Strategy Which strategies to privilege in an environment of extreme risk ?
A convex strategy seems to better correspond to long-term investors in terms of preference structures, potentially ready to give up some of their earnings to avoid losses that would be difficult to handle from an emotional point of (...)
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Strategy El Niño: Winds of Change for Commodity Prices?
Based on their data, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the organization responsible for identifying global weather patterns, is predicting a greater than 90% chance that El Niño will continue through the northern hemisphere winter in 2015-2016 and (...)
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Strategy US dollar now sole safe haven currency
The US dollar will increasingly benefit from the flight to quality as the appeal of other ‘safe haven’ currencies wanes, according to Jack McIntyre, portfolio manager at Brandywine Global, a subsidiary of Legg Mason.
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Strategy Value, Momentum and the Outlook for Market Neutral L/S
Momentum stocks experienced a correction since Pfizer announced their Covid-19 vaccine results early November. Performance has nonetheless stabilized over the course of March, as the rebound in Value stocks has been persistent and started to be shown in the Momentum risk (...)
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Strategy ESG and climate: When credit becomes sustainable
Those investors who have opted to incorporate ESG and climate issues into their portfolios will emerge from the crisis with even greater faith in their convictions and all the keener to take more action for the future. New investors will undoubtedly soon join the movement to (...)
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Strategy Japan Could Win a Medal in the Recovery Race
A strong manufacturing base and changing attitudes toward shareholder value could mean the world’s capital heads to Japan, even if the world’s sports fans cannot. The analysis of Erik L. Knutzen, CFA, CAIA, Chief Investment Officer—Multi-Asset Class, Neuberger (...)
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Strategy Risk factor investing explained
Risk factor investing is growing in popularity, but there’s a risk of getting lost in the factor “zoo”. In this Expert Opinion Thierry Roncalli, Head of Quantitative Research at Lyxor Asset Management, explains the concept of risk factors and distinguishes between facts and (...)
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Strategy Pension funds predicted to increase hedge funds exposure in the coming years
The current pension allocation is only a fraction of the allocation of many of the leading endowment funds, many of whom have up to 50% of their portfolio invested in hedge funds.
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Strategy VARPS: 2019 Update
GAM Investments’ Tim Love reflects on the performance of his frontier market plays, Vietnam, Argentina, Romania, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia (VARPS) so far this year and discusses the investment opportunities and risks associated with these (...)
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Strategy Asset Allocation : remain OW High Yield, turn neutral equities and short US Treasuries
The post-ECB correction observed since last Friday confirms our view described in August and again last week in our latest Asset Allocation monthly publication: after a historically calm summer, September is likely to be a month of transition towards more (...)
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Strategy How are hedge funds positioning after the market correction?
L/S Equity managers have decently navigated these markets, generating small positive alpha (especially on their short positions) but their implicit stance is diverging across regions. U.S. managers detracted only marginal alpha. They maintained their modest overall exposures (...)
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Strategy Caution in order for emerging currencies in short term
For nearly one month, the renewed strains experienced by US long rates following the good October employment data (despite the shutdown) have triggered a new correction on the part of emerging currencies (even though they have stabilised somewhat of (...)
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Strategy Is traditional asset allocation no longer an option?
Sometimes, I wonder if asset allocators realise how lucky they used to be. We used to have the luxury of combining bonds with equities to form a diversified portfolio. Sovereign bonds – from many countries – used to be of high quality. But I am afraid that those times are now (...)
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Strategy Philippe Aurain: "The choice of flexibility is not trivial"
According to Philippe Aurain, CEO of Fédéris MANAGEMENT, given the diversity of processes called Flexible Management; we should probably define a typology helping investors to find themselves in a multi-faceted (...)
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Strategy BNP Paribas Wealth Management publishes its investment strategy for 2015
BNP Paribas Wealth Management has published its global economic outlook for 2015, highlighting ten main investment themes to enable its clients to direct their investments to growth themes.
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