Highlights

April 2021

Opinion Turkey – Here we Go Again

What does the appointment of the fourth central bank governor in less than two years mean for investors in Turkey? As have we have seen in the press, and to everyone’s surprise, last week the Turkish government replaced central bank chairman Naci Agbal, just four and a half (...)

Opinion

Have emerging markets lost their mojo?

Opinion

The year of the rat: China’s Economy is strong but investors need to be on their guard

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January 2017

Note Frontier markets – the richly diverse path to yield

Credit Suisse Research Institute launches “The Next Frontier” report and the Credit Suisse Frontier Markets group of 30 countries, accounting for USD 3.7 trillion of economic output

December 2016

Opinion 2017 outlook: China equities

Charlie Awdry, China portfolio manager, shares his views on the prospects for Chinese stocks in 2017. He believes the focus on high quality growth companies exposed to long-term consumer trends and cyclical value stocks places his portfolios in good stead to deliver (...)

December 2016

Opinion Asian Dividend Income: cautiously optimistic in 2017

Michael Kerley and Sat Duhra, Co-Managers of the Henderson Asian Dividend Income Strategy, provide their outlook for 2017. While macro events will continue to dominate markets, Asia’s strong potential for dividend growth remains the key reason why investors should remain (...)

December 2016

Opinion Reasons to like emerging markets

Risks to EM equities and bonds have increased since the U.S. election, with the incoming Trump administration’s policies on trade uncertain. Yet a cyclical growth pick-up benefitting EMs outweighs these risks for now, we believe, and supports selectively investing in EM (...)

November 2016

Note India – the fundamental investment case

Bottlenecks’ that have hampered India’s development are easing. India is playing catch up, and is catching up fast. Election of Narendra Modi has rebooted stalled projects, sparked new reforms. India’s domestic economy and growing middle class are the key long-term (...)

October 2016

Strategy The right time to invest in emerging markets?

Complete reversal in emerging equity markets in 2016: the highly geared/cyclical/risky stocks that collapsed in 2015 skyrocketed in 2016. Where to go? In 2015, emerging markets have had stormy times. An unexpected devaluation of the Yuan, the collapse of numerous emerging (...)

October 2016

People Moves Jupiter appoints Alejandro Arevalo to build emerging market debt strategy

Alejandro, who has more than 18 years’ experience of investing in emerging markets, will join Jupiter as a fund manager later this year from Pioneer Investments, where he has worked for four years as an emerging markets corporate debt portfolio (...)

October 2016

Strategy Emerging Market Debt – Stronger for Longer

Interest in emerging market (EM) assets is returning. With yields in developed bond markets almost non-existent, emerging debt looks particularly attractive. Paul McNamara, investment director for emerging market debt at GAM, explains why he still sees plenty of upside, (...)

September 2016

Strategy Emerging Markets: Is now the right time?

After years of difficulties and underperformance, emerging market (EM) assets have the makings of a potential turn-round. Here I explain our strategists’ long-term positive view on EM currencies and bonds, using our investment strategy process focusing on the three aspects of (...)

July 2016

Strategy Results and Prospects in Emerging Markets

Glen Finegan, Head of Emerging Market Equities, provides a detailed update on the Henderson Emerging Markets Strategy, covering recent market drivers, performance and activity, and his outlook for the asset class.

July 2016

Opinion EM and the UK referendum

GAM Investment Director Paul McNamara looks at the impact of Britian’s surprise ‘leave’ vote on emerging market debt. In his view EM fundamentals have improved materially over the past three years, and a turn in the credit cycle could cause EM growth to pick up by the end of (...)

May 2016

Opinion Asia’s new middle class gets mobile

“China’s huge, new and affluent middle class have broadened their horizons. Getting access to the best healthcare, education and tourist destinations is at the top of their priority list and they are keener than ever to travel overseas to find them.” Jason Pidcock, manager of (...)

April 2016

Opinion Indian economics: on the right track

According to Avinash Vazirani, indian stocks have been a bright spot within emerging – and developed – markets in recent months... Avinash Vazirani

February 2016

Strategy Fed, Oil, yuan: towards a triple capitulation?

The first few days of the year were particularly challenging for capital markets. Further incertitude regarding the strength of the US cycle and the possibility that the Chinese economy is weathering a heavy depression drove risky assets lower, bucking the traditional (...)

