Highlights

April 2021

Opinion Turkey – Here we Go Again

What does the appointment of the fourth central bank governor in less than two years mean for investors in Turkey? As have we have seen in the press, and to everyone’s surprise, last week the Turkish government replaced central bank chairman Naci Agbal, just four and a half (...)

Opinion

Have emerging markets lost their mojo?

Opinion

The year of the rat: China’s Economy is strong but investors need to be on their guard

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February 2015

Opinion China goes for ’gently does it’

Chinese economic reforms continue, but the authorities are going about it carefully. After all, they don’t want to risk missing their growth targets. Oil-price declines and the US growth recovery are providing some welcome wind in China’s (...)

January 2015

Opinion Slowing China growth to prompt further stimulus

According to Craig Botham, Economist, Emerging Markets at Schroders, China’s economy expanded 7.3% in the final quarter of last year, beating expectations and recording a 7.4% expansion for the year as a whole, but failing to meet the government’s 7.5% (...)

December 2014

Strategy Dollar strength

According to John Chatfeild-Roberts, CIO of Jupiter Asset Management, over the past decade, we have seen several longer term trends play out, from swift urbanisation in developing nations to technological advances everywhere. Changes in currency trends have also had an (...)

December 2014

News Rouble, Rates Moves Heighten Russian Economy Risks

Risks to Russia’s economy in 2015 have been increased by this week’s extreme volatility in the rouble and the sharp rise in interest rates, Fitch Ratings says.

December 2014

Opinion Indian interest rates may likely to fall soon

With disinflationary pressures building in India, it may only be a matter of time before interest rates start to fall materially.

December 2014

Strategy Spread of dividends culture

Asian companies have changed in the last 10 years. Capital expenditure is more rational, and as a result cash generation compares favourably with companies in the US and Europe. This excess cash has been used to pay down debt to the extent that many companies have net cash (...)

December 2014

Opinion Rough times for South America

Gone is the dynamic growth that propelled Latam as one of the top performing asset classes between 2010 and 2012. Just as western economies were attempting to regain their footing, following the 2008 financial devastation, South American economies were on a (...)

December 2014

Opinion Investing in Africa is not as risky as you might think

African equities are perceived to be very risky. But the surprise conclusion of new Robeco research is that the volatility of African equities overall is lower than in the other emerging markets regions.

November 2014

Opinion China is becoming middle aged, so it’s slowing down a bit

In some ways, the rise of China has been too good to be true. Its economy has grown with breakneck speed for decades (an average of 9.1% a year since 1994, with a lowest rate of 6%) – if we can believe the official (...)

November 2014

Innovation State Street Global Advisors Launches the First European ETF to Provide Short Maturity Emerging Market Bond Exposure

The new ETF, which tracks the BofA Merrill Lynch 0–5 Year EM USD Government Bond ex-144a Index, looks to reflect the performance of short-maturity emerging market government debt issued in US dollars.

November 2014

Opinion Volatility creates buying opportunities in emerging markets fixed income

Emerging markets debt will offer investors compelling buying opportunities when US interest rates start to normalize, according to Greg Saichin, CIO Emerging Market Debt at Allianz Global Investors, the EUR 387 billion asset (...)

November 2014

News IFC Issues First Masala Bonds in London, Attracting International Investment for Infrastructure in India

IFC, a member of the World Bank, issued a 10-year, 10 billion Indian rupee bond (equivalent to $163 million) to increase foreign investment in India, mobilizing international capital markets to support infrastructure development in the (...)

October 2014

Strategy Five Emerging-Market Brands to Watch

Abracadabra! – here come emerging-market brands. Now that Alibaba has proved it can be done, expect to see more. Here’s a look at five possibles.

October 2014

Opinion India’s “Goldilocks moment”

A stable government, a can-do prime minister and a recovering economy may prove to be the best recipe yet for Indian stocks, according to Avinash Vazirani, manager of the Jupiter India Select SICAV fund. Add in a falling oil price, says Avinash, and Indian firms might just (...)

October 2014

Note The impact of commodity prices on Emerging Markets

In the report, Nomura’s researchers highlight five channels through which emerging market economies are affected by lower commodity prices: Merchandise trade, CPI inflation, profit margins, fiscal positions, and GDP growth to assess the winners and losers in the Emerging (...)

