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February 15

Opinion Added Value in ABS

Investors are moving back into higher-rated fixed income after years of comparative neglect, and we noted that asset- and mortgage-backed securities (ABS and MBS) offered diversified risk exposures, together with relative value caused mainly by technical supply-and-demand (...)

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Reflections on Davos: Business as usual no longer exists

Opinion

Equities head for choppy ride as higher yield market takes hold

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September 2014

Opinion BBB region possible for Scotland’s sovereign risk rating

If the vote for independence is successful, Scotland’s sovereign risk rating could be in the BBB lower investment grade region, according to Director of Sovereign Risk Analysis Jan Randolph of IHS.

September 2014

Opinion One week to save the union!

With one week to go today Azad Zangana, European Economist, Schroders provides his latest economic insight into the Scottish Referendum.

September 2014

Opinion ECB Moves, Mild Eurozone Fiscal Easing to Follow

The European Central Bank’s unconventional monetary policy measures and rate cuts announced 4 September highlight the risks facing the eurozone economy, Fitch Ratings says.

September 2014

Opinion ECB adds stimulus, but markets want more

According to Schroders Azad Zangana, European Economist and Chris Ames, Senior Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, the cut in interest rates is totally irrelevant. Due to the glut of liquidity in money markets, short-term interest rates have been below the ECB’s main financing (...)

August 2014

Opinion Downside risks in Europe remain high

Over 2014 there has been a steady decline in the yield on German government bonds. As a result bunds have outperformed other developed markets. This outperformance could have been driven by two factors...

August 2014

Opinion Bumpy ride for emerging currencies over summer

Emerging currencies were under pressure this summer. Save for the Indonesian rupiah, Thai baht, Malaysian ringgit and Chinese yuan, emerging currencies has corrected against the US dollar since 30 June. It is mainly the CEEMEA currencies and, to a lesser extent, Latin (...)

August 2014

Opinion Don’t cry for Argentina

In accordance with the Right Upon Future Offers or RUFO clause (similar to a conventional clause requiring creditors to be treated pari passu) contained in the 2005 agreement on the restructuring of the debt of the exchange bondholders (preventing Argentina from making more (...)

June 2014

Opinion The challenge facing the Fed

Despite increased optimism at the start of the year, growth forecasts for the US economy are once again falling towards the 2% trend pace of recent years. The faster-than-anticipated fall in unemployment appears to betray a fall in the economy’s potential rate of (...)

June 2014

Opinion All eyes on Brazil !

According to Daniel Isidori, fund manager at Threadneedle Investments, the Brazilian companies most affected by the upcoming election are state owned and rather than taking exposure to all of them, he suggests to have a small overweight in the energy giant (...)

June 2014

Opinion Piketty and Plutonomy: The revenge of inequality

When wealth and income are as concentrated as they are, and expected (a la Piketty) to get even more so, examining the “average” consumer or “average” investor makes little sense. Examining the fat tail – the behavior of the plutonomists, rather than that of the multitudinous (...)

June 2014

Opinion Euro MMFs Are Prepared for Lower Market Yields

Euro-denominated money market funds have already taken investment and operational measures to prepare for yields declining or even turning negative, should short-term money market rates shift in that direction following the European Central Bank’s decision to cut the rate on (...)

June 2014

Opinion Fitch: ECB Reduces Deflation Risk, But Impact May Be Limited

The ECB’s package of measures providing additional monetary policy accommodation reduces the risk of deflation in the eurozone, but it may not lift inflation from its very low levels, Fitch Ratings says.

May 2014

Opinion The risks for equities are limited

The crisis in Ukraine has global markets on edge—and investors fear that deflation could prove a long-term problem for the Eurozone. What matters most, though, is an objective look at economic and financial data.

January 2014

Opinion Quantitative management: the THEAM way

At THEAM, a subsidiary of the BNP Paribas Group, our development strategy involves promoting the added value that quantitative techniques can bring to the field of asset management.

December 2013

Opinion Mind the Gap

To those who have seen headlines over new record highs in equity markets or who mainly judge equity market valuations on the back of price-earnings or earnings yields it might sound strange to argue that equities are (...)

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Opinion Despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the roof

According to Daniele Bianchi, of Warwick Business School, is Assistant Professor of Finance and he researches crypto-currencies incluing Bitcoin, despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the (...)

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Opinion Total Return Futures set for further growth as buy-side adoption increases

Eurex launched Total Return Futures (TRFs) in 2016 in response to growing demand for listed alternatives to total return swaps. Since then, the product has evolved into an instrument used by a wide variety of firms for multiple purposes, enabling firms to lock in financing (...)

