Opinion Interest rates: Brexit and term premiums
Since the announcement of the vote for Brexit at the UK referendum, long-term interest rates have plunged to record lows across all major currencies. The US 10-year interest rate hit an all-time low of 1.32% on July 6, before rebounding to 1.47% on July 12. But are these (...)
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Opinion Financial correlations and loss of common sense
Isn’t correlation in finance charlatanry? We analyze this question through 4 situations that have been observed on financial markets with final investors, asset managers and proprietary traders.
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Opinion When Smart Is Not That Smart
Can Beta Become Smarter? Nobel Prize-winning economist William Sharpe introduced the notions of “beta” and “alpha” decades ago. Put simply, Sharpe defined beta as a measure of a portfolio’s sensitivity relative to the market. Under this definition, it is difficult to fathom how (...)
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Opinion Silver squeeze: What’s behind the surge in silver?
Silver is in the spotlight this week, after the popular r/WallStreetBets community on Reddit highlighted the fundamental value in acquiring silver at current levels. The online posting was the catalyst for increased retail flows and awareness. Last Thursday 28 January, the (...)
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Opinion The year of the rat: China’s Economy is strong but investors need to be on their guard
As China enters the Year of the Rat this Saturday (25 January), Jasmine Kang, Portfolio Manager at Comgest, the independent, international asset management group focused on quality growth investing, believes that China’s growth has become more sustainable but that (...)
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Opinion Impressive rebound in risky assets
Although, panic has faded, growth outlook is still uncertain. Patrick Moonen, Principal Strategist Multi Asset at NN IP and Valentijn van Nieuwenhuijzen Head of Multi Asset at NN IP, have downgraded equities to neutral (...)
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Opinion Are L/S Equity managers concerned by the covid resurgence?
Managers in the U.S. and Europe are continuing to reduce both their net and gross exposures, now converging near their long-term lows. They are selectively selling or shorting stocks that are the most exposed to tighter restrictions, preferring value stocks instead (to (...)
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Opinion A short lesson in exchange rate determination
François Hollande, the French President, recently called for action against the strong euro, stating that the economy could end up with an exchange rate “out of line with the fundamentals”. Although plausible, exchange rates are probably “out of line with the fundamentals” most (...)
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Opinion Extraordinary times… winners and losers in the oil game
We are living and investing in extraordinary times. Investors face a ‘perfect storm’ of risks which are correlating and affecting markets. The largest headlines are being generated by the movements in energy markets as Brent crude oil has fallen by 45% so far this year in US (...)
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Opinion Europe: bonds or equities?
One of the most surprising characteristics of the current crisis is the fact that bond investors appear to discount more eurostress than equity investors. Is this justified?
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Opinion Is South Africa the Next Currency Crisis?
2018 has been marked by various emerging market crises. From Turkey to Argentina, confidence has eroded, resulting in bond and currency chaos. There is a growing focus on South Africa, and our analysis suggests that will (...)
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Opinion Greece: the end of bailout program
The end of the Greek bailout program on Aug 20 bears both virtues and risks. While the country is regaining some fiscal room of manoeuvre, there is no longer any additional precautionary funding scheme in place, which means Greece is now reliant on financial market funding (...)
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Opinion Investors Cannot Ignore the Debt-Sustainability Question
Despite a pullback in bond yields, clients at our Solving for 2024 event were still uncertain about how to invest in a world of runaway government debt.
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Opinion Draghi manages to exceed expectations
In today’s policy meeting and press conference the ECB took decisive action to loosen monetary policy. Although expectations were high, Draghi managed to exceed them by including a couple of measures that were not widely expected. As a result, financial markets reacted very (...)
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Opinion Euro Parity: Threshold or Boundary?
The euro is subject to enormous economic forces that could equally be very positive for the currency or the cause of an even greater fall.
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