January 2019
Opinion A tale of two worlds: a robust business cycle in the US and a draining of liquidity in the rest of the world
After President Trump signed the ’Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’ into law on 22 December 2017, we expected corporate earnings growth to be strong in 2018. In fact, it has been far stronger, as the direct effect of the tax cut on corporate earnings was further magnified by the (...)
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January 2019
Opinion Normalising economies may mean moderate returns
After 10 good years, the markets appear to be finally getting back to pre-crisis norms. Our analysis suggests that this normalisation may result in investment returns becoming much more modest than they have been over the years since the financial crisis, when (...)
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January 2019
Opinion Accidental Americans Create Headache for French, European Banks
Boris Johnson, who was born in New York but left when he was five, found it outrageous that he was obliged to pay US taxes. The easy solution was to pay to renounce his US citizenship, which he did in 2016. Hundreds of other accidental Americans don’t have the luxury of such (...)
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January 2019
Opinion A modern-day War of the Roses
A modern-day War of the Roses: Is a real winner possible in the US-China trade war? In an era of globalization, trade wars mean losses for all sides
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January 2019
Opinion The Fed’s legacy will live on
The legacy of the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting promises to have lasting effects well into the new year. Once again, there were no surprises on the outcome for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) funds target following this (...)
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December 2018
Opinion Brexit, Now What ?
Paul O’Connor, Head of Janus Henderson’s UK-based Multi-Asset Team, sifts through the highly complex range of Brexit scenarios following Theresa May’s survival as party leader.
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December 2018
Opinion Rates going up...maybe not so fast
When examining the fixed income market outlook within the Euro zone, inevitably the discussion turns to Italy, and what the potential ramifications of this ongoing budget saga will be.
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December 2018
Opinion Market outlook 2019
We believe that fears of a global slowdown are overdone, even though we are clearly past the peak in growth. Investor sentiment remains fragile and volatility high as fears about growth and political headlines keep markets on the back-foot. Yields have fallen on market woes, (...)
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December 2018
Opinion Hedge Funds agree on where rates are going
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November 2018
Opinion Financial Innovation: US banks steal a lead on European, Asian peers
In recent years, technological developments, new regulations and the rise of digital savvy millennials have combined to form an irreversible trend towards innovation in the global financial sector.
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November 2018
Opinion A Tulip for London
We suspect the architects behind “the Tulip” are giving a nod to the famous European Tulip Mania of 1637. Even if the building is never completed, there may be no more fitting end to such a long trend toward positive social mood in the (...)
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November 2018
Opinion ? Why MSCI ESG downgraded Nissan to ‘CCC’ for governance failures in September ‘18
MSCI ESG Research downgraded Nissan from ’B’ to ’CCC’ on September 10, 2018, the lowest industry-relative rating on the scale of ’CCC’ to ’AAA’. The downgrade was primarily attributed to systemic failures in governing its corporate (...)
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November 2018
Opinion Reacting to the US mid-term election results
On the back of the election results, US and European equity futures are up about 1%, as one source of political uncertainty has been resolved. In our estimation, this reflects a market refocus on fundamentals that remain positive for equities, especially in the US, and will (...)
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November 2018
Opinion US Mid Terms - Nothing really to see here
According to Nick Watson, Janus Henderson multi-asset team, from a markets perspective, Trump’s ability to provide the US economy and markets with further levels of stimulus and acceleration are likely to be constrained over the next two (...)
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November 2018
Opinion Brexit update – the end of the beginning
Multiple sources suggest that UK and EU negotiators have reached a draft agreement on Britain’s terms for leaving the EU (the withdrawal agreement) including backstop mechanisms designed to ensure that Brexit does not create a hard border in Northern (...)
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