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Opinion Investors Cannot Ignore the Debt-Sustainability Question

Despite a pullback in bond yields, clients at our Solving for 2024 event were still uncertain about how to invest in a world of runaway government debt.

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Opinion Time for crypto investors to look beyond bitcoin for returns

New analysis by London-based Nickel Digital Asset Management (Nickel), Europe’s award-winning, regulated digital assets hedge fund manager is highlighting the need for crypto investors to start to look beyond Bitcoin for potential (...)

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Opinion Review of the chinese economy at the end of the summer of 2019

The monthly data published at the start of the second quarter are fairly mixed and show no tangible signs of growth momentum improving in China. The GDP published for the second quarter has recently confirmed this sentiment. The slowdown at work since the start of the decade (...)

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Opinion Silver squeeze: What’s behind the surge in silver?

Silver is in the spotlight this week, after the popular r/WallStreetBets community on Reddit highlighted the fundamental value in acquiring silver at current levels. The online posting was the catalyst for increased retail flows and awareness. Last Thursday 28 January, the (...)

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Opinion Jean-Claude Guimiot : « There is no ’Smart Beta’ strategy within our asset allocation program »

According to Jean-Claude Guimiot, CEO of AGRICA EPARGNE (asset management company of the Group AGRICA), invest in "Smart Beta" index is not on the agenda ...

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Opinion Combining Active and Passive management in a Portfolio

In recent years, long-held ideas on portfolio construction have been called into question. Investors can now choose from a range of “smart beta” strategies, offering exposure to market risk premia in a systematic, transparent fashion. Where does the dividing line between (...)

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Opinion The «French Quants» must relearn to code!

In France, many financial engineers feel some aversion for IT. Some, fascinated by models, don’t consider for a second writing thousands of lines of code…

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Opinion Investors pay a high price for emotional decisions

New European research from behavioural finance experts Oxford Risk reveals that over 73% of wealth managers believe emotional decision-making costs investors investment returns.

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Opinion Don’t cry for Argentina

In accordance with the Right Upon Future Offers or RUFO clause (similar to a conventional clause requiring creditors to be treated pari passu) contained in the 2005 agreement on the restructuring of the debt of the exchange bondholders (preventing Argentina from making more (...)

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Opinion Equities in 2013: boring would be best

Past results do not guarantee future performance. However, they certainly set the tone for predictions of it. A year ago, the outlook statements for this year’s equity performance were rather cautious, with forecasters extrapolating the poor trend of 2011. However, 2012 (...)

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Opinion The European Credit Strategist: The year that QE failed?

According to BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research report, Month-to-date, investment-grade cash bond spreads are 21bp wider and high-yield cash bond spreads are 73bp wider. September is shaping up to be the worst month of the year for performance, and the year-to-date picture (...)

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Opinion Coronavirus: research, research, research…

In terms of data, the impact of the economic freeze is seen first on jobs; unemployment will rise dramatically, with the peak expected in the second quarter numbers. GDP contraction will follow – for example, the recent eurozone PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) was very weak (...)

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Opinion Sustainable investing: sector rotations may prove short-lived

Hamish Chamberlayne, portfolio manager within Henderson’s global equity sustainable investment team, discusses the significant sector rotations seen in 2016. He explains why the reversals in the energy and healthcare sectors may prove short-lived, given the longer-term themes (...)

Focus

Opinion Psychology and smart beta

‘Smart beta’ sounds like an oxymoron. How smart can it be to continue using the same strategy in such fickle markets? A portfolio manager calling on all his skills (‘alpha’) in analysing market environments (the source of ‘beta’) should be able to outperform an unchanged (...)

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Mory Doré’s column

Mory Doré’s views on monetary policy, asset allocation, financial management of banks and understanding of crises

Éclairages Économiques Notebook

The association Éclairages Économiques share with us analysis mostly relying on current research on various economics issues

Selection: Prospects

Regulation Regulatory prospects: 2012 and beyond

2009 was a year of intense reflection on the functioning of the financial sector. There followed an intense regulatory activity in 2010, unfortunately with few formal adoptions of regulations. 2011 marked the surge of the will to succeed with provisional schedules. Where do (...)

Reading An Economic Approach to Marriage

Marriages are not always very stable. A divorce rate of 50 % in developed countries serves to prove. We ask ourselves if it is possible to form stable relationships. An economic analysis may be able to answer this (...)

Note Aging population poses new opportunities for global investment managers

Early conclusions from ongoing SimCorp StrategyLab research point to demographic changes as a key factor influencing the future of the global investment management industry.

Note Launch of green bonds

The term «Green Bonds» is more frequently used to describe a market that should mature very fast in order to deal with numerous requests for investments in the field of green infrastructure projects.

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