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Innovation BlackRock has expanded its Asian equity fund range by launching the BlackRock Global Funds (BGF) China Flexible Equity Fund

The Fund is designed to enable a growing number of investors seeking to access opportunities in both onshore (A-shares) and offshore (H-shares, Red-chips, P-chips, American Depositary Receipts [ADRs], etc.) Chinese equity markets without having the need to allocate to two (...)

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Strategy Agricultural land rush of investment funds!

After launching products indexed to changes in prices of agricultural products, many banks and investment funds are turning now to the land acquisition...

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Opinion South Africa: a ray of hope

Following weeks of contestation, Jacob Zuma resigned on 14 February 2018 after nine years in office, leaving a mixed legacy to South Africa’s new president, Cyril Ramaphosa.

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News Rouble, Rates Moves Heighten Russian Economy Risks

Risks to Russia’s economy in 2015 have been increased by this week’s extreme volatility in the rouble and the sharp rise in interest rates, Fitch Ratings says.

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Strategy Africa: A continent of opportunities

As global demand for commodities continues to grow, we believe Africa is in an enviable position with its vast resources, not only minerals but also food—60% of the world’s uncultivated arable land is in Africa...

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Opinion Renminbi depreciation, an unexpected but welcome move

The depreciation of the Chinese currency took many investors by surprise. And a surprise it was, although not necessarily a negative one, says Victoria Mio.

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Opinion China goes for ’gently does it’

Chinese economic reforms continue, but the authorities are going about it carefully. After all, they don’t want to risk missing their growth targets. Oil-price declines and the US growth recovery are providing some welcome wind in China’s (...)

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Opinion For the BJP

The results of the world’s largest general election were announced today after 6 weeks of voting, with around 900m registered voters casting their ballot across 543 constituencies. The incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won a majority of seats, which means that Modi will (...)

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Opinion 2016 could be difficult for markets

According to Paul Markham, global equities portfolio manager at Newton Investment Management, for an overall outlook on equities, it’s too early to tell whether a bad start to the year can be a sign that 2016 will be problematic. However it is true that leadership of markets (...)

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Opinion New Egypt FX Regime Positive Step in Tough Circumstances

Egypt’s new exchange rate regime has brought greater transparency and a depreciation of the pound but also highlights a serious shortage of foreign exchange, Fitch Ratings says. For the system to work, confidence needs to be restored quickly, starting with agreement on an IMF (...)

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People Moves Lombard Odier Investment Managers Combines Global and Emerging Bond Teams, Appoints Salman Ahmed as Strategist

Lombard Odier Investment Managers’ (LOIM) has combined its Global and Emerging Fixed Income teams into a single unit and hired a market strategist.

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Opinion China A-shares inclusion in MSCI indices to redefine emerging market investing

The MSCI approval of China A-shares inclusion in their benchmark Emerging Markets and ACWI indices is likely to redefine the way investors invest in emerging markets according to ETF Securities, one of the world’s leading, independent providers of Exchange Traded Products (...)

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Opinion « Surprising Russia »

Based on the experiences of recent years, there are few stock markets that are more risky than Russia’s. After the Brazilian and South African market, the Russian market has been the most sensitive to increasing risk aversion among investors since the market correction of (...)

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Strategy Corporate Bonds – Ideal for Emerging Markets diversification

With sovereign ceilings rising, corporate governance and overall transparency improving, demand and liquidity high and returns attractive relative to risk, what’s not to like about Emerging Markets corporate bonds?

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Opinion Is Turkey’s recovery threatened by its Syrian incursion?

Until just a week ago, Turkey (against all the odds) seemed to be doing well again, said Reza Karim, assistant fund manager, Fixed Income. Inflation had come down from 25% last year to 9%. The central bank had managed to cut rates by 750bps, which restarted the debt-fuelled (...)

Focus

Strategy Africa, the emerging market story of the next decade ?

According to Mark Mobius, Africa could represent a tremendous opportunity for investors in the next few years. The continent is well known for its wealth of natural resources, much of it barely developed, which includes oil and gas and a variety of metals and minerals, as (...)

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