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Opinion French election 2017: Markets march on
The centrist candidate’s victory is seen as a positive for European stability, something which supports the global reflation trend that has been building up since last summer. Economic data in Europe, Asia and the US has been improving, underpinning traditional risk assets, (...)
Opinion Government bonds: caution ahead
Geopolitical forces suppressing global government bond yields have somewhat dissipated after the French first-round vote. We see Fed rate rise expectations returning as a bond market driver, justifying a cautious stance on sovereign (...)
Strategy Trade war risk fades, for now
We see a reduced near-term risk of trade wars, as President Donald Trump’s White House appears to have softened its stance toward both the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and China. This could benefit emerging markets (...)
Opinion French elections – Place your bets, last call
While a moderate candidate is the most likely victor in our assessment, the situation remains fluid with little risk priced in. In such an environment, we believe it is important to protect investors in our multi asset portfolios from market shocks. We have tactically (...)
Opinion Mind the “Trump gap”
Ariel Bezalel, Head of Strategy, Fixed Income, explains his caution on the Trump administration’s ability to deliver fiscal reforms, and why he has increased the duration in his funds for the first time since cutting it last (...)
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