Highlights

April 2021

Opinion Turkey – Here we Go Again

What does the appointment of the fourth central bank governor in less than two years mean for investors in Turkey? As have we have seen in the press, and to everyone’s surprise, last week the Turkish government replaced central bank chairman Naci Agbal, just four and a half (...)

Opinion

Have emerging markets lost their mojo?

Opinion

The year of the rat: China’s Economy is strong but investors need to be on their guard

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December 2019

Opinion Beneath the headlines: three stories that might surprise investors in 2020

Over the past twelve months, the US/China trade dispute has dominated headlines and commanded a considerable slice of the world’s attention. Yet, while any breakthrough would be significant for investors and positive for sentiment in Emerging Markets (EM), we think there are (...)

October 2019

Opinion Is Turkey’s recovery threatened by its Syrian incursion?

Until just a week ago, Turkey (against all the odds) seemed to be doing well again, said Reza Karim, assistant fund manager, Fixed Income. Inflation had come down from 25% last year to 9%. The central bank had managed to cut rates by 750bps, which restarted the debt-fuelled (...)

October 2019

Strategy VARPS: 2019 Update

GAM Investments’ Tim Love reflects on the performance of his frontier market plays, Vietnam, Argentina, Romania, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia (VARPS) so far this year and discusses the investment opportunities and risks associated with these (...)

May 2019

Opinion For the BJP

The results of the world’s largest general election were announced today after 6 weeks of voting, with around 900m registered voters casting their ballot across 543 constituencies. The incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won a majority of seats, which means that Modi will (...)

May 2019

Opinion After Modi’s landslide win, all eyes on what he does for the Indian economy

India’s Narendra Modi won a second term as Prime Minster after a landslide win in the general elections in the world’s largest democracy. Mr. Modi’s party BJP won a simple majority with almost 300 out of 542 seats in the Lok Sabha (India’s equivalent of the House of (...)

March 2019

News Meridiam announces the closing of the reopening of its Africa fund at €546 million, 2.5 times its initial size

Launched in 2015, for an initial amount of €207 million, the initial commitment has already been fully invested two years before the end of the investment period. At the end of this closing, it is now 2.5 times bigger than at the (...)

February 2019

Opinion China: a health warning

“China is battling slowing economic growth with a host of stimulus measures, but a US policy of containment, the rise of rival low-cost manufacturing hubs and a dwindling current account surplus call for caution,” says Jason Pidcock, Head of Strategy, Asian (...)

October 2018

Opinion Why we’re banking on financial inclusion

This rising penetration of financial products and services will, according to Ross Teverson Head of Strategy, Emerging Markets, forge dramatic change in developing regions of the world, in turn creating opportunities for (...)

October 2018

Innovation GSAM Launches Emerging Market Equity ESG Portfolio

Goldman Sachs Asset Management (“GSAM”) has announced the launch of the Goldman Sachs Emerging Markets Equity ESG Portfolio (the “Portfolio”). The Portfolio seeks to provide investors exposure to emerging market companies which GSAM believes demonstrate strong environmental, (...)

September 2018

Opinion Is South Africa the Next Currency Crisis?

2018 has been marked by various emerging market crises. From Turkey to Argentina, confidence has eroded, resulting in bond and currency chaos. There is a growing focus on South Africa, and our analysis suggests that will (...)

June 2018

Opinion Reform is the secret of India’s growth

Since assuming office in 2014, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government has put in place a raft of reform measures aimed at strengthening the nation’s infrastructure and economic fundamentals.

May 2018

Opinion Pakistan: Balancing risks and rewards

For most investors, Pakistan is largely defined as being highly volatile, be it in terms of security, politics or the economy. And in many ways, it is. However, Charles Sunnucks, Assistant Fund Manager, Emerging Markets, argues there is increasing evidence of positive (...)

April 2018

News The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) joins the Global Emerging Markets (GEMs) Risk Database Consortium

During the World Bank-IMF Spring Meetings in Washington, DC, on April 20, Werner Hoyer, President of the European Investment Bank (EIB), acting on behalf of the Global Emerging Markets (GEMs) Risk Database Consortium, and Joaquim Levy the Managing Director and Chief (...)

April 2018

Opinion Russia now - should investors be bold or sit on the sidelines?

People are drawing parallels with the Crimean annexation and sanctions put in place then - which heavily impacted the Russian market. But the macroeconomic Russian situation is very different today - it is much (...)

