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May 15

Opinion Italian populist parties close to a deal

Last week, equity markets kept moving higher, while the US yield curve continued to flatten. The 2-10 and 10-30 differentials reached the lowest level since August 2007. President Trump’s decision to withdraw from the Iran’s nuclear deal pushed oil prices at the highest level (...)

May 3

Opinion Pakistan: Balancing risks and rewards

For most investors, Pakistan is largely defined as being highly volatile, be it in terms of security, politics or the economy. And in many ways, it is. However, Charles Sunnucks, Assistant Fund Manager, Emerging Markets, argues there is increasing evidence of positive (...)

April 30

Opinion US yields break 3% threshold for the first time in four years

Yields on10-year US Treasuries temporarily broke through 3% last week to the highest level since early 2014. We expect rising US wage and price pressures, a more assertive Fed and a higher fiscal deficit to help yields ultimately pass this threshold on a more persistent (...)

April 19

Opinion Debt, Tech and Trade Wars Cloud the Investment Horizon

Volatility is back with a bang this year after a period of extraordinary calm. During the first quarter of 2018, the S&P 500 Index rose or fell by at least 1% in 23 trading sessions, compared to eight such sessions in all of 2017. The renewed turbulence, triggered by a (...)

April 17

Opinion Growth/inflation mix in deteriorating mood

Last week, equity performance resulted mixed after major indices tested a technical support and after US put/call volatility spiked up, testifying a short term surge in risk aversion. The MSCI World index’s total return fell by 0.6% (S&P 500 -1.4%) but the EMU index (...)

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