May 2018
Opinion Pakistan: Balancing risks and rewards
For most investors, Pakistan is largely defined as being highly volatile, be it in terms of security, politics or the economy. And in many ways, it is. However, Charles Sunnucks, Assistant Fund Manager, Emerging Markets, argues there is increasing evidence of positive (...)
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April 2018
Opinion US yields break 3% threshold for the first time in four years
Yields on10-year US Treasuries temporarily broke through 3% last week to the highest level since early 2014. We expect rising US wage and price pressures, a more assertive Fed and a higher fiscal deficit to help yields ultimately pass this threshold on a more persistent (...)
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April 2018
Opinion Debt, Tech and Trade Wars Cloud the Investment Horizon
Volatility is back with a bang this year after a period of extraordinary calm. During the first quarter of 2018, the S&P 500 Index rose or fell by at least 1% in 23 trading sessions, compared to eight such sessions in all of 2017. The renewed turbulence, triggered by a (...)
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April 2018
Opinion Growth/inflation mix in deteriorating mood
Last week, equity performance resulted mixed after major indices tested a technical support and after US put/call volatility spiked up, testifying a short term surge in risk aversion. The MSCI World index’s total return fell by 0.6% (S&P 500 -1.4%) but the EMU index (...)
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April 2018
Opinion Russia now - should investors be bold or sit on the sidelines?
People are drawing parallels with the Crimean annexation and sanctions put in place then - which heavily impacted the Russian market. But the macroeconomic Russian situation is very different today - it is much (...)
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April 2018
Opinion The US vs China: An unlikely trade war
Trump’s bark is worse than his bite and despite the recent headlines, the likelihood of a full-blown trade war with China is slim, says Ross Teverson, manager of the Jupiter Global Emerging Markets Fund. Despite the protectionist rhetoric, a sensible agreement on trade (...)
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April 2018
Opinion Trade war concerns unsettle financial markets
While the US macroeconomic data flow last week was on balance broadly in line with expectations, euro area data surprised again on the downside intensifying concerns about a slowing economic momentum.
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March 2018
Opinion Scope welcomes European Commission’s Action Plan on sustainable finance
The European Commission’s sustainable finance plan is a step forward, in the view of Scope Public Finance. This contribution outlines Scope’s views on the distinct nature of ESG and sovereign risk, their areas of overlap, and next research (...)
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March 2018
Opinion The Federal Reserve (Fed) did not disappoint at its March 21 meeting and tightened monetary policy by another 25 basis points (bps).
This move was widely anticipated and marks the sixth rate hike during the current tightening cycle—with more to come. Within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) text, the biggest change to the Fed’s statement was on the inflation front, where the timeframe for reaching (...)
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March 2018
Opinion Amazon .vs. Alibaba - battle of the business models
Alibaba is often heralded as the Amazon of China, and in terms of online retail dominance, it is. The business models of the two businesses are however very different. Indeed, Alibaba doesn’t consider itself an ecommerce company at (...)
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March 2018
Opinion South Africa: a ray of hope
Following weeks of contestation, Jacob Zuma resigned on 14 February 2018 after nine years in office, leaving a mixed legacy to South Africa’s new president, Cyril Ramaphosa.
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March 2018
Opinion Fear of Inflation
The increase in inflation has been considered as one reason for the correction. Accelerating inflation is related to the tightening of central banks’ monetary policy and the rise in the interest rate level, which may be a burden on economies and equity (...)
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March 2018
Opinion How realistic are return expectations really February 2018 ?
Equities and real estate can structually deliver returns in excess of economic growth, but within limits, says Robeco investors Lukas Daalder.
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March 2018
Opinion Trump’s macroeconomic poison cocktail
According to Lukas Daalder, Chief Investment Officer of Robeco Investment Solutions, tax cuts set to raise US government and trade deficits higher • Tariff plans add a new flavor to an already toxic cocktail • Spare capacity will determine the fate of this (...)
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March 2018
Opinion The ECB managed to deliver both a hawkish shift, and maintain a dovish stance
According to Andrew Mulliner, Portfolio Manager, Janus Henderson Investors Fixed Income Investment Strategy Group, the ECB managed to deliver both a hawkish shift, and maintain a dovish stance, at its meeting this (...)
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