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September 2023

Opinion The yen is at record lows this year as the Bank of Japan sticks to ultra-loose monetary policy

The Japanese yen continued its decline after a series of losses extending since around midnight yesterday. The US dollar against the Japanese yen (USD/JPY) reached a new record level this year at 148.458, the highest since November of last (...)

Opinion

Euro Parity: Threshold or Boundary?

News

The Number of Bitcoin ATMs Surged by 70% in Six Months and hit 16,500 in March

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August 2014

Opinion Bumpy ride for emerging currencies over summer

Emerging currencies were under pressure this summer. Save for the Indonesian rupiah, Thai baht, Malaysian ringgit and Chinese yuan, emerging currencies has corrected against the US dollar since 30 June. It is mainly the CEEMEA currencies and, to a lesser extent, Latin (...)

February 2014

News Hedge funds unscathed from rising doubts on emerging, global growth and central banks

The Lyxor Hedge Fund Index was down only -0.4% in January, outperforming the MSCI World down -3.8%. 8 Lyxor Strategy Indices out of 12 ended the month in positive territory, led by the Lyxor Fixed Income Arbitrage Index (+1.74%), the Lyxor Merger Arbitrage Index (+0.92%) and (...)

November 2013

Strategy Caution in order for emerging currencies in short term

For nearly one month, the renewed strains experienced by US long rates following the good October employment data (despite the shutdown) have triggered a new correction on the part of emerging currencies (even though they have stabilised somewhat of (...)

February 2013

Opinion A short lesson in exchange rate determination

François Hollande, the French President, recently called for action against the strong euro, stating that the economy could end up with an exchange rate “out of line with the fundamentals”. Although plausible, exchange rates are probably “out of line with the fundamentals” most (...)

February 2013

Innovation PIMCO has launched Foreign Currency Strategy Exchange Traded Fund (FORX)

PIMCO, a leading global investment management firm, has listed the PIMCO Foreign Currency Strategy Exchange Traded Fund (Ticker: FORX), created to offer investors the potential to benefit from fundamental changes in global currency dynamics by diversifying away from the (...)

August 2012

News SMEs switching to Renminbi for Chinese business according to DB survey

In spite of increasing volatility in foreign exchange markets, only around half of companies that were surveyed hedge foreign exchange risks in Renminbi transactions...

August 2012

Opinion Beware the dangerous emerging market ‘grand narrative’

The emerging markets (EM) ‘grand narrative’ that you hear constantly churned out is at best misleading and at worst dangerous...

March 2012

Opinion The Euro will survive, but not the current Euro zone !

If the existence of the euro is not challenged, it is the case of the euro zone in its current configuration. In the same way that cohabitation between countries with maintaining parity exchange had become impossible in the EMS, cohabitation has become impossible within (...)

January 2012

Note The Yuan - will it soon become a reserve currency ?

Whilst several experts estimate the that it will still be about ten years before the status of the yuan changes to that of a reserve currency, the exchange agreement between Japan and China which replaces the dollar with the yen or the yuan, for bilateral trade, could (...)

December 2011

Strategy The Euro’s Survival and traditional asset classes prospects for 2012

On the basis of the survival «in fine» of the Euro through a constrained and massive indirect monetization from the ECB, what are the expectations for 2012 on foreign exchange, short-term rates, long-term rates and (...)

December 2011

News Capital outflows from Russia are manageable

According to Fitch, capital outflow from Russia has increased sharply in the 4th quarter, but does not currently seem high enough to affect the country’s BBB rating...

December 2011

Opinion Russia is not Egypt (yet)

After Egypt, Russia is the second country where capital flight has been significant this year. Now Russia has a tradition of strong capital flight. Ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union, there have been only a few quarters without a net capital (...)

December 2011

Strategy The main trading recommendations of Goldman Sachs for 2012

The American bank’s suggests the following strategies as its flagship trading recommendations in 2012: Short on the German bund with an expected 2.8% 10 year return and long EUR / CHF with 1.35 as target…

November 2011

Note The dynamic of the yuan

According to Phillippe Waechter, Head of Economic Research of Natixis Asset management, the evolution of China is extremely rapid, and both its accumulation of foreign reserves and its capability to destabilise or stabilise global constructions is (...)

