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February 15

Opinion Added Value in ABS

Investors are moving back into higher-rated fixed income after years of comparative neglect, and we noted that asset- and mortgage-backed securities (ABS and MBS) offered diversified risk exposures, together with relative value caused mainly by technical supply-and-demand (...)

Opinion

Reflections on Davos: Business as usual no longer exists

Opinion

Equities head for choppy ride as higher yield market takes hold

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February 2016

Opinion Latest BoJ currency war salvo unlikely to be effective

According to Simon Ward, Chief Economist, Henderson Global Investors, the Bank of Japan’s surprise decision to introduce a negative interest rate on the top tier of banks’ reserve holdings recalls the famous Beyond the Fringe sketch in which Peter Cook’s squadron leader (...)

January 2016

Opinion The US rate rise is symbolic

Sebastian Radcliffe, manager of the Jupiter North American Income Fund, comments on the decision by the US Federal Reserve to increase interest rates for the first time since 2006

January 2016

Opinion The More Things Change …

For all that happened in 2015, one has to wonder if it will be lost in the textbooks as a pretty uneventful year. Sure it was the year of Ukraine, the Volkswagen scandal, “Unicorns”, ISIS, China’s slowdown, Fed “liftoff”, and another chapter in the Greece drama, but what really (...)

January 2016

Opinion European Equity Market : Outlook 2016

We live in extraordinary times. The distortions caused by quantitative easing and near zero interest rate policies have been felt in just about every asset class...

January 2016

Opinion 2016 Fixed Income Outlook

For some time, commentators have been itching to call the top of the great bond bull market. They point to improving economic conditions in the developed economies, a tightening US labour market and a long-awaited normalisation of interest rate policy after many years of (...)

January 2016

Opinion Global Emerging Markets Equity 2016 Outlook

According to Ross Teverson, Head of Global Emerging Markets, finally, it is worth noting that, today, emerging market valuations - in terms of price to book ratios - are relatively depressed versus history. At times when valuations have been at or around these levels, strong (...)

January 2016

Opinion China at crossroads

According to Aninda Mitra, senior sovereign analyst at Standish Mellon Asset Management, the International Monetary Fund’s in-principle acceptance of the CNY in the SDR basket is, in our view, an important step in cementing the process of greater medium-term capital account (...)

January 2016

Opinion 2016 could be difficult for markets

According to Paul Markham, global equities portfolio manager at Newton Investment Management, for an overall outlook on equities, it’s too early to tell whether a bad start to the year can be a sign that 2016 will be problematic. However it is true that leadership of markets (...)

January 2016

Opinion SNL Financial: Will Equities Still Boom and FICC suffer in 2016?

SNL Financial data shows how equities and M&A success have helped investment banks offset pain in fixed income, currencies and commodities (FICC) through the first nine months of 2015, a trend they may well need to continue in (...)

January 2016

Opinion 2016 Market Outlook: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Forecasts the Return of Value Investing on Rising Rates, Risks and Earnings

Glass Half-Full: Bullish on Stocks, Not Sectors; Year of Modest Global Growth: U.S. Grows, China Slows and Brazil Contracts; More Volatility as Monetary Policies Diverge, Rates and Regulations Collide

December 2015

Opinion Finally the Fed rate hike is there

After a year of talking about it we finally got it. The Fed starts hiking rates for the first time in more than 9 years. It has been long anticipated, so one has to wonder what it will actually mean if everybody had so much time to prepare for it. Probably not too much (...)

December 2015

Opinion The ‘Road to Paris’: this time is different

With only a few weeks to go until the start of the UN Climate Change Conference in Paris, Charlie Thomas, Head of Strategy, Environmental Investment, is optimistic about the talks.

November 2015

Opinion Multi-asset strategies offer an alternative in liquidity driven markets

One of the key reasons which makes multi-asset investing attractive are the generally low yields. As a result of the global financial crisis, central banks around the world have lowered their key interest rates and engaged in unconventional easing measures. In this (...)

November 2015

Opinion Bond yields are heading up

According to Christophe Donay, Chief Strategist at Pictet Wealth Management, Bond yields are heading up. The rebound in equity markets since the beginning of October, looks largely played out, with further gains dependant on a turnaround in earnings forecasts. Yields on DM (...)

November 2015

Opinion The great bond bull market is not over

Despite talk of a ‘great normalisation’ of monetary policy, persistent deflationary pressures mean global interest rates are set to stay lower for longer, according to Ariel Bezalel, manager of the Jupiter Dynamic Bond (...)

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Opinion Despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the roof

According to Daniele Bianchi, of Warwick Business School, is Assistant Professor of Finance and he researches crypto-currencies incluing Bitcoin, despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the (...)

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Opinion Total Return Futures set for further growth as buy-side adoption increases

Eurex launched Total Return Futures (TRFs) in 2016 in response to growing demand for listed alternatives to total return swaps. Since then, the product has evolved into an instrument used by a wide variety of firms for multiple purposes, enabling firms to lock in financing (...)

