Allocation & Trend
Strategy,
January 2017
Short covering in US Treasuries
T-note yields have had a somewhat volatile week. The yield on 10y notes traded as low as 2.30% before closing last week at 2.40%. Short positioning in US bonds has normalized thanks in part to successful auctions.
Strategy,
January 2017
Record Buyback in US in 2017?
S&P 500 Buyback Index, which has hit the highest in late 2014/early 2015, had retreated outperformance during most of 2016. With Donald Trump’s victory in November, however, buyback indices and buyback related ETFs again hit the market (...)
Opinion,
January 2017
Caution will be needed in emerging markets in 2017, waiting to find the right entry point
2016 has been a better year for emerging market returns after underperforming for many years. However it has been a volatile year and one has had to be an active manger, being selective, tactical and rotating between asset classes and currencies to maximize (...)
Opinion,
January 2017
Tighter Labor Markets Inspire Further Reflation and Rate Normalization
At the end of 2016, the nonfarm payroll print came in at 156,000 jobs gained for the month of December, which was a bit under the consensus expectation of 180,000 jobs, but it still represents a solid number for a labor market that needs to be regarded as very close to, if (...)
Strategy,
January 2017
Buy in January, Sell in May? The seasonality of commodity performance
Most commodities outperformance is skewed to the early months of the calendar year, according to ETF Securities, one of the world’s leading independent providers of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs).
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2017 outlook: China equities 