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Opinion Goldilocks vs Armageddon: It’s time to buy EM
Look outside the US, Goldilocks scenario doesn’t hold anymore; EM back on the buy list: take advantage of the Armageddon panic; The Damocles swords of 2018 are slowly being pulled back
Opinion A tale of two worlds: a robust business cycle in the US and a draining of liquidity in the rest of the world
After President Trump signed the ’Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’ into law on 22 December 2017, we expected corporate earnings growth to be strong in 2018. In fact, it has been far stronger, as the direct effect of the tax cut on corporate earnings was further magnified by the (...)
News The S&P 500 tanked twice this year by some 10%. Neither nice nor historically unusual.
Dropping twice by some 10%, as the index has this year, might seem more exceptional. But it is not that uncommon, too, when looking back in history: at least two declines by 10% or more within one year have occurred seven times since (...)
Opinion A Tulip for London
We suspect the architects behind “the Tulip” are giving a nod to the famous European Tulip Mania of 1637. Even if the building is never completed, there may be no more fitting end to such a long trend toward positive social mood in the (...)
Note BofA Merrill Lynch October Fund Manager Survey finds investors most bearish on global growth since 2007
Average cash balance holds steady at 5.1%, well above the 10-year average of 4.5%, as investors stay bearish. A record 85% of survey respondents think the global economy is in the late cycle, 11ppt above prior highs in Dec. (...)
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