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Highlights

April 24

News The euro jumped by 1% this morning against the US dollar to 1.0836, while defensive assets dropped

The French OAT- German Bund yield spreads tighten by 16bps as market’s pricing in the likely outcome of Macron winning the elections as many French political leaders now support him in an effort to block the Far-right Le (...)

News

Euro surpasses RMB in traditional trade finance

Opinion

Hard time for sterling

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September 2016

News Global FX trading averages $5.1 trillion a day in April 2016; spot trading falls while FX swaps rise

The 2016 Triennial Central Bank Survey of foreign exchange (FX) and over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives markets activity shows a decline in FX spot trading for the first time since 2001, even as activity in FX derivatives continued to (...)

June 2016

Strategy Brexit: ETF Securities sees rise in demand for short-GBP ETFs

According to James Butterfill, Head of Research and Investment Strategy at ETF Securities, most investors believe that the greatest short-term impact - of fear of Brexit rather than Brexit itself - will be on sterling and consequently he has seen a big rise in short (...)

June 2016

Opinion Brexit referendum: more volatility ahead for Sterling

According to James Butterfill, Head of Research at ETF Securities comments, Brexit is the mother of all market uncertainties: legal, political, economic, polling and currency risk combining to make any confidence about the short-term outlook (...)

April 2016

Strategy JPY at risk of reversal: who wins? who loses?

JPY and Japanese equities were the outcast of the rally, in diffidence of Abenomics’ and BoJ’s chances of success. They bear a risk of a reversal ahead of the coming BoJ meetings (April 28 & June 16) and the July Upper House (...)

February 2016

Strategy Fed, Oil, yuan: towards a triple capitulation?

The first few days of the year were particularly challenging for capital markets. Further incertitude regarding the strength of the US cycle and the possibility that the Chinese economy is weathering a heavy depression drove risky assets lower, bucking the traditional (...)

February 2016

Note Signs of global liquidity tightening for emerging markets

Global liquidity conditions may have begun to tighten for emerging market economies (EMEs), according to updated data from the Bank for International Settlements. BIS General Manager Jaime Caruana detailed highlights from the latest global liquidity indicators, a measure of (...)

November 2015

Note On the impact of Brexit on sterling

As yet, sterling appears not to have reacted to the looming referendum on the UK’s continued membership of the European Union. Over the short to medium term, however, the currency should end up reacting negatively, so great is the fallout for the British economy. In (...)

November 2015

Strategy Volatility and absence of momentum in 2016 mean a tactical approach is needed

Volatility and absence of momentum in 2016 mean a tactical approach is needed, says Christophe Donay, Chief Strategist at Pictet Wealth Management

September 2015

Strategy Barclays’s Top Trades

Barclays read recent Chinese measures as evidence that officials are accepting that the country’s growth trend has been hit by the build-up of imbalances that can no longer be sustained. Barclays’s analysts think that a lower Chinese growth trend, more than the cyclical (...)

August 2015

Opinion Renminbi depreciation, an unexpected but welcome move

The depreciation of the Chinese currency took many investors by surprise. And a surprise it was, although not necessarily a negative one, says Victoria Mio.

January 2015

Innovation Nomura launches US Dollar and Euro-hedged Nikkei 225 ETFs

Nomura, Asia’s global investment bank, today launched the “Nomura Nikkei 225 Euro-Hedged UCITS Exchange Traded Fund” and the “Nomura Nikkei 225 US Dollar-Hedged UCITS Exchange Traded Fund”. The ETFs are listed on the London Stock Exchange and will be available to investors in key (...)

January 2015

Opinion Swiss National Bank (SNB) decided to abandon its minimum exchange-rate floor policy

Salman Ahmed, LOIM’s Global Strategist, has commented on the Swiss National Bank’s policy update this morning. He discusses the implications for the Swiss currency and the wider impact on the eurozone economy.

December 2014

Strategy Dollar strength

According to John Chatfeild-Roberts, CIO of Jupiter Asset Management, over the past decade, we have seen several longer term trends play out, from swift urbanisation in developing nations to technological advances everywhere. Changes in currency trends have also had an (...)

