Highlights

April 2021

Opinion Turkey – Here we Go Again

What does the appointment of the fourth central bank governor in less than two years mean for investors in Turkey? As have we have seen in the press, and to everyone’s surprise, last week the Turkish government replaced central bank chairman Naci Agbal, just four and a half (...)

Opinion

Have emerging markets lost their mojo?

Opinion

The year of the rat: China’s Economy is strong but investors need to be on their guard

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December 2011

Opinion Russia is not Egypt (yet)

After Egypt, Russia is the second country where capital flight has been significant this year. Now Russia has a tradition of strong capital flight. Ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union, there have been only a few quarters without a net capital (...)

November 2011

Opinion On debt watch: why China can’t save the world

As China faces up to its debt problems investors should be poised for turbulence and opportunity, writes Robin Parbrook, Head of Asia (ex Japan) Equities.

November 2011

Note The dynamic of the yuan

According to Phillippe Waechter, Head of Economic Research of Natixis Asset management, the evolution of China is extremely rapid, and both its accumulation of foreign reserves and its capability to destabilise or stabilise global constructions is (...)

October 2011

Strategy Two big macro themes the strategic investor should be looking at

The two big macro themes that investors should keep in mind are those of deleveraging and rebalancing. There has been a ream of insight written about fiscal sustainability over the past three years, but the most important question lies in whether there will be an offsetting (...)

October 2011

Opinion Stuck between Europe and China

For investors in emerging markets, the positive dynamics in China, on the one hand, and the malaise in Europe, on the other, are causing perplexity.

October 2011

Innovation DWS Investments launches DWS Invest Emerging Markets Top Dividend Plus in France

The DWS Invest Emerging Markets Top Dividend Plus fund offers an emerging market equity strategy combined with the opportunity for current income

October 2011

Opinion The emerging markets irony

The lesson to take from this price action is that the “decoupling” arguments should be treated with a healthy dose of scepticism, and any move into global recession would be damaging for the asset classes.

October 2011

Strategy Frontier markets no riskier than emerging markets

According to new Research Foundation of CFA Institute book, Frontier Market Equity Investing: Finding the Winners of the Future, valuations are more attractive and, therefore, opportunity for future returns is greater in frontier (...)

September 2011

Opinion « Surprising Russia »

Based on the experiences of recent years, there are few stock markets that are more risky than Russia’s. After the Brazilian and South African market, the Russian market has been the most sensitive to increasing risk aversion among investors since the market correction of (...)

September 2011

Innovation TIMCO has launched The Bangladesh Fund

The Bangladesh Fund offers global investors access to the Equity (DSE-Dhaka Stock Exchange) and Fixed Income markets of Bangladesh, one of the fastest growing economies in the world with GDP growth consistently above 5% since 1990, with growth currently around (...)

September 2011

News John Paulson has lost nearly $ 500 million betting on Sino-Forest

Paulson & co and many other fund management companies have been caught by the markets after the revelations about Sino-Forest real wealth. Is it a lesson taught to the funds invested in shares of companies expected to capture growth in emerging markets (...)

September 2011

Innovation BlackRock expands Equity Income range with launch of Emerging Markets Fund

The BGF Emerging Markets Equity Income Fund seeks to generate a minimum yield 30% above the benchmark index yield.

September 2011

Opinion Emerging market bonds still looking good

In light of the difficult circumstances surrounding the equity markets, investors are hunting around for alternatives. Unfortunately, savings-book interest rates are limited, as are the returns from safe developed-country government (...)

August 2011

Strategy Inflationary pressure is not a threat to growth in emerging markets

Inflationary pressure has grown during the past months due to excess demand, excess lending, lack of supply, increasing costs for energy and a rise in food prices.

July 2011

Note What is penalizing the industrialized countries?

The dynamics of Western countries are inadequate because, two years after leaving the recession behind, their economies still seem unable to implement a sturdy, autonomous trajectory of growth, explains Philippe Waechter, chief economist at Natixis (...)