March 2018

Opinion South Africa: a ray of hope

Following weeks of contestation, Jacob Zuma resigned on 14 February 2018 after nine years in office, leaving a mixed legacy to South Africa’s new president, Cyril Ramaphosa.

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Note The impact of commodity prices on Emerging Markets

In the report, Nomura’s researchers highlight five channels through which emerging market economies are affected by lower commodity prices: Merchandise trade, CPI inflation, profit margins, fiscal positions, and GDP growth to assess the winners and losers in the Emerging (...)

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Strategy China in Africa

China’s burgeoning economy is demanding more and more natural mineral resources whether it is oil, copper, nickel, gold, and so on. Looking further into the future, the demands of China’s more sophisticated diets means that imports of food will be increasing as (...)

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Strategy Africa: A continent of opportunities

As global demand for commodities continues to grow, we believe Africa is in an enviable position with its vast resources, not only minerals but also food—60% of the world’s uncultivated arable land is in Africa...

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Opinion Russia now - should investors be bold or sit on the sidelines?

People are drawing parallels with the Crimean annexation and sanctions put in place then - which heavily impacted the Russian market. But the macroeconomic Russian situation is very different today - it is much (...)

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News SMEs switching to Renminbi for Chinese business according to DB survey

In spite of increasing volatility in foreign exchange markets, only around half of companies that were surveyed hedge foreign exchange risks in Renminbi transactions...

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Strategy Agricultural land rush of investment funds!

After launching products indexed to changes in prices of agricultural products, many banks and investment funds are turning now to the land acquisition...

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Opinion China is becoming middle aged, so it’s slowing down a bit

In some ways, the rise of China has been too good to be true. Its economy has grown with breakneck speed for decades (an average of 9.1% a year since 1994, with a lowest rate of 6%) – if we can believe the official (...)

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Opinion Beneath the headlines: three stories that might surprise investors in 2020

Over the past twelve months, the US/China trade dispute has dominated headlines and commanded a considerable slice of the world’s attention. Yet, while any breakthrough would be significant for investors and positive for sentiment in Emerging Markets (EM), we think there are (...)

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Opinion After Modi’s landslide win, all eyes on what he does for the Indian economy

India’s Narendra Modi won a second term as Prime Minster after a landslide win in the general elections in the world’s largest democracy. Mr. Modi’s party BJP won a simple majority with almost 300 out of 542 seats in the Lok Sabha (India’s equivalent of the House of (...)

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News Nomura Asset Management launches in Middle East

Japanese fund manager Nomura Asset Management (NAM) has launched an office in Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) as part of its ongoing commitment to the Middle East.

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Opinion India’s “Goldilocks moment”

A stable government, a can-do prime minister and a recovering economy may prove to be the best recipe yet for Indian stocks, according to Avinash Vazirani, manager of the Jupiter India Select SICAV fund. Add in a falling oil price, says Avinash, and Indian firms might just (...)

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News Fitch Affirms Nigeria at ’BB-’; Outlook Stable

Fitch Ratings has affirmed Nigeria’s Long-term foreign and local currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDR) at ’BB-’ and ’BB’ respectively with a Stable Outlook. The agency has also affirmed Nigeria’s Short-term foreign currency IDR at ’B’. The Country Ceiling has been affirmed at (...)

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Opinion India: After a period of euphoria, doubts are resurfacing

According to Laetitia Baldeschi, Co-Head of Research and Strategy at CPR AM, their equity managers are therefore underweight on India within their CPR GEAR Emergents strategy relative to the MSCI Emerging index.

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Opinion 2017 outlook: China equities

Charlie Awdry, China portfolio manager, shares his views on the prospects for Chinese stocks in 2017. He believes the focus on high quality growth companies exposed to long-term consumer trends and cyclical value stocks places his portfolios in good stead to deliver (...)

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Strategy The market’s focus on risks to EM from slower Chinese growth creates opportunities for stock pickers

According to Ross Teverson, Head of Global Emerging Markets Strategy at Jupiter, market is overly focused on risk rather than opportunity, EM valuations already price in a very negative scenario and recent weakness has created the opportunity to invest in positive long-term (...)

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Strategy Africa, the emerging market story of the next decade ?

According to Mark Mobius, Africa could represent a tremendous opportunity for investors in the next few years. The continent is well known for its wealth of natural resources, much of it barely developed, which includes oil and gas and a variety of metals and minerals, as (...)

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