November 2011

Note Financial crisis indicators and safe haven assets

How to measure the intensity of the current financial and economic crisis? Regular monitoring of a number of economic and financial indicators helps answering this question and better understanding the materialization of panic behavior and portfolio reallocations in the (...)

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Opinion Despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the roof

According to Daniele Bianchi, of Warwick Business School, is Assistant Professor of Finance and he researches crypto-currencies incluing Bitcoin, despite fears about the Bitcoin ’bubble’ bursting, the price of the new digital coins is going through the (...)

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Regulation High Frequency Trading (HFT): Positive for forex market and negative for equities ?

While the AMF and European regulators plan to limit or prohibit HFT, the BSI considers it to be beneficial to the foreign exchange market in normal times and in times of stress...

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Opinion Anatomy of a dollar rally

In the era of Central Bank policy influence, we have become used to large shifts in the performance and trends of different currencies across time. For the better part of the past two years, the currency headlines have been dominated by a weakening US (...)

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News The euro currency area has only a one-in-five chance of surviving in its current form

The euro currency area has only a one-in-five chance of surviving in its current form over the next 10 years because of competitive imbalances between its members, a leading British think tank said on Friday.

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News SMEs switching to Renminbi for Chinese business according to DB survey

In spite of increasing volatility in foreign exchange markets, only around half of companies that were surveyed hedge foreign exchange risks in Renminbi transactions...

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Strategy Caution in order for emerging currencies in short term

For nearly one month, the renewed strains experienced by US long rates following the good October employment data (despite the shutdown) have triggered a new correction on the part of emerging currencies (even though they have stabilised somewhat of (...)

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Strategy Currencies: The investment theme of the next decade?

A wind of change is blowing on the international monetary system, which could start a new chapter of its history. Investment Strategy Specialist at ING Investment Management, Vincent Juvyns presents current issues and explains how they can be an investment (...)

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News Forex: the list of unauthorised websites in France

ACP and AMF update the list of unauthorised websites offering forex investments

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Strategy Brexit: ETF Securities sees rise in demand for short-GBP ETFs

According to James Butterfill, Head of Research and Investment Strategy at ETF Securities, most investors believe that the greatest short-term impact - of fear of Brexit rather than Brexit itself - will be on sterling and consequently he has seen a big rise in short (...)

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Strategy Volatility : An asset class to make a portfolio more robust to crises

Investors, especially those of long-term maturity, should take advantage, to make their portfolios less vulnerable to episodes of market stress...

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Opinion The Euro, a foreign currency?

The Euro is, in principle, the common currency of the Europeans, however the crisis of sovereign has uncovered something completely unexpected and previously hidden. The Euro is, in fact, proving itself to be a foreign (...)

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Innovation TOBAM launches first Bitcoin mutual fund in Europe

TOBAM, the Smart Beta pioneer, announced today the launch of the TOBAM Bitcoin Fund, an unregulated Alternative Investment Fund, set up in France. The fund, the first of its kind in Europe, will allow qualified and institutional investors wanting to gain an exposure to the (...)

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Strategy US dollar now sole safe haven currency

The US dollar will increasingly benefit from the flight to quality as the appeal of other ‘safe haven’ currencies wanes, according to Jack McIntyre, portfolio manager at Brandywine Global, a subsidiary of Legg Mason.

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Note Signs of global liquidity tightening for emerging markets

Global liquidity conditions may have begun to tighten for emerging market economies (EMEs), according to updated data from the Bank for International Settlements. BIS General Manager Jaime Caruana detailed highlights from the latest global liquidity indicators, a measure of (...)

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News Capital outflows from Russia are manageable

According to Fitch, capital outflow from Russia has increased sharply in the 4th quarter, but does not currently seem high enough to affect the country’s BBB rating...

Focus

News Eurozone: How the City is bracing itself for the worst.

Within the large investment banks, special teams consisting of 10 to 30 people have been assembled in order to develop rescue kits designed to face all types of scenarios resulting from a breakup of the Eurozone.

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