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Opinion Greece: awaiting the inevitable
The credit default swap market is pricing in a 65% probability of a default within the next five years.
Opinion What is “risk free” ?
Would it be conceivable that top-quality corporates can take over the baton of being the “risk free” investment of choice? Nestle default protection is cheaper than German sovereign protection and Wal-Mart default protection is cheaper than United States sovereign (...)
Strategy Buy in may and go away
According to Mandarine Gestion, current valuation levels in the banking sector constitute opportunities rarely seen over a medium-term horizon. However, over the short term, investors are preferring to focus on two factors while at the same time exaggerating in our view (...)
Note The possible misdiagnosis of a crisis
According to a publication of Prof. Richard Roll in the Financial Analyst Journal, most explanations of the 2007–08 financial crisis are inconsistent with elementary principles of finance. The article explains the inconsistencies and suggests an alternative diagnosis that is (...)
Note Trying to assess the Cajas’ mess
The real estate bubble was huge and now Spanish banks are in a mess. Two questions come to mind: why does this comes into the spotlight so late ? what is the exact size of the mess and what is the possible impact of a full stress scenario on financial markets (...)
Wires
News
Greece: a possible lengthening of debt repayment -
November 2010
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News
Portugal: towards an exit from the European Monetary Union? -
November 2010
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News
Ireland goes to extreme rigor -
November 2010
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