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Innovation BlackRock has expanded its Asian equity fund range by launching the BlackRock Global Funds (BGF) China Flexible Equity Fund

The Fund is designed to enable a growing number of investors seeking to access opportunities in both onshore (A-shares) and offshore (H-shares, Red-chips, P-chips, American Depositary Receipts [ADRs], etc.) Chinese equity markets without having the need to allocate to two (...)

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Opinion Taking the Silk Road

The year of the goat, which has just begun, looks likely to herald a major push by China to establish a new “Silk Road”, the adoption of a new five-year plan to boost the country’s social and economic development and a pick-up in the pace of financial reform, according to Ross (...)

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Strategy VARPS: 2019 Update

GAM Investments’ Tim Love reflects on the performance of his frontier market plays, Vietnam, Argentina, Romania, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia (VARPS) so far this year and discusses the investment opportunities and risks associated with these (...)

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Opinion How will China’s devaluation impact eurozone equities ?

China’s central bank has taken steps to devalue the renminbi. The initial direct impact on eurozone equities is fairly limited but certain sectors and companies have more pronounced exposure...

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Opinion Outlook Brazil

Brazil is in recession territory. The country’s fiscal consolidation plan had a major set-back in July as the finance minister Joaquim Levy announced a significant downward revision of the government’s primary fiscal surplus targets. In august, S&P placed Brazil’s foreign (...)

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Opinion Russia now - should investors be bold or sit on the sidelines?

People are drawing parallels with the Crimean annexation and sanctions put in place then - which heavily impacted the Russian market. But the macroeconomic Russian situation is very different today - it is much (...)

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Opinion China is becoming middle aged, so it’s slowing down a bit

In some ways, the rise of China has been too good to be true. Its economy has grown with breakneck speed for decades (an average of 9.1% a year since 1994, with a lowest rate of 6%) – if we can believe the official (...)

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Opinion Beneath the headlines: three stories that might surprise investors in 2020

Over the past twelve months, the US/China trade dispute has dominated headlines and commanded a considerable slice of the world’s attention. Yet, while any breakthrough would be significant for investors and positive for sentiment in Emerging Markets (EM), we think there are (...)

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News Fitch Affirms Nigeria at ’BB-’; Outlook Stable

Fitch Ratings has affirmed Nigeria’s Long-term foreign and local currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDR) at ’BB-’ and ’BB’ respectively with a Stable Outlook. The agency has also affirmed Nigeria’s Short-term foreign currency IDR at ’B’. The Country Ceiling has been affirmed at (...)

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Opinion India: After a period of euphoria, doubts are resurfacing

According to Laetitia Baldeschi, Co-Head of Research and Strategy at CPR AM, their equity managers are therefore underweight on India within their CPR GEAR Emergents strategy relative to the MSCI Emerging index.

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Opinion China: a health warning

“China is battling slowing economic growth with a host of stimulus measures, but a US policy of containment, the rise of rival low-cost manufacturing hubs and a dwindling current account surplus call for caution,” says Jason Pidcock, Head of Strategy, Asian (...)

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Note Signs of global liquidity tightening for emerging markets

Global liquidity conditions may have begun to tighten for emerging market economies (EMEs), according to updated data from the Bank for International Settlements. BIS General Manager Jaime Caruana detailed highlights from the latest global liquidity indicators, a measure of (...)

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Opinion Fitch: China Policy Shift Prioritises Growth Over Debt Problem

Chinese government directives last week concerning local government debt signal a potentially significant policy shift to prioritise growth over managing the country’s debt problem, says Fitch Ratings.

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Opinion Renminbi depreciation, an unexpected but welcome move

The depreciation of the Chinese currency took many investors by surprise. And a surprise it was, although not necessarily a negative one, says Victoria Mio.

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Opinion Reform is the secret of India’s growth

Since assuming office in 2014, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government has put in place a raft of reform measures aimed at strengthening the nation’s infrastructure and economic fundamentals.

Focus

Strategy Africa, the emerging market story of the next decade ?

According to Mark Mobius, Africa could represent a tremendous opportunity for investors in the next few years. The continent is well known for its wealth of natural resources, much of it barely developed, which includes oil and gas and a variety of metals and minerals, as (...)

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