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September 2016

Strategy Asset Allocation : remain OW High Yield, turn neutral equities and short US Treasuries

The post-ECB correction observed since last Friday confirms our view described in August and again last week in our latest Asset Allocation monthly publication: after a historically calm summer, September is likely to be a month of transition towards more (...)

August 2016

Opinion Wanted: earnings growth

Global stocks are up year-to-date, having shaken off worries about the strength of the global economy in the wake of the UK’s Brexit vote. But we believe further gains require a meaningful improvement in corporate earnings, particularly in developed (...)

July 2016

Opinion Interest rates: Brexit and term premiums

Since the announcement of the vote for Brexit at the UK referendum, long-term interest rates have plunged to record lows across all major currencies. The US 10-year interest rate hit an all-time low of 1.32% on July 6, before rebounding to 1.47% on July 12. But are these (...)

July 2016

Opinion Maybe Brexit won’t break Britain (and the world)

The British electorate’s decision to leave the European Union in the June referendum has roiled markets worldwide. It has clouded prospects for the UK and world economies, and threatens the future of the European (...)

June 2016

Strategy UK’s Brexit vote to have wide repercussions, leads to change in economic and market scenarios

Results from the UK’s referendum on membership of the European Union (EU) indicate that voters have decided the UK should leave the EU. This result is likely to have wide political, economic and financial market repercussions, leading us to alter our economic and market (...)

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