April 2016
Opinion ‘Brexit’: Positioning for uncertainty
“A UK exit from the European Union would in all likelihood damage the UK’s world standing, throw into question the European project and have the potential to generate a global shock that would spark significant volatility across risk assets,” says Ariel Bezalel, manager of the (...)
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March 2016
Opinion A Dovish FOMC was Dovish for Hedge Funds
A more dovish FOMC than expected on March 16 offered the equity rally another leg up. The Fed shaved off its growth and inflation forecasts and its median dot was revised two notches down. Bond yields weakened and the downward pressure on the dollar further supported oil (...)
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March 2016
Opinion A more dovish Fed? Taking stock with US dividends
As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (Fed) kept official rates at their current levels when it met on 10 March. Despite inflationary pressure building, the Fed lowered its projections for the pace of future rate hikes given ongoing concerns about the global (...)
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March 2016
Opinion High Five
Stephen Mitchell, Head of Strategy, Global Equities explains why Cheung Kong Infrastructure, Pernod Ricard, Merlin Entertainments, ADP and Pfizer can currently be found in his portfolio.
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March 2016
Opinion Impressive rebound in risky assets
Although, panic has faded, growth outlook is still uncertain. Patrick Moonen, Principal Strategist Multi Asset at NN IP and Valentijn van Nieuwenhuijzen Head of Multi Asset at NN IP, have downgraded equities to neutral (...)
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March 2016
Opinion The European Central Bank (ECB) have very much taken the ‘kitchen sink’ approach
According to Mitul Patel, Head of Interest Rates, Henderson Global Investors, The European Central Bank (ECB) have very much taken the ‘kitchen sink’ approach, surprising market expectations in a variety of ways...
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March 2016
Opinion Draghi fires bazooka, but we are still waiting for the cavalry
According to Keith Wade, Economist and Head of strategy at Schroders, Mario Draghi succeeded in surprising markets with his latest salvo, but needs the support of governments and fiscal policy to win this fight.
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March 2016
Opinion Draghi manages to exceed expectations
In today’s policy meeting and press conference the ECB took decisive action to loosen monetary policy. Although expectations were high, Draghi managed to exceed them by including a couple of measures that were not widely expected. As a result, financial markets reacted very (...)
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March 2016
Opinion Time to Move into Credit
Investors around the world face a dilemma of where to turn in today’s environment of low, or in some cases even negative, bond yields. Roughly 75% of the entire Japanese and German sovereign bond market is now trading at negative yields*. As a consequence investors are (...)
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March 2016
Opinion S&P Global Market Intelligence: With leverage ratios firmed up, attention turns to RWA density
Much heavy lifting has already been done to raise European banks’ capital ratios, as a new analysis by S&P Global Market Intelligence shows —data drawn from 30 European banks, both eurozone and non-eurozone, shows that these institutions reported at the end of 2015 fully (...)
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February 2016
Opinion Fears and fragility
Market volatility has increased again at the start of the year due to intensified worries over Chinese growth weakness, geopolitical tensions and a further fall of the oil price. Although a lot of bad news is already priced in, we prefer to maintain a cautious (...)
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February 2016
Opinion Anatomy of the European Banks Rout – AT1 bonds
European bank stocks have collapsed so far this year whilst their credit default swaps have risen rapidly. Surely the credit and equity markets are telling us something? – Europe’s nascent economic recovery is over? Negative rates are killing net interest margins? They don’t (...)
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February 2016
Opinion Japanese stocks look oversold
According to Shogo Maeda, Head of Japan Equities, despite the recent volatility, Japanese companies’ prospects continue to look bright.
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February 2016
Opinion The decline in European financials does not represent a systemic risk
According to Wouter Sturkenboom, Senior Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, the European financial sector has been selling off very hard this year and there are genuine concerns which underpin the declines...
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February 2016
Opinion Japan steps up currency war
According to Keith Wade, Chief Economist & Strategist at Schroders, despite the market reaction, this move comes out of weakness and also raises the risk that China may retaliate with a further depreciation of its currency. If so, we will have entered a new phase in the (...)
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