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November 2015

Opinion Bond yields are heading up

According to Christophe Donay, Chief Strategist at Pictet Wealth Management, Bond yields are heading up. The rebound in equity markets since the beginning of October, looks largely played out, with further gains dependant on a turnaround in earnings forecasts. Yields on DM (...)

November 2015

News Fitch: Global Credit Growth Prospects Remain Stable; Downside Risks for Emerging Markets

Fitch Ratings says in its latest Macro-Prudential Monitor that global credit growth is not likely to have a strong pick-up in 2015. Hence, macro-prudential risk indicators (MPI) could continue to trend lower with the highest risks still largely confined to emerging markets (...)

October 2015

Opinion The Fed’s Three Problems

First, let’s start with an apology: All too often this year our notes have focused on the U.S. Federal Reserve, or global monetary policy in general. In our defense, as the global economy becomes more dependent on debt, in all its forms, the importance of servicing that debt (...)

October 2015

Opinion Fed: The Art of Evasion

The US Federal Reserve maintained a status quo on its interest rates at its September meeting, thereby extending a period of zero interest rates that has lasted for virtually seven years already. This decision, which ought to have reassured investors, was on the contrary (...)

October 2015

Opinion Outlook Brazil

Brazil is in recession territory. The country’s fiscal consolidation plan had a major set-back in July as the finance minister Joaquim Levy announced a significant downward revision of the government’s primary fiscal surplus targets. In august, S&P placed Brazil’s foreign (...)

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