Strategy Financial markets: hedging against new structural risks and stagflation
There are at least four new structural risks to consider: regulation, Middle East, euro zone’s crisis, and again the idea of a change in growth model of emerging countries.
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Opinion Hard time for sterling
According to Luc Luyet and Frederik Ducrozet, Asset Allocation & Macro Research, Pictet Wealth Management, the sharp drop of the sterling on Friday 7 October at the start of trading in Asia with the currency declining 6% in the course of twenty minutes was the climax of (...)
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News Crypto Miners Raked in $1.3B in February, the Highest Value So Far
The impressive growth of the crypto market and Bitcoin’s price rally have turned 2021 into a record year for crypto miners. According to data presented by TradingPlatforms.com, crypto miners generated $1.3bn in revenue last month, the highest value so (...)
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Strategy Caution in order for emerging currencies in short term
For nearly one month, the renewed strains experienced by US long rates following the good October employment data (despite the shutdown) have triggered a new correction on the part of emerging currencies (even though they have stabilised somewhat of (...)
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Strategy The main trading recommendations of Goldman Sachs for 2012
The American bank’s suggests the following strategies as its flagship trading recommendations in 2012: Short on the German bund with an expected 2.8% 10 year return and long EUR / CHF with 1.35 as target…
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Note Russia well-positioned against non-energy sanctions in the short term
Border tensions are high, information on the conflict zone is incomplete and misleading, and soft-tone diplomacy is not doing the trick. As conflict resolution remains out of sight, international sanctions against Russia are increasingly likely to continue for longer, (...)
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Opinion Despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the roof
According to Daniele Bianchi, of Warwick Business School, is Assistant Professor of Finance and he researches crypto-currencies incluing Bitcoin, despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the (...)
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Opinion Renminbi depreciation, an unexpected but welcome move
The depreciation of the Chinese currency took many investors by surprise. And a surprise it was, although not necessarily a negative one, says Victoria Mio.
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Note Financial crisis indicators and safe haven assets
How to measure the intensity of the current financial and economic crisis? Regular monitoring of a number of economic and financial indicators helps answering this question and better understanding the materialization of panic behavior and portfolio reallocations in the (...)
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Strategy JPY at risk of reversal: who wins? who loses?
JPY and Japanese equities were the outcast of the rally, in diffidence of Abenomics’ and BoJ’s chances of success. They bear a risk of a reversal ahead of the coming BoJ meetings (April 28 & June 16) and the July Upper House (...)
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Innovation Neuberger Berman launches Macro Opportunities FX Fund
The fund’s investment strategy is based on an established process, which has a track record of producing returns with a low correlation to equities, bonds and alternatives, demonstrating particularly strong resilience in adverse market (...)
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Opinion Is South Africa the Next Currency Crisis?
2018 has been marked by various emerging market crises. From Turkey to Argentina, confidence has eroded, resulting in bond and currency chaos. There is a growing focus on South Africa, and our analysis suggests that will (...)
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Opinion The Euro will survive, but not the current Euro zone !
If the existence of the euro is not challenged, it is the case of the euro zone in its current configuration. In the same way that cohabitation between countries with maintaining parity exchange had become impossible in the EMS, cohabitation has become impossible within (...)
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Strategy Brexit: ETF Securities sees rise in demand for short-GBP ETFs
According to James Butterfill, Head of Research and Investment Strategy at ETF Securities, most investors believe that the greatest short-term impact - of fear of Brexit rather than Brexit itself - will be on sterling and consequently he has seen a big rise in short (...)
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Note Signs of global liquidity tightening for emerging markets
Global liquidity conditions may have begun to tighten for emerging market economies (EMEs), according to updated data from the Bank for International Settlements. BIS General Manager Jaime Caruana detailed highlights from the latest global liquidity indicators, a measure of (...)
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