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Opinion Greece: awaiting the inevitable
The credit default swap market is pricing in a 65% probability of a default within the next five years.
Opinion The monetary policy crapshoot
One of the key factors driving the relentless move up in equity markets has been the massive surge in liquidity supplied by central banks. One of the biggest risks in the second quarter is whether the liquidity tailwind turns into a headwind for (...)
Note The EMF has been created, long live the EMF!
Philip Hall and Adrian Paturle give an update on the operation of ESM: European leaders have largely been inspired by the IMF...
Strategy Currencies: Projected dollar weakness over the medium term and gains in emerging currencies exchanged under State control.
The euro is not expected to experience abrupt movements versus the dollar whereas the yen might see a decline in 2011 and the pound is on a course towards strengthening versus both the euro and dollar
Note The frantic flight to liquidity and solvency
Some markets have been exhibiting dysfunctions for nearly 4 years. The flight to liquidity and compliance with solvency requirements of banks and states with financial issues, have been - and still is - only ensured by non-conventional financing provisions and emergency (...)
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