Launch of green bonds

The term «Green Bonds» is more frequently used to describe a market that should mature very fast in order to deal with numerous requests for investments in the field of green infrastructure projects.

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