December 2014

News Rouble, Rates Moves Heighten Russian Economy Risks

Risks to Russia’s economy in 2015 have been increased by this week’s extreme volatility in the rouble and the sharp rise in interest rates, Fitch Ratings says.

December 2014

Innovation Source launches Euro-hedged S&P 500 ETF

Source, an investment firm and a leading European provider of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs), is pleased to announce the launch of a euro-hedged version of the Source S&P 500 UCITS ETF, which currently has approximately US$ 1.7 billion of assets under (...)

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Regulation High Frequency Trading (HFT): Positive for forex market and negative for equities ?

While the AMF and European regulators plan to limit or prohibit HFT, the BSI considers it to be beneficial to the foreign exchange market in normal times and in times of stress...

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News Sarkozy wants major changes in commodities markets !

Sarkozy also told speculators to be prepared for big losses if they bet against the euro

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News BNP Paribas denies having trouble obtaining USD funding

BNP Paribas categorically denies the statements made by a certain anonymous BNP Paribas executive who states that the bank has a liquidity problem in dollars and is participating in the creation of a market in euros to solve the (...)

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Financial crisis Eurozone: 3 future scenarios

This is the first part of a series consisting of 3 articles covering the perspectives of the Eurozone… In order to get out of the crisis, three scenarios are conceivable. The most probable of them is unfortunately the one where one or several countries exit the economic and (...)

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Strategy Financial markets: hedging against new structural risks and stagflation

There are at least four new structural risks to consider: regulation, Middle East, euro zone’s crisis, and again the idea of a change in growth model of emerging countries.

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Innovation Stoxx launches currency hedged version of european benchmark index

STOXX Limited introduced the STOXX Europe 600 Hedged EUR Index. The new index is a currency hedged strategy benchmark aimed at investors seeking exposure to the well-known STOXX Europe 600 Index, while at the same time looking to reduce the risk of currency (...)

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Strategy Currencies: Projected dollar weakness over the medium term and gains in emerging currencies exchanged under State control.

The euro is not expected to experience abrupt movements versus the dollar whereas the yen might see a decline in 2011 and the pound is on a course towards strengthening versus both the euro and dollar

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Strategy The main trading recommendations of Goldman Sachs for 2012

The American bank’s suggests the following strategies as its flagship trading recommendations in 2012: Short on the German bund with an expected 2.8% 10 year return and long EUR / CHF with 1.35 as target…

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Opinion Russia is not Egypt (yet)

After Egypt, Russia is the second country where capital flight has been significant this year. Now Russia has a tradition of strong capital flight. Ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union, there have been only a few quarters without a net capital (...)

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Note The dynamic of the yuan

According to Phillippe Waechter, Head of Economic Research of Natixis Asset management, the evolution of China is extremely rapid, and both its accumulation of foreign reserves and its capability to destabilise or stabilise global constructions is (...)

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News Hedge funds unscathed from rising doubts on emerging, global growth and central banks

The Lyxor Hedge Fund Index was down only -0.4% in January, outperforming the MSCI World down -3.8%. 8 Lyxor Strategy Indices out of 12 ended the month in positive territory, led by the Lyxor Fixed Income Arbitrage Index (+1.74%), the Lyxor Merger Arbitrage Index (+0.92%) and (...)

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News SMEs switching to Renminbi for Chinese business according to DB survey

In spite of increasing volatility in foreign exchange markets, only around half of companies that were surveyed hedge foreign exchange risks in Renminbi transactions...

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Opinion « Currency war », return of protectionism: threats and opportunities!

An analytical report by Jacques Tebeka, Head of Diversified Multi management at Edmond de Rothschild Investment Managers

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Innovation Source launches Euro-hedged S&P 500 ETF

Source, an investment firm and a leading European provider of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs), is pleased to announce the launch of a euro-hedged version of the Source S&P 500 UCITS ETF, which currently has approximately US$ 1.7 billion of assets under (...)

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Opinion Beware the dangerous emerging market ‘grand narrative’

The emerging markets (EM) ‘grand narrative’ that you hear constantly churned out is at best misleading and at worst dangerous...

Focus

News Eurozone: How the City is bracing itself for the worst.

Within the large investment banks, special teams consisting of 10 to 30 people have been assembled in order to develop rescue kits designed to face all types of scenarios resulting from a breakup of the Eurozone.

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