February 2016

Note Signs of global liquidity tightening for emerging markets

Global liquidity conditions may have begun to tighten for emerging market economies (EMEs), according to updated data from the Bank for International Settlements. BIS General Manager Jaime Caruana detailed highlights from the latest global liquidity indicators, a measure of (...)

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People Moves Jupiter appoints Alejandro Arevalo to build emerging market debt strategy

Alejandro, who has more than 18 years’ experience of investing in emerging markets, will join Jupiter as a fund manager later this year from Pioneer Investments, where he has worked for four years as an emerging markets corporate debt portfolio (...)

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Interview Florence Marty and Olivier Hakim : « Our strategy is based on the dynamism of emerging countries without local currency volatility »

Management philosophy, sectoral and geographical distribution, growth in emerging countries ... Florence Marty and Olivier Hakim, portfolio managers at LBPAM Actions Euro Focus Emergent reveals the strategy of the fund performing 13.80% at end June (...)

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Opinion Don’t cry for Argentina

In accordance with the Right Upon Future Offers or RUFO clause (similar to a conventional clause requiring creditors to be treated pari passu) contained in the 2005 agreement on the restructuring of the debt of the exchange bondholders (preventing Argentina from making more (...)

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Note The dynamic of the yuan

According to Phillippe Waechter, Head of Economic Research of Natixis Asset management, the evolution of China is extremely rapid, and both its accumulation of foreign reserves and its capability to destabilise or stabilise global constructions is (...)

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Strategy VARPS: 2019 Update

GAM Investments’ Tim Love reflects on the performance of his frontier market plays, Vietnam, Argentina, Romania, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia (VARPS) so far this year and discusses the investment opportunities and risks associated with these (...)

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Strategy Dollar strength

According to John Chatfeild-Roberts, CIO of Jupiter Asset Management, over the past decade, we have seen several longer term trends play out, from swift urbanisation in developing nations to technological advances everywhere. Changes in currency trends have also had an (...)

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Opinion Caution will be needed in emerging markets in 2017, waiting to find the right entry point

2016 has been a better year for emerging market returns after underperforming for many years. However it has been a volatile year and one has had to be an active manger, being selective, tactical and rotating between asset classes and currencies to maximize (...)

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Opinion China is becoming middle aged, so it’s slowing down a bit

In some ways, the rise of China has been too good to be true. Its economy has grown with breakneck speed for decades (an average of 9.1% a year since 1994, with a lowest rate of 6%) – if we can believe the official (...)

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Strategy China in Africa

China’s burgeoning economy is demanding more and more natural mineral resources whether it is oil, copper, nickel, gold, and so on. Looking further into the future, the demands of China’s more sophisticated diets means that imports of food will be increasing as (...)

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Strategy Agricultural land rush of investment funds!

After launching products indexed to changes in prices of agricultural products, many banks and investment funds are turning now to the land acquisition...

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Opinion Bumpy ride for emerging currencies over summer

Emerging currencies were under pressure this summer. Save for the Indonesian rupiah, Thai baht, Malaysian ringgit and Chinese yuan, emerging currencies has corrected against the US dollar since 30 June. It is mainly the CEEMEA currencies and, to a lesser extent, Latin (...)

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Opinion Reform is the secret of India’s growth

Since assuming office in 2014, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government has put in place a raft of reform measures aimed at strengthening the nation’s infrastructure and economic fundamentals.

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Opinion Beneath the headlines: three stories that might surprise investors in 2020

Over the past twelve months, the US/China trade dispute has dominated headlines and commanded a considerable slice of the world’s attention. Yet, while any breakthrough would be significant for investors and positive for sentiment in Emerging Markets (EM), we think there are (...)

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Opinion After Modi’s landslide win, all eyes on what he does for the Indian economy

India’s Narendra Modi won a second term as Prime Minster after a landslide win in the general elections in the world’s largest democracy. Mr. Modi’s party BJP won a simple majority with almost 300 out of 542 seats in the Lok Sabha (India’s equivalent of the House of (...)

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Opinion Pakistan: Balancing risks and rewards

For most investors, Pakistan is largely defined as being highly volatile, be it in terms of security, politics or the economy. And in many ways, it is. However, Charles Sunnucks, Assistant Fund Manager, Emerging Markets, argues there is increasing evidence of positive (...)

Focus

Strategy Africa, the emerging market story of the next decade ?

According to Mark Mobius, Africa could represent a tremendous opportunity for investors in the next few years. The continent is well known for its wealth of natural resources, much of it barely developed, which includes oil and gas and a variety of metals and minerals, as (...)

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