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Opinion Review of the chinese economy at the end of the summer of 2019

The monthly data published at the start of the second quarter are fairly mixed and show no tangible signs of growth momentum improving in China. The GDP published for the second quarter has recently confirmed this sentiment. The slowdown at work since the start of the decade (...)

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Opinion Investors Cannot Ignore the Debt-Sustainability Question

Despite a pullback in bond yields, clients at our Solving for 2024 event were still uncertain about how to invest in a world of runaway government debt.

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Opinion Time for crypto investors to look beyond bitcoin for returns

New analysis by London-based Nickel Digital Asset Management (Nickel), Europe’s award-winning, regulated digital assets hedge fund manager is highlighting the need for crypto investors to start to look beyond Bitcoin for potential (...)

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Opinion Accidental Americans Create Headache for French, European Banks

Boris Johnson, who was born in New York but left when he was five, found it outrageous that he was obliged to pay US taxes. The easy solution was to pay to renounce his US citizenship, which he did in 2016. Hundreds of other accidental Americans don’t have the luxury of such (...)

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Opinion Are L/S Equity managers concerned by the covid resurgence?

Managers in the U.S. and Europe are continuing to reduce both their net and gross exposures, now converging near their long-term lows. They are selectively selling or shorting stocks that are the most exposed to tighter restrictions, preferring value stocks instead (to (...)

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Opinion Jean-Claude Guimiot : « There is no ’Smart Beta’ strategy within our asset allocation program »

According to Jean-Claude Guimiot, CEO of AGRICA EPARGNE (asset management company of the Group AGRICA), invest in "Smart Beta" index is not on the agenda ...

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Opinion Overview of Quantitative Finance in France

A short review of quantitative finance in France under the lens of the Next Finance website: Profile of quants, origins and outlook of the industry.

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Opinion Silver squeeze: What’s behind the surge in silver?

Silver is in the spotlight this week, after the popular r/WallStreetBets community on Reddit highlighted the fundamental value in acquiring silver at current levels. The online posting was the catalyst for increased retail flows and awareness. Last Thursday 28 January, the (...)

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Opinion SNL Financial: Will Equities Still Boom and FICC suffer in 2016?

SNL Financial data shows how equities and M&A success have helped investment banks offset pain in fixed income, currencies and commodities (FICC) through the first nine months of 2015, a trend they may well need to continue in (...)

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Opinion Investors pay a high price for emotional decisions

New European research from behavioural finance experts Oxford Risk reveals that over 73% of wealth managers believe emotional decision-making costs investors investment returns.

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Opinion Don’t cry for Argentina

In accordance with the Right Upon Future Offers or RUFO clause (similar to a conventional clause requiring creditors to be treated pari passu) contained in the 2005 agreement on the restructuring of the debt of the exchange bondholders (preventing Argentina from making more (...)

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Opinion Equities in 2013: boring would be best

Past results do not guarantee future performance. However, they certainly set the tone for predictions of it. A year ago, the outlook statements for this year’s equity performance were rather cautious, with forecasters extrapolating the poor trend of 2011. However, 2012 (...)

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Opinion The European Credit Strategist: The year that QE failed?

According to BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research report, Month-to-date, investment-grade cash bond spreads are 21bp wider and high-yield cash bond spreads are 73bp wider. September is shaping up to be the worst month of the year for performance, and the year-to-date picture (...)

Focus

Opinion Psychology and smart beta

‘Smart beta’ sounds like an oxymoron. How smart can it be to continue using the same strategy in such fickle markets? A portfolio manager calling on all his skills (‘alpha’) in analysing market environments (the source of ‘beta’) should be able to outperform an unchanged (...)

Focus

Mory Doré’s column

Mory Doré’s views on monetary policy, asset allocation, financial management of banks and understanding of crises

Éclairages Économiques Notebook

The association Éclairages Économiques share with us analysis mostly relying on current research on various economics issues

Selection: Prospects

Regulation Regulatory prospects: 2012 and beyond

2009 was a year of intense reflection on the functioning of the financial sector. There followed an intense regulatory activity in 2010, unfortunately with few formal adoptions of regulations. 2011 marked the surge of the will to succeed with provisional schedules. Where do (...)

Reading An Economic Approach to Marriage

Marriages are not always very stable. A divorce rate of 50 % in developed countries serves to prove. We ask ourselves if it is possible to form stable relationships. An economic analysis may be able to answer this (...)

Note Aging population poses new opportunities for global investment managers

Early conclusions from ongoing SimCorp StrategyLab research point to demographic changes as a key factor influencing the future of the global investment management industry.

Note Launch of green bonds

The term «Green Bonds» is more frequently used to describe a market that should mature very fast in order to deal with numerous requests for investments in the field of green infrastructure projects.

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