Highlights

October 2018

Opinion Italy’s expansionary budget goals add to growing risks to sovereign rating

Italy’s announcement of a tentative budget deficit goal of 2.4% of GDP over 2019-2021 could compound the country’s existing debt sustainability challenges. This represents a significant risk to Italy’s A-/Negative Outlook (...)

Opinion

Greece: referendum reaction

Opinion

Europe – The darkest hour is just before the dawn

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October 2011

Note Survey: European investors are optimistic for the future of the Euro

It emerges from an poll, conducted by the Global Alliance of Investors, dealing with institutional investors in Europe, that 80% of those questioned, believe in the ability of the euro to cope with current challenges. British investors are less (...)

October 2011

Opinion The Financial Crisis 2008 - 2011 : repetitions

We have exhausted our recourse to borrowing. Other ways must be found if we want to avoid general bankruptcy

October 2011

News According to Goldman Sachs, 5 European banks could fail the EBA tests

In a research note that was published on Friday, the American bank estimated 50 European banks out of 91 could fail the new tests prepared by the European Banking Authority (EBE)…

October 2011

Opinion The four potential scenarios to the Eurozone crisis

Mike Story, economist at Western Asset Management, analyses the outcome of the four potential scenarios to the Eurozone crisis: no Eurozone restructuring, orderly Eurozone restructuring, disorderly Eurozone restructuring or Eurozone (...)

September 2011

Opinion The Euro, a foreign currency?

The Euro is, in principle, the common currency of the Europeans, however the crisis of sovereign has uncovered something completely unexpected and previously hidden. The Euro is, in fact, proving itself to be a foreign (...)

September 2011

News Crédit Agricole strengthens balance sheets.

In a message to investors, Crédit Agricole has presented its new strategy in a context marked by the lack of confidence of markets in European banks. The group is adjusting to this new operating environment.

September 2011

News USD funding, money market freeze, pheripheral sovereign debt...answers from BNP Paribas

Amongst the three French banks under pressure, only BNP Paribas has played the card of full transparency ...

September 2011

News BNP Paribas denies having trouble obtaining USD funding

BNP Paribas categorically denies the statements made by a certain anonymous BNP Paribas executive who states that the bank has a liquidity problem in dollars and is participating in the creation of a market in euros to solve the (...)

September 2011

Opinion Who is eventually irrational?

If the market was fully rational in its current pricing, policy makers could actually see current low levels of bond yields as a vote of confidence in their long-term credibility. It would then be rational for policy makers to exploit the lowest funding costs (...)

September 2011

Reading Exit the Euro ? A dangerous idea

The Eurozone, undergoing a test of fire is rocking Europe both financially and economically. The Economist Evariste Lefeuvre proposes to a large audience a dispassionate analysis of the single currency crisis to be viewed in a positive and completely neutral (...)

September 2011

Opinion Decline in Eurozone growth set to continue into 2012

ING Investment Management is warning that a combination of fiscal austerity, a lingering debt crisis and a slow down in external demand will translate into a fall in Eurozone GDP growth from 1.7 to 1.0.

September 2011

News IMF experts believe European banks heavily undercapitalized!

Christine Lagarde and her team believe that European banks could need € 200 billion...

August 2011

Note The July – August 2011 market crash. Technical analysis and long term issues!

According to Jacques Ninet, head of research at UFG-LFP, it is obvious that the monetary European Union (an imperfect Trojan horse towards federalism) only gets half the job done when it comes to forging economic (...)

August 2011

News Gold as collateral for a participation in the Greek support plan

Will Finland jeopardize the Greek plan? The country requires collateral in exchange for its participation in the support plan. The German labour minister, Ursula Von Der Leyen, has agreed to those terms…

August 2011

Opinion How long will Eurobonds be set aside?

The introduction of Eurobonds which is collectively supported by all Eurozone members has been presented as a means of reducing the burden of the countries impacted by the sovereign debt crisis. This is not the opinion of German authorities for the time being…for how (...)

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Stories The Greek crisis : the Danaides’ barrel ?

Back on the Greek saga or the largest bankruptcy in the 21st century without credit event trigger (to date). The succession of bailout plans shows that we do not simply resolve the insolvency of a country by emergency (...)

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Reading Exit the Euro ? A dangerous idea

The Eurozone, undergoing a test of fire is rocking Europe both financially and economically. The Economist Evariste Lefeuvre proposes to a large audience a dispassionate analysis of the single currency crisis to be viewed in a positive and completely neutral (...)

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Note Challenges for Europe’s banks

Even in the seemingly unlikely case that a comprehensive solution to the sovereign crisis is found, the changed regulatory backdrop is a major challenge for the banks, and probably for the economy as a whole.

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News Greece rescue plan: The resurgence of structured finance?

The Greek rescue plan, suggested by a consortium of banks led by BNP Paribas, praises the techniques of structured finance, with this time the politicals’ blessing...

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Strategy Nordic Sovereign bonds, the last safe investment in Europe?

The yield of the Swedish 10 year notes fell to a new historical low. A move which indicates that Sweden is viewed by Investors as a new hedge…

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Opinion How long will Eurobonds be set aside?

The introduction of Eurobonds which is collectively supported by all Eurozone members has been presented as a means of reducing the burden of the countries impacted by the sovereign debt crisis. This is not the opinion of German authorities for the time being…for how (...)

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Note Scenarios for Public Sector Debt

The evolution of public sector debt depends on a number of economic variables and how they interact. Within the Eurozone, German and French debt looks sustainable while Italy, Portugal and Ireland appear borderline.

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News Rumors were close to destroy the Société Générale

4 Billion losses related to ETFs, losses in its Greek subsidiary and ECB rescue amounting € 5 Billion...this is an anthology of the rumors that ran in the markets about Société Générale.

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Kiosk Understanding the eurozone crisis and its various facets

The current crisis is multiple. Initially sovereign and financial, it then became a social and political crisis. These changes do not facilitate the assessment of the situation, let alone the implementation of solutions. Back on the various facets of the (...)

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Opinion The Financial Crisis 2008 - 2011 : repetitions

We have exhausted our recourse to borrowing. Other ways must be found if we want to avoid general bankruptcy

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News IMF experts believe European banks heavily undercapitalized!

Christine Lagarde and her team believe that European banks could need € 200 billion...

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Opinion Today’s European country in the sovereign debt crisis spotlight is…France

Russell Investments’ Chief Investment officer – Client Investment Strategies Erik Ristuben explains why the European sovereign debt crisis is spilling over into France

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News The euro currency area has only a one-in-five chance of surviving in its current form

The euro currency area has only a one-in-five chance of surviving in its current form over the next 10 years because of competitive imbalances between its members, a leading British think tank said on Friday.

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Note Sorting out the Greek issue

The aim of this short article is to set the ideas straight regarding the Greek situation. Several issues are considered, the first of which being that of economic growth. If the latter does not make any progress, it will be very difficult to reach public finance stability. (...)

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Kiosk Crisis, stock market crash and risk management in 2011

Turmoil around sovereigns’ solvency and the strong market drop currently observed raise many questions and misunderstandings. Taking a short break to look back at some analysis and themes developed throughout the year seems then (...)

Focus

News Eurozone: How the City is bracing itself for the worst.

Within the large investment banks, special teams consisting of 10 to 30 people have been assembled in order to develop rescue kits designed to face all types of scenarios resulting from a breakup of the Eurozone.

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Greek crisis

Focus on the greek crisis

Irish crisis

Focus on the